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Sunday, 15 May 2022

INDIAN HISTORIC WIN IN BADMINTON IS A WORLD CUP WIN

 TRIBUTE TO INDIA’S THOMAS CUP WIN-GEN NITIN GADKARI


It was a historic win. In case you didn’t erupt into a war cry after Srikanth Kadambi’s forehand smash in the left side court of Jonathan Christie. In that case, you are not a true sports lover of Indian sports. My wife thought I had gone mad, watching the match on my iPad with earphones; she had no clue what I was watching and probably had settled that I must be watching another Netflix movie. My shouts of joy after India’s victory surprised her out of her stupor. She thought I had lost my mind. Luckily for her, I controlled my euphoria, and things were back to normal. I am sure this would have been the case with many households in India today. This piece is a tribute to the sport and India’s rising stature in Badminton. India’s maiden victory against Indonesia came with an astonishing margin of 3-0. Indonesia, for the record, has won the title 14 times since its inception in 1948. India won it for the first time.

I can safely say that with the IPL fever at its peak, a minuscule sporting community knew that there was a Thomas cup tournament on. Ask anyone about the venue, and even today, you will draw a blank from most people. We have grown to know badminton players’ names. Lately, the Indian girls have hogged most of the limelight with victories and biopics. Men have had it tough. Lakshya Sen, a bronze medallist at the recently held in Spain World Championship, is a delight to watch but would dwarf in front of the IPL popularity of, say, Yazuvender Singh  Chahal or Umar Malik: a new entrant in cricket. These individuals do not make it to the Indian side in most formats, but in a cricket crazy country, which is to question who are your heroes. That is why this victory is so much sweeter and deserving. I don’t remember reading in any paper the news about the Indian badminton squads leaving for Thomas and Uber Cup. The news filtered only after India qualified for the semi-finals by beating Malaysia in the Thomas Cup quarter-finals.

Why was the Indian Victory so Difficult?

Thomas Cup is the Davis cup for Badminton, otherwise an individual sport. China, Malaysia, Denmark and Indonesia have dominated the game for decades. India’s forays into sports glory have been individual sparks of brilliance like Prakash Padukone and Pulela Gopichand’s Victories in All England Open: The Wimbledon of Badminton 1980 and 2001, respectively. PV Sindhus/ silver and bronze medals in successive Olympics and Sania Nehwal’s All England Open Finals. India’s attempts at winning the Thomas cup have ended three times at the semi-final level. They never entered the finals ever before this year. The win this time was scripted much in advance. A concerted effort started at least six years back when the BAI began working on the selection process and players. India was good at having singles players, with Srikanth Kadambi, Himanshu Prannoy and Lakshya Sen doing well on the singles circuit. It was the doubles pairing which always troubled the Indian team. The pair of Satwiksairaj and Chirag Shetty was matched way back in 2015. Since then, the doubles pair have learnt, practised, played, and won under various coaches. Two coaches deserve mention: Malaysian Tan Kim and Danish Legend Mathias Boe. Boe was with the team in Bangkok. The foresight, planning and hard work have borne fruits. The doubles pair has made the difference between winning the cup and just playing the cup. Today this pair is most feared by all opponents.

The journey to the Thomas cup final was tough and hard-fought. The team camaraderie and the desire to win excelled in the squad, and all of them worked in tandem. There was a noticeable bonhomie, and even the commentators on the final day, especially Aparna Popat, a well-known women’s Badminton player, commented more than once that the team bonding in this squad was the strongest she had ever seen. It was also evident in the body language and the collective response to a player’s victory. Not many, including myself, believed that this was possible. In crucial moments in the Quarter and Semi-finals, when the spectators lost their belief in the team, the players did not. Himanshu Roy’s singles victory in the deciding rubber against Denmark in the semi-final was down a game and hurt his heel; he then went on to win the next two games is legendary stuff which years later badminton fans will recollect.

A lot has now been written, and many will write in the next few days. But success has many fathers, and defeat is a poor orphan. Not many Indians would know that the ladies' version of the Thomas cup: The Uber Cup, was also going on simultaneously in Bangkok. PV Sindhu led the Indian team. It made an ignominious exit in the quarter-finals after losing to Thailand 0-3. While all the attention is on men, the ladies seem to have been blanked out. Such are the inglorious ways of modern sport. But for the Indian male shuttlers, this is the 1983 moment. We hope that the sport gets the same fillip after this victory as cricket got after 1983. Today it’s time to toast and celebrate the men’s success: ‘Sweet Dreams are made of these ’.

#चीनच्या सीमेवर लष्कराच्या आणखी ६ तुकड्या तैनात, भारताने सीमेवरील16 MAY ...

