FIGHTING CHINESE FROM NORTHEAST TO ANDMAN NICOBAR ISLAND AND BLOCKING CHINESE AT STRAIT OF MALACCA -PART 2

 

FIGHTING CHINESE FROM NORTHEAST TO ANDMAN NICOBAR ISLAND AND BLOCKING CHINESE AT STRAIT OF MALACCA -PART 2

Internal Friction: The "Unseen Half-Front"

Hybrid warfare derives its potency from its synergy with internal dynamics. It does not necessarily create divisions; rather, it amplifies existing fault lines and aligns with moments of institutional stress.

In this context, domestic debates—regardless of their legitimacy—take on a strategic dimension when viewed against a crisis timeline. The controversy surrounding infrastructure in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands exemplifies this intersection. In a compressed operational window, prolonged contestation over strategic assets can degrade readiness and disrupt deployment cycles.

The critical variable is not intent, but timing. Hybrid warfare succeeds when external pressure and internal friction overlap at decisive moments. An adversary does not require internal actors to align with their goals; they only need the system to experience enough delay, distraction, or diffusion of focus to paralyze the state when speed and clarity are essential.

The Maritime Pivot: The Decisive Arena

While land fronts are designed to shape conditions, the ultimate contest is decided at sea. The cumulative effect of fixation in the West, pressure in the North, and friction in the East is a deliberate attempt to shift the strategic center of gravity toward the maritime domain.

The Bay of Bengal is the heart of this theater. It serves as the vital artery connecting Indian Ocean trade to Southeast Asian chokepoints. Control here influences more than just military outcomes—it dictates economic survival and geopolitical leverage.

At the center of this pivot lies the Andaman and Nicobar chain. Its forward positioning allows India to monitor and influence the Strait of Malacca, one of the world’s most critical maritime arteries. The Nicobar axis, specifically, functions as a strategic hinge, integrating surveillance, reach, and deterrence.

India’s Strategic Counter: Preserving Coherence

India’s response must be systemic rather than sequential. The goal is to preserve national coherence across all domains while denying the adversary their intended effects.

• Stabilizing the Eastern Rear: Along the arc of Bangladesh and Myanmar, India must ensure hybrid activity does not translate into operational delay. This requires integrated intelligence, rapid containment of disruptions, and the protection of logistics corridors as "inviolate" strategic assets.
• The Siliguri Corridor: Defense of this chokepoint must be reimagined as active denial, supported by redundant connectivity and layered surveillance.
• Balancing the Fronts: India must neutralize Pakistan’s "fixation" through credible deterrence while maintaining a controlled posture against China to prevent uncontrolled escalation.

The decisive effort remains focused on the Andaman and Nicobar Command (ANC). By transforming these islands into forward operating bases and surveillance hubs, India ensures that if the Nicobar axis holds, India holds the maritime balance.

Conflict Termination: The Negotiated Stabilized Outcome

Because nuclear thresholds impose strict limits on escalation, a conflict involving India, Pakistan, and China is unlikely to end in a total battlefield victory. Termination will likely emerge from a combination of mutual risk recognition, international pressure, and diminishing strategic returns.

• External Actors: The United States would likely act as a "maritime stabilizer," ensuring freedom of navigation through the Malacca Strait. Russia might serve as a quiet intermediary to facilitate de-escalation.
• The QUAD: While not a formal military alliance, the QUAD would likely offer a convergent response—Japan and Australia providing logistics, maritime monitoring, and surveillance support to prevent the disruption of the global commons.

Strategic gains would be lopsided. If India retains maritime dominance—particularly around the Nicobar region—it reinforces its status as a net security provider. China may gain by demonstrating its ability to stretch Indian resources, while Pakistan’s gains would remain largely tactical and narrative-driven.

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Conclusion: The Contest for Strategic Coherence

The "Eastern Vector" is more than a geographic direction; it is a doctrinal shift in modern warfare. It is designed to stretch India across fronts, paralyze decision-making, and force the final contest into the sea.

