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Thursday, 22 August 2024

Analysis of Indian Economic Strategy and Policy on National Security

 


Ministry of Defence Budget

Past History

The Ministry of Defence (MoD) budget has historically been a significant component of India's overall budget due to the country's complex security environment. Traditionally, the budget allocation has been focused on maintaining a large standing army, modernizing the armed forces, and ensuring preparedness against threats from neighboring countries like Pakistan and China. Post-independence, the budget was primarily centered on conventional warfare and territorial defense. The budget grew during periods of conflict (e.g., the 1962 war with China, the 1965 and 1971 wars with Pakistan) and during times of tension, such as the Kargil conflict in 1999. However, there has often been criticism regarding the underutilization of allocated funds, delays in modernization, and a skewed focus towards revenue expenditure rather than capital investment.

Present Status

In recent years, the MoD budget has seen a consistent increase, with the 2024-25 budget reflecting a continued focus on modernizing the armed forces and enhancing capabilities in areas such as cyber warfare, space, and artificial intelligence. The budget allocation for the MoD in the fiscal year 2024-25 was around ₹5.94 lakh crore, which includes the pension bill for veterans. A significant portion of the budget is earmarked for capital expenditure, aimed at procurement of new equipment, modernization of existing platforms, and infrastructure development. However, challenges persist, such as balancing the need for modernization with the rising pension costs and ensuring efficient utilization of funds.

Forthcoming Years

Looking ahead, the MoD budget is expected to continue growing, driven by the need to counter evolving threats, including cyber and space-based challenges. The focus is likely to shift towards enhancing indigenous defense production capabilities under the 'Make in India' initiative, reducing dependence on foreign arms imports. There may also be an increasing emphasis on integrating advanced technologies like artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and unmanned systems into the defense apparatus. Budgetary allocations will need to balance modernization, pension liabilities, and the strategic necessity of maintaining a credible deterrent against regional adversaries.

Ministry of Home Affairs Budget

Past History

The Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) budget has historically been focused on internal security, law and order, and disaster management. Post-independence, the budget allocations were primarily geared towards maintaining internal stability, addressing insurgencies, and managing border security. Over the decades, as India faced increasing internal security challenges from insurgencies in the Northeast, Naxalite movements, and cross-border terrorism, the MHA budget saw a steady increase. The formation of specialized forces like the Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF), Border Security Force (BSF), and National Security Guard (NSG) has been a major area of budgetary focus.

Present Status

Currently, the MHA budget reflects India's ongoing internal security challenges, with significant allocations towards paramilitary forces, modernization of police forces, and border infrastructure development. The budget for the fiscal year 2024-25 was approximately ₹2.08 lakh crore, marking a significant increase from previous years. This allocation includes expenditure on the modernization of police forces, strengthening of intelligence apparatus, and enhancing border management. The MHA budget also supports initiatives like the Smart Cities project, which has a component for improving urban security.

Forthcoming Years

In the coming years, the MHA budget is likely to see further increases, driven by the need to combat evolving internal security threats, such as terrorism, insurgency, and cybercrime. The focus may shift towards enhancing technological capabilities in internal security, including surveillance, intelligence gathering, and cyber defense. Additionally, the budget may increasingly support initiatives aimed at improving coordination between various law enforcement agencies and strengthening disaster management capabilities in the face of climate change. Investments in infrastructure, particularly in border areas and the modernization of paramilitary forces, will continue to be key areas of focus.


These budgetary trends in both the Ministry of Defence and Ministry of Home Affairs reflect India's broader strategic objectives of securing its borders, maintaining internal stability, and preparing for emerging security challenges in a rapidly changing global landscape

 

 

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