Saturday, 16 April 2022

#चीन की अफ्रीका में #प्राइवेट आर्मीज, #वन बेल्ट वन रोड खतरे में #चीनी अर...

A New Kind of Terrorism* - *Numbered Bird Strategy*

 *A New Kind of Terrorism* - *Numbered Bird Strategy* :: This is precisely what *Russia accuses America* !!🤔


 For those who want to know what d *Numbered Birds* are... and how the *United States kills the World without a Single Shot*... I leave the information here:….
 *Birds of Mass Destruction*- Russia did not expect to discover, as part of its military campaign in Ukraine, Numbered Birds produced by *Biological and Bacteriological Laboratories in Ukraine* financed and supervised by the USA.
* But what are the Numbered Birds*?!
 After studying the migration of birds and observing them throughout the seasons, environmental specialists and zoologists will be able to know the path these birds take each year on their seasonal journey, including those that travel from one country to another and even from one continent to others.
 Here comes the role of the intelligence services of the parties that carry out a malevolent plan.  A group of these migratory birds are “Detained”, Digitized and provided with a *CAPSULE OF GERMS* that carry a Chip to be controlled through Computers.  These Birds are then released again to join Migratory Birds in *Countries where Damage is Planned*.
 These birds are known to take a route from the Baltic Sea and the Caspian Sea to the African continent and Southeast Asia, as well as two other flights from Canada to Latin America in spring and autumn.  During its long flight, its movement is monitored step by step by means of satellites and its exact location is determined.  If they want, for example, to harm Syria or Egypt, the chip is destroyed when the bird is in their skies.  Kill the bird that falls carrying the epidemic.  Thus, diseases spread in this or that country.  In this way, the enemy country is harmed at no military, economic and political cost.
 The Numbering of Migratory Birds is considered a CRIME by International Law, because they are Birds that penetrate the sky and air of other countries.  If you supply them with Germs, then this bird becomes a *Weapon of Mass Destruction*. Therefore, in international law, it is considered prohibited to use Birds to launch deadly attacks against an opponent.  Anyone who commits such an immoral and inhumane act is punished.  *The USA does not tremble at any punishment, for no one dares to punish it*.  But they tremble before the stigma that will accompany their life and their complete exclusion as a credible country, even before their allies.
 NOW…The Russians have a Strong Pressure Card when they say they Captured the Birds.  This means that the Americans were Caught with their hands in the dough, with all the details contained that prove the decisive condemnation.  This forces us to think about the possibility that all the viruses that have infected humans in this century, especially the last ones, such as the Ebola that affected Africa, anthrax, swine and avian flu, and currently Covid-19, all come from funded laboratories. and administered by the USA.  And this is what prompted China to submit an urgent, serious and strict request to carry out an international investigation into the sudden emergence of the *Coronavirus*.  It is very likely that the United States used migratory birds to kill Chinese citizens.
*The Serious thing is that these USA scandals are NOW on the rise*.

INDIA'S DISTRESSED NEIGHBOURHOOD-MAJ GEN NITIN GADKARI

 INDIA'S

DISTRESSED NEIGHBOURHOOD

Amidst the din of the Ukraine war, the happenings in India's neighbourhood, mainly Pakistan and Sri Lanka, hogged both the headlines in newspapers and the prime time on TV networks across India. The Imran khan saga was running like a continuous soap with every TV channel deeply interested, having found associated local journalists from Pakistan giving them running commentary. Pakistan took prime time, yet Sri Lanka was running through the worst economic crisis the island nation had ever seen. Such is the memory span in the media that not long back everyone thought Myanmar would be the flashpoint in South Asia. Today it is related to inside pages.

This piece focuses on Sri Lanka, and Pakistan would soon follow it. By then, the new dispensation in Pakistan would hopefully be sworn in, and some certainty would return to the country's politics.

Troubled Sri-Lanka

It's hard to summarise what's wrong with Sri Lanka. Once a prosperous island nation with a booming economy known as the 'Pearl of the Indian ocean'. Replete with natural beauty and abundant flora and fauna made Sri Lanka a dream destination for tourists till it fell in bad times. Today a grave economic crisis confronts the island. Sri Lanka, which was known to be a middle-income group nation, has been hit with a crippling energy crisis and a debilitating food crisis. The power cuts range from anything up to 10 hours and above. The petrol pumps have long queues for gasoline which is rationed and yet hard to get. Most Sri Lankans find it hard to get fresh vegetables and staple rice to make two square meals a day. The food inflation is over 20%. Food is expensive and hard to find. Medicines are in short supply, and so are other essential goods. The state of affairs is brought upon by successive governments and has none else to blame but they themselves. It's an economic crisis of gigantic proportion.