In this environment, victory is defined by the ability to function as a coherent, integrated system under extreme pressure. To achieve this, India must:

1. Balance the Fronts.
2. Stabilize the Rear.
3. Dominate the Sea.

The development of the Great Nicobar Project is no longer a choice—it is a strategic compulsion. It is the anchor of India’s maritime reach and the essential safeguard for the Indo-Pacific balance of power. If India preserves its coherence, the Eastern Vector remains a manageable threat; if it falters, the consequences will reshape the region for decades.

 

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FIGHTING CHINESE FROM NORTHEAST TO ANDMAN NICOBAR ISLAND AND BLOCKING CHINESE AT STRAIT OF MALACCA -PART 1

 

From Siliguri to Nicobar: The Architecture of the New Battle-Space

The traditional maps of Indian conflict are being redrawn. From the narrow Siliguri Corridor to the remote reaches of the Nicobar Islands, an emerging battle-space is taking shape—one where disruption, calculated delays, and maritime sea control will define the next great contest.

Strategic Divergence: The Debate Over the "Eastern Vector"

A sharp domestic debate has emerged regarding the strategic trajectory of India’s eastern seaboard. While opposition leadership has publicly critiqued the Great Nicobar project on environmental and indigenous rights grounds, the government maintains that the initiative is a cornerstone of national security.

In a democracy, such divergence is natural. However, within a shifting security landscape, this debate acquires a wider strategic resonance. Infrastructure in the Andaman and Nicobar region is not merely a matter of civil development; it is the bedrock of India’s forward maritime posture, its surveillance reach, and its capacity to command critical sea lanes.

The Shift in Paradigm: Beyond Conventional Borders

Recent reports suggesting that a future conflict could "begin from the East and move Westwards" invite deeper examination. These signals point to a consequential question: are we entering a phase where internal contestation, hybrid pressure, and maritime strategy intersect to shape the battle-space long before the first shot is fired?

While Pakistan cannot mount a conventional invasion from the East, the significance of this rhetoric lies in a conceptual shift. Traditionally, Indian defense has focused on the Western front and Northern contingencies with China. The "Eastern Vector" reframes this, suggesting a conflict where geography is an instrument rather than just a starting point—where multiple theatres are activated simultaneously to exert pressure rather than to seek a singular, decisive breakthrough.

Objectives of Engagement: Shaping the Strategic Environment

In a modern conflict involving nuclear-armed neighbors, the objective is rarely territorial conquest in the classical sense. Instead, the goal is Strategic Shaping—influencing the conditions under which India operates militarily, politically, and psychologically. This manifests as:

• Decelerating mobilization cycles.
• Fragmenting national decision-making.
• Compelling reactive deployments across disparate fronts.
• Degrading the integrity of command and control.

For China, the aim is to constrain India’s influence in the Indo-Pacific; for Pakistan, it is to fix Indian forces in place and achieve narrative parity. The ultimate goal is subtle but potent: Not to defeat India, but to slow it down at the moment speed matters most.

From Two-Front War to Multi-Domain Attrition

India’s traditional "Two-Front" doctrine is no longer sufficient to describe the current threat matrix. We are moving toward a model of distributed, multi-domain pressure defined by four interlinked axes:

1. The Western Front: A theatre for "fixing" Indian forces.
2. The Northern Front: A space for sustained pressure and territorial expansion.
3. The Eastern Arc: A zone for hybrid disruption and logistics delay.
4. The Maritime Domain: The potential "center of gravity" for the decisive contest.

The defining characteristic of this model is simultaneity. No single front needs to collapse; it is sufficient that all fronts remain active enough to prevent India from concentrating its force decisively at any one point.

The Logistics of Delay: Fixation and Friction

The campaign logic follows a pattern of cumulative pressure. Pakistan serves as the fixation force, using calibrated escalation to anchor Indian formations in the West. Simultaneously, China maintains a credible threat in the North to expand the battle-space and force a cautious, distributed posture.