The above paragraph may seem exaggerated as it has described the situation as nothing short of catastrophic. If it is not so, it will be, as there is very little that Sri Lanka can do in the short term to reverse the situation. It is a harsh portrayal to make the reader understand the grave socio-economic crisis confronting the island nation. One of the known persons to the author in Sri Lanka stated it on a 'Whats-App' message: “The Sri Lankans are very mild people. Hence, all demonstrations are peaceful despite the extreme provocations due to shortages. Whatever violence is reported is thanks to the thugs hired by the government. There would be mass-scale looting and rioting on the streets in any other nation by now.” The question that crosses every mind is how Sri Lanka has come to this passé. Usually, it's either a long-drawn war or famine or extreme natural calamity which brings such a consequence upon a nation. Yet in Sri Lanka's case, none of it has happened in the near past. There has been a talk of Hambantota being sold out to the Chinese on 99 years lease due to the inability of the Sri Lankan government to pay back the loan taken from China. The Rajapaksas: The ruling family was always accused of selling out the interests in Sri Lanka to the Chinese. They allowed Chinese investments to come into Sri Lanka immediately after the LTTE war. China's investment share reached a record high of 14 billion US dollars when India's share was a dismal 1.2 billion US dollars. Most of the investments were in ODA: Official Development Assistance, which was almost 12 billion US dollars and FDI was worth 2 billion US dollars from 2010 to 2015. The ODA sucked out Sri Lanka as the Chinese took infrastructure projects at no cost to themselves, built projects with Chinese money, technology, and Chinese expertise, and heaved loads of debt on the Srilankan governments. The local Sri Lankans had minimal stake or benefit except that they were robbed of their resources by the Chinese. Since the Chinese had not enabled local industry or labour thus, the Sri Lankan economy was dependent on the Chinese for even basic goods. The lack of self-sustaining capability is the crux of the Sri Lankan current economic crisis. The Chinese loans are not the biggest part of their debt burden. As a percentage of foreign debt, the Chinese debt is around 5%. But the Chinese ensured that Sri Lanka ever remained dependent on imports with no domestic industry to support even daily needs products like dairy, medicines, and food products.

Tourism Industry

The Sri-Lankan economy was left with two primary revenue earning sectors as the Chinese made inroads in the goods & services and infrastructure sectors of the economy. These were tourism and agriculture. Being a nation of around 22 million people and a GDP of 80 billion, Sri Lanka would not have been so hard hit if the tourist and agriculture industry flourished. The tourism revenue peaked in December 2019 and was at 450 million dollars in the US. In 2019 the share of the tourism sector in the country's GDP was 12.6%. Agriculture contributes around 8.6% to the GDP in 2020. These two are the two main revenue generators for the Sri-Lankan economy. But this was before the pandemic hit the world. In January of 2020, coronavirus struck, and by March-end 2020, the world was locked inside its own houses. Tourists vanished out of Sri Lanka slowly but steadily. By the end of the tourist season, the tourism industry had come to a grinding halt. As if this was not enough, foreign remittances from expatriate Sri-Lankans also dried. The foreign exchange shortage due to foreign loan servicing, mainly Chinese, and the lack of remittances from abroad created a foreign exchange crisis. During the pandemic years, very little FDI came into Sri Lanka, catapulting the situation into a full-grown foreign exchange crisis that directly impacted the import of oil and gas into Sri Lanka, which resulted in shortages and finally rationing. The lack of foreign exchange has developed into a full-scale energy crisis. Dependent entirely on oil imports from foreign sources and very little indigenous oil and power generation capacity, the power cuts were the only answer to share the meagre energy resource available to the stricken nation. The foreign currency reserves of Sri Lanka are estimated to be around 2.18 billion dollars, and the fuel bill for Sri Lanka is approximately 2 billion dollars at the current oil prices. With no end to the Ukraine war, barrel prices are likely to hit above 100 $ US a barrel which will wipe out their entire foreign currency reserves within one year.

The above indicates the grave foreign currency and energy crisis that grips Sri Lanka today. There is unlikely to be any change in this situation in the immediate future as, despite the pandemic threat reducing in most parts of the world, Sri Lanka is unlikely to get its usual tourist flow due to the inability of the hospitality industry to service their guests in terms of electricity and air-conditioning 24 by 7. The catch 22 situation haunts the island nation.

Agriculture sector

Agriculture is a principal contributor to the economy, as reiterated earlier. Tea is one of the chief components of this sector and contributes handsomely to the export earnings of the island nation. Rice is the second staple crop, and it feeds a large section of our population. In June of 2021, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa announced to a bewildered Sri-Lankan public that Sri Lanka is going organic in its food crops. Consequently, the government banned all the imports of pesticides and fertilisers in the country and farmers were asked to resort to organic farming. While this move was in the election manifesto of the Rajapaksa's party yet, no public debate on it had ensued. When the policy was announced, it surprised everyone and threw the farmers in disarray. The switch from non-organic to complete organic is a herculean transformation and requires preparation and planning. The crops started to perish with no chemical fertilisers and pesticides, and yield decreased drastically. In six months, food shortages hit the stores and retail markets. There was no scientific reason for the change in policy except the desire to be a leader in the world of organic crops. The policy change had disastrous consequences, as were predicted.

Realising the foolishness of the decision, the government took another measure. The folly was compounded by promising the farmers organic manure for their crops. A shipload was ordered for the Sri-Lankan farmers from China. Before distribution, elementary testing in the labs indicated that the manure contained substances that could harm the Sri-Lankan soil and yield. The manure was never distributed and returned to China, which refused to accept the consignment or waiving the payment. There was a mini-crisis between China and Sri Lanka because of this incident, and relations began to cool off. Sri-Lankan markets are perilously short of food products, and food inflation is as high as 21% as food production has gone down on an average by 30%. Tea Production threatened to come down by a whopping 50% because of the the ‘All Organic’ decision.

Conclusion

It sounds like a sordid tale of politicians who bungled big time in running government policies based on personal whims and fancies. President Gotabaya Rajapaksa and brother Mahinda Rajapaksa had struck an axe on their own feet when they started reducing the tax on goods on their arrival. It reduced the already shallow revenue kitty with the government. The two of them remain steadfast as 26 cabinet ministers have resigned from the cabinet, calling their government a failure. The President and Prime Minister refuse to budge from the opposition's demands to resign and accept the failure of their government's policies. There is a movement gaining momentum amongst the opposition parties to have a 'No Trust Motion' passed in the parliament against the SLPP (Sri-Lanka Podjuna Peramuna), the Rajapaksa’s party which rules the country. No Trust Motion will not be straightforward as the SLPP has 116 seats in the parliament out of 225, a clear majority. There is also a move to have an interim all-party consultative government. The latter is more likely than the former. Yet many in Sri-Lankan fear that dissolving the parliament at this stage would only deepen the crisis. A bad government is better than no government. It's sad to realise that the state of affairs is not likely to improve in the near term as the sovereign debt is mounting, and Sri Lanka may default on payment on the sovereign bond of 1 billion dollars coming up in July 2022. Defaulting interest payments can mean harsh economic measures and stricter IMF conditions for a bailout. Going to IMF looks to be the only option left for Sri Lanka. But IMF bailout comes at very high economic costs, usually not palatable to local politicians.

India has answered the Sri-Lankan SOS calls and extended generous help. India has provided 2.5 billion dollars in financial aid to Sri Lanka in the last few months. India has

also agreed to pay a credit line of 500 Million $ US for one tranche of the oil supply. India is sending 18.500 crore INR worth of rice to Sri Lanka to tide over its food shortages. The Rajapaksas have called New Delhi on four separate occasions in the last six months, thus indicating the shift in their focus on geopolitical relationships. Now is not a time to leverage Sri-Lanka's helplessness but to act as a good and responsible neighbour. If this bears fruit in future, it will be good politics and good economics.

Thursday, 14 April 2022

CHINESE HIGH BREED WAR AGAINST INDIA-US THINK TANKS ASSESSMENT 14 APR 22

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rzjj-lsJeU4

CHINESE HIGH BREED WAR AGAINST INDIA-US THINK TANKS ASSESSMENT 14 APR 22
WAR THER THAN MILITARY MEANS
UNRESTRICTED WAR
GREY ZONE WAR

Saturday, 26 February 2022

रशिया-युक्रेन युद्ध दिवस ४-महत्वाच्या घडामोडी

युक्रेनवर हल्ला करण्याचा रशियाचा नेमका हेतू काय NRIG HEMANT MAHAJAN MY ...

रशिया युक्रेन युद्ध तृतीय विश्वयुद्ध का प्रारंभ है RUSSIA UKRAINE BRI...

रशियाची साथ दिली,अमेरिकेला साथ नाही. भविष्यात भारतावर परिणाम काय होतील,...

#रशिया यूक्रेन युद्ध-तीसरा दिन ?क्या यूक्रेन की राजधानी रशिया के हमले मे...

Monday, 21 February 2022

भावपूर्ण श्रद्धांजली!जवान रोहित तानाजी चव्हाण


 भावपूर्ण श्रद्धांजली!