Between these two axes, the Eastern theatre emerges as a layer of operational friction. Here, the primary target is Time. Time lost in mobilization and coordination becomes the critical variable that allows the decisive phase of a conflict to unfold under favorable conditions elsewhere.

The Geography of Vulnerability: Chokepoints and Hybrid Risks

At the heart of this Eastern vulnerability lies the Siliguri Corridor—a 22-kilometer-wide land bridge that serves as a single point of strategic failure. If disrupted, the connectivity to eight North-Eastern states and the military logistics supporting them are compromised.

The surrounding "Eastern Arc"—stretching along Bangladesh and Myanmar—is an environment perfectly suited for hybrid warfare. This is not about overt invasion, but about exploiting riverine terrain and dense populations to create "friction at scale." Through cyber interference, informational warfare, and localized disruptions, an adversary can:

• Stall the movement of reinforcements.
• Divert internal security resources.
• Increase the cognitive load on national leadership.

In this new reality, the Eastern Arc is no longer a quiet boundary; it is a sophisticated system of vulnerabilities designed to exhaust the state before a conventional war even begins.

Western media’s shifting narrative after West Bengal landslide

Western Media Forced to Rethink West Bengal

The BJP’s landslide victory in West Bengal has forced a dramatic narrative shift among Western media outlets that had confidently predicted a triumph for the TMC. For years, much of this media ecosystem has displayed open hostility towards the BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi, often framing them as threats to liberal democracy. After the 2024 Lok Sabha election, when the BJP’s tally fell to 240 seats, for instance, The Economist warned that “Modi’s illiberalism may imperil India’s economic progress,” while the Financial Times described Modi as having a “darker side” and discriminating against minorities. British think tank Chatham House spoke of “democratic backsliding” that might eventually force Western capitals to reconsider their cooperation with New Delhi, and Bloomberg drew a sharp contrast between a supposedly progressive South and a “poverty-ridden north” led by a majoritarian government. Much of this criticism, especially in the run-up to the 2026 state elections, was filtered through Delhi’s “old ecosystem” of commentators and fixers who have long despised Modi and the BJP.

The Delhi Circuit and Its Predictable Biases

Foreign bureau chiefs in New Delhi are typically mid-career journalists for whom India is a stepping stone to more prestigious postings in Beijing, Berlin or beyond. During their time in India, they often rely on and socialize with the remnants of the old Lutyens ecosystem, whose members remain viscerally opposed to Modi and the BJP. This small but influential circle shapes much of what these journalists see and hear, reinforcing pre-existing prejudices rather than challenging them. As the 2026 assembly elections approached, this network helped entrench a single narrative: that Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress would punish the BJP for daring to conduct the Special Intensive Revision (SIR) that removed dead voters and suspected illegal migrants from the rolls. The expectation in these circles was that West Bengal would become the stage on which Mamata humbled Modi and re-emerged as a national challenger for 2029.

The “Travelling Circus” and the Shock Result

A travelling band of foreign journalists, accompanied by a global investor, swept through West Bengal and returned with a seemingly authoritative conclusion: Mamata Banerjee was headed for a comfortable fourth term. This assessment electrified the old ecosystem, which saw in Bengal the launchpad for Mamata’s national ambitions and Modi’s long-awaited political comeuppance. The script, however, was torn up on the evening of May 4, when results showed the TMC routed and the BJP sweeping the state in a landslide. The defeat was especially stunning because Mamata Banerjee herself lost her long-held bastion of Bhabanipur, suffering a personal and symbolic humiliation. Faced with a result that upended their confident predictions, Western journalists – ever conscious of their reputations – pivoted sharply and began to recast the story.

Overnight Praise and Persistent Fears

The BBC promptly acknowledged the magnitude of the outcome, noting that with more than 100 million people, West Bengal