🙏💐🇮🇳💐🇮🇳💐🇮🇳💐🇮🇳 अत्यंत दुःखद घटना शिगांव. तालुका, वाळवा, जिल्हा सांगली येथील जवान रोहित तानाजी चव्हाण यांचे सकाळी सात वाजता जम्मू काश्मीर येथील सोपर मध्ये लपलेल्या आतंकवादी लढताना त्यांना वीरमरण आले. त्यांचे पार्थिव उद्या संध्याकाळी किंवा सोमवारी सकाळी त्यांच्या मूळ गावी शिगांव येथे अंत्यविधीसाठी दाखल होईल सर्व सैनिकांनी हजर रहावे ही विनंती यांची पूर्ण माहिती त्यांच्या पाठीमागे त्यांचे आई-वडील एक बहीण असा परिवार आहे एकुलता एक मुलगा 5 वर्षांपूर्वी सेनेमध्ये भरती झाला होता, त्याचे जम्मू-काश्मीरमध्ये आतंकवाद्यांची मुकाबला करताना झालेले वीर मरण हे त्यांच्या घरावरती व गावा वरती दुःखाचा डोंगर कोसळला आहे. शासकीय यंत्रणा मार्फत माहिती गावांमध्ये पोहोचल्या नंतर कळवण्यात येईल तरी सर्वांनी जास्तीत जास्त संख्येने अंत्यविधीसाठी व मानवंदना देण्यासाठी हजर रहावे ही विनंती. कळावे.💐🇮🇳

Sunday, 20 February 2022

The Ukraine crisis -MAJ GEN NITIN GADKARI,

 The Ukraine crisis has caught the imagination of all readers of international relations. The media keeps predicting that war will break out tomorrow. India has undertaken an exercise to evacuate Indian students from Ukraine. Everyone waits unabated if Russia would invade Ukraine?

Hope some questions get answered by reading this article. Please enjoy reading.

Ukraine borders mapped: Where is Ukraine on a map? Where Russian troops are  gathering | World | News | Express.co.uk

UKRAINE CRISIS

Will Russia attack Ukraine?

Everyone hears of the tension that has come to the fore on the Ukraine Russia borders. Is Russian going to invade Ukraine? What is the truth about the Russian troops’ withdrawal from the Ukrainian border? Why has the Indian government decided to evacuate Indians from Ukraine as an emergency evacuation operation? These questions and many more haunt everyone’s minds as we read or hear news on Ukraine in daily media coverage. The crisis has got into a narrow lane with few options to change directions with time.

Ukraine was a part of the erstwhile Soviet Union and separated with it disintegrated in the 1990s. It lies on the western front of Russia and is the buffer between western Europe and Russia. While the physical distance between western Europe and Russia is not much, the ideological distance is far too great to be bridged. While one advocates freedom of life, the other advocates state control as a means to that freedom. The imposition of the state as a factor in the achievement of freedom to individuals lies at the base of this crisis. There are many other catalysts in the broth, and they accelerate the mix from time to time to keep the crisis alive. However, the reaction is tending to reach a critical mass, with Russia having made up its mind to confront NATO’S expansion near its borders. Russia insists and would not back down in demand that Ukraine not be admitted into NATO. And NATO must reverse its expansion eastwards.

Ever since the Soviet Union disintegrated, the desire of the erstwhile Warsaw pact countries to move away from the Russian Federation towards the west has been on the rise. From 1994 to 2004 Czech Republic, Hungry, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Romania and Slovakia have joined the NATO alliance. Many others, too, wanted to join NATO, but a democratic system is a prerequisite to joining the alliance, so many ex-soviet countries signed an agreement for NATO Partnership for a peace programme like Armenia, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kyrghyz Republic, Moldova, Kazakhstan, Ukraine and Belarus.

In 1992 Russia formed an alliance of post-soviet nations to counter NATO influence, named CSTO (Collective Security Treaty Organisation). CSTO has only six members today; all of them are CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States). CSTO became a military alliance in 2002. But it never could match the strength of the 30-member NATO alliance. The expansion of NATO to the east, i.e. closer to Russian borders, has been viewed with concern in Russia. As President Putin became more powerful at home, his ambition to see the return of the lost glory of the soviet era has resurrected. To understand the Ukraine crisis, it is essential to understand the Crimean crisis and the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014. The Crimea Republic and the Port city of Sevastopol were essential strategic needs of the Russian Navy. Crimea was transferred to Ukraine in 1954 from the Soviet Federation to the Ukraine Federation by Nikita Khrushchev, the First Secretary of the Communist party. This transfer has come under severe criticism by nationalist Russians. The Crimean Peninsula had a majority Russian-speaking population at odds with the rest of Ukraine.

Untitled-11

Trouble blew in Crimea when the Russian speaking population started to oppose the Ukraine government curbing the region’s autonomy. In March of 2014, Russian troops in civil clothing captured the Crimean parliament building. They sealed the borders, thus starting the annexation operation. Later they legitimised the annexation by conducting an in-house referendum in which 90% of the Crimean population wanted to be a part of Russia. Why was Crimea important to Russia? Because of the warm water port of Sevastopol from where the Russian Navy made forays into the Black Sea and the Mediterranean. As also the abundance of hydrocarbon deposits in and around Crimea in the black sea. The annexation of Crimea did not go well with any NATO countries. The current US President Joe Biden was Vice President in the Obama regime then and has been accused of not doing enough to stop the Crimean annexation by Russia. NATO and Ukraine have ever since been wary of Russia’s intent in the region.

The Donbas region of Ukraine is the eastern frontier joining the Russian landmass. In March of 2014, with the Crimean crisis, protests erupted in the Donetsk and the Luhansk region, collectively known as the Donbas region of Ukraine, by the Pro Russian separatists of this region. By the May of 2014, these clashes turned into an armed conflict with the separatists being supported by the Russian military. Eight years on, the war still rages despite two accords, the MINSK I & II. Ceasefire violations continue daily. The Donbas region gives Russian forces a firm base from where it continues to send armed troops inside Ukraine, as claimed by NATO sources. The current Ukraine-Russia crisis is driven by Donbas as by Ukraine’s desire to join NATO.

The Boy who cried wolf” – my interview with the BBC at the turning point in  Ukraine | Conflict Report

What is the current situation?

The current situation worsens the crisis with all the talks between NATO and Russian authorities failing. Russia is adamant about its demands of NATO closing its doors on Ukraine membership in the group. NATO is unwilling to cease its open doors policy, stating Russia cannot dictate whom NATO should admit whom they should refuse. The stalemate is accentuated by 100 thousand strong Russian troops surrounding Ukraine from three sides. These include their crack special forces, airforce assets, tanks and artillery units. NATO sees this as a direct threat to Ukraine, thus raising its war rhetoric. As per US President; Joe Biden, Russia has already made up its mind to attack Ukraine, which could happen at any moment. The timetable has been advancing every passing day as Ukraine president went on the media and had announced that Russia would invade Ukraine on 16 February 22. That date has passed, yet the uncertainty lingers. The Russian announcement on 18 February 22 that it is withdrawing some units who have finished their training from the Ukraine borders has met with scepticism from the NATO allies.

It is tough to predict: Would Russia attack Ukraine? Russia has much to lose if it does. Attacking the western neighbour would invite severe criticism from the world and the UN. The US has already threatened more sanctions on Russia. They already suffer from the sanctions imposed by the EU and the US after the Russian annexation of Crimea. An invasion of Ukraine would add to these sanctions. Then is, the export of Russian gas, which has its pipelines across Ukraine going into western Europe, would stop. Thus, Russia would lose a significant buyer of its oil and natural gas revenue if its exports to western Europe were halted. Also, Russia is likely to face a backlash at home if it invades Ukraine, as happened in 2014 in the Crimean crisis.

What does NATO lose in case of a war between Russia and Ukraine? NATO is likely to lose more due to its dependency on the Russian LNG supply to fuel its daily household and industrial need, especially in the cold winter season. Russia can turn off the tap supplying Oil and Gas to western Europe, sending it into a crisis of significant proportion as the most prominent victims would be ordinary people whose households are kept warm by the Russian gas. Germany loses the most as it receives a major share of this natural gas from Russia. For this reason, it has built a direct undersea pipeline laid and ready for the supply of natural gas from Russia into Germany called the NORD STREAM 2. A war could see this project shelved. Thus, German companies will lose billions of dollars invested in the project. This has been evident in the soft German stance against Russia in this standoff.

A war could also create a humanitarian crisis which may see millions of refugees moving out of the conflict zones and going either to the west or the east. Both NATO and the Russians will face the brunt of the refugees landing at their doorsteps. Ukraine would be the biggest loser from an attack. Ten times larger military force could see severe damage to its cities and industrial infrastructure. The loss of life consequently would be much more. NATO has not promised to intervene directly if there is a war. Still, it would provide material support to the Ukrainian armed forces apart from enforcing more extensive sanctions on Russia. Ukraine is likely to lose more territory should Russia invade. It doesn’t require much intelligence to understand that Russians would endeavour to capture the war-prone region of Donbas as its first war objective. They would throw their full military might to achieve this objective. Sanctions would not deter the Russians as they are sure China would mitigate the severe consequences resulting from the sanctions.

What’s at stake for India?

India is on the horns of a dilemma whom to support in this ongoing crisis: the US or the Russians? Everyday pressure is building from both sides. The Quad meeting recently resulted in a public statement from the Americans that India is the key player in the Quad in the Indo pacific region, which targets China. A war would see Russia and China form an alliance against the Americans and NATO. Thus, India’s continuance of supporting the Indo-pacific initiative would go against Russian interests being an ally of China. India has been steadfast in maintaining a good relationship with Russia despite leaning towards the US. As a new power block emerges, India faces a dilemma: where should it stand? Non-alignment may not be an option. Neutrality is possible, but that would come at a cost. China has become the king-maker in this conflict and put India in a spot of bother.

Oli prices will skyrocket in India if a war breaks out. This would increase the inflationary pressure on the Indian economy. Petrol and diesel prices are already at their near highest points, and the common man would suffer even if he is a long way from Ukraine or Russia.

There is a fundamental problem in supporting Russia in its war with Ukraine. It stems from the occupation of disputed territories done by Russia in Crimea and wants to do in Donbas. India cannot show solidarity with such a cause as it would weaken its own stance on Kashmir and disputed territories with the Chinese in Arunachal Pradesh and Eastern Ladakh. The Russian annexation of Crimea based on a close referendum is not the model that anyone, including China, can support in the open. Chinese, too are unlikely to keep Russia in public forums like the UN. They will help with other means. Internationally Russian stance on invading Ukraine is tenuous.

The immediate evacuation of Indian students from Ukraine signals a belief in the theory that Ukraine is in imminent danger from the Russians. 13 other countries, including the US and the UK, have announced the evacuation of their citizens, sending the war frenzy couple of notches higher. The Indian government may be unsure of Putin’s intent in Ukraine, and it doesn’t wish to be caught on the wrong foot. India’s interests lie in countering the Chinese threat on its borders. It would guard its national interests at the end of the day. India stance vis a vis Russia would thus be dictated by its long-term national interests and not by immediate sentiments.

Would Russia invade Ukraine?

That leaves the question still unanswered. It is tough to answer as no one knows Putin’s mind. The sole decision-maker for the Russian invasion of Ukraine is its President Putin. He may very well have made up his mind, as the US President has stated. Putin wants to stop NATO from coming to Russia’s doorsteps, But Putin would like to win a bloodless victory if he could have it. If he can get watertight guarantees from NATO that Ukraine would not be admitted, he may desist a war. He may take the initiative and leave the decision of going to war on NATO. As he is being goaded in the Russian parliament, Putin could recognise Donbas as an independent republic and support its government to take measures to unify the eastern region of Ukraine. This would be a signal of direct confrontation with NATO. But desist from sending any troops into Donbas and support militarily and economically from Russian soil. It would leave NATO to take a call on the counter such a challenge from Russia. This is what NATO fears most a declaration of intent on the sovereignty of the eastern region of Ukraine that would hold the key if the two sides would go to war with each other

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Monday, 7 February 2022

#चाइना को काउंटर करने के लिए #भारत चीन सीमा पर #व्हायब्रेंट व्हिलेजस बस...

Must read Operation Ganjal completed after 72 hours of continuous combat, more than 195 enemy personnel eliminated - BLA

 

Baloch Liberation Army initiated Operation Ganjal at 8pm on 2nd February 2022. The operation, carried out by Majeed Brigade, achieved all its objectives after 72 hours of continuous combat.
16 highly trained Fidayees of Majeed Brigade carried out Operation Ganjal. 9 fidayees were involved in the Noshki attack, whereas 7 fidayees took part in Panjgur attack. The Fidayees took control of two different camps of Pakistani forces and eliminated more than 195 personnel of enemy and injured several more. Three officers of the enemy forces were also killed.
More than 90 enemy personnel, including approximately 55 personnel of Frontier Corps, 18 SSG Commandos and 7 Lite Commandos were killed in Noshki, whereas at least 105 enemy personnel were neutralized in Panjgur. This includes 85 personnel of Frontier Corps and 20 SSG Commandos. During the battle a military drone was shot, wheras a helicopter was also targeted.
However, it could not be ascertained if this helicopter crashed or not. Two armored vehicles of Pakistani military were destroyed, whereas both military camps were partially destroyed.
Operatioon Ganjal is named after martyr Ganjal alias Comrade Mazar of Lyari Karachi. Ganjal, commander of BLA in Kalat region, was also a Fidayee. He was not only to take part in Noshki and Panjgur operations but was also nominated as its operational commander. However, on 24th September he along with five freedom fighters embraced martyrdom while defending organisation’s camp in Kalat.
The main objective of Operation Ganjal was not only to show occupying state Pakistan but also entire world the military capabilities of Baloch resistance movement. This operation confirms the fact that Baloch youth can go to any extent to achieve Baloch national liberation. Baloch freedom movement is a homegrown movement, and its power sources lie in Baloch public. All Baloch fidayees involved in Operation were educated Baloch youth who were born in Balochistan and, following the philosophy of Genral Aslam Baloch, died defending the motherland. This should be now clear that this freedom movement cannot be weakened by any changes in neighboring countries or by being labeled as a proxy movement.
Baloch Liberation Army values human lives and we do not find happiness in ending any life. If Pakistan, instead of bloodshed and carnage, opts for peace then we in the presence of an international guarantor invite Pakistan to the negotiation table. We are ready for negotiations on agendas of secure withdrawal of Pakistani forces from Balochistan and complete independence of our motherland.
However, If Pakistani military is hellbent on violence then we warn it with clear words that our next attacks will be much harsher and we will go to any extent for defending our homeland. We have the full capability of taking this war to any part of Pakistan.
We also want to tell the people of Punjab that you should not let the military Generals to use your children as cannon fodders in their wars. Pressurise your military to withdraw. Your military, in order to strengthen its occupation of Balochistan, is involved in Bangladesh style crimes including Baloch genocide, rape and plundering of Baloch resources.
We also once again warn China to refrain from aiding Pakistan in looting Baloch resources and strengthening occupation of our motherland or else their interests will once again be at our target.
Operation Ganjal started at 8pm on 2nd February when two different units of Majeed Brigade targeted Noshki and Panjgur headquarters of Pakistani frontier core simultaneously. The attack started when Fidayee Meerain Jamaldani alias Zagrain of Noshki detonated his vehicle borne improvised explosive device at the gates of Noshki camp. This blast killed all troops stationed at the entrance of the camp. Later under the leadership of Unit Commander Fidayee BadIl Baloch alias Riyasat of Hoshaab, the fidayees entered the enemy camp. These fidayees included Aziz Zehri alias Barag of Khuzdar, Aneel Baloch alias Balaach of Dasht Turbat, Muraad Aajo alias Baba of Panjgur, Yasir Noor alias Saif of Alandor Bulaida, Ibraheem Baloch alias Kabeer of Gichk, Deedag Bahar alias Rauf of Shapuk Turbat and Bilal Baloch alias Wahid of Tejaban Kech.
The Fidayees in Noshki killed 90 enemy personnel, including two officers and destroyed a major part of the camp. Dozens of enemy personnel were also injured.
On other hand at the same time on 2nd February in Panjgur Fidayee Jamal Baloch alias Chacha of Turbat detonated his VBIED at the main entrance of FC camp in Pangjur. The blast destroyed the front part of the camp and killed all personnel present at the entrance. Then under leadership of Unit Commander Hamid Raheem alias Zubair of Chitkan Panjgur, Fidayee Sami Sameer alias Shoaib of Panjgur, Iliyas Baloch alias Qadir of Gramkan Panjgur, Asad Wahag alias Sabzo of Keelkor, Nasir Imam alias Hamal of Parom and Zameer Baloch alias Faraz of Dandaar Hoshaap entered most of the enemy personnel. The remaining personnel, instead of facing the Baloch fidayees, fled the camp.
The objective of Panjgur unit was to take control of the enemy’s camp for maximum time possible. After enemy’s escape Baloch fidayees took control of the whole camp. Pakistani forces used its ground troops, including Special Services Group Commandos and even gunship helicopters to take back the control of the camp. The enemy forces with the SSG Commandos, armoured vehicles and gunship helicopters made five large attempts to gain control. However, the fidayees repulsed each and every attack and inflicted heavy losses upon the enemy. For 72 hours the fidayees managed to successfully defend their positions while fighting against Pakistani elite military units. After failure of all ground attempts, Pakistani gunship helicopters today heavily bombarded positions of fidayees and after a long heroic resistance all fidayees embraced martyrdom.
In Operation Ganjal, BLA Majeed Brigade had full support of all allied organisations of BRAS. This major, complex and strong attack not only shows the extent to which Baloch nation can go for its independence but also highlights the importance and benefits of united and consolidated power of resistance.
BLA totally rejects ISPR statements and considers it as a bundle of lies. Pakistani military is hiding its dead bodies due to internal pressure and embarrassment it has suffered on international platform.
The 16 fidayees of Majeed Brigade engaged with a much powerful military and wrote history by fighting the longest battle of modern Baloch history. Baloch nation, history and Baloch Liberation Army will never forget the ultimate sacrifices of these valiant fidayees. A new dawn will emerge from the sacrifices of martyrs and the Baloch national emancipation will be a reality.
Spokesperson Baloch Liberation Army Jeeyand Baloch
Dated February 6, 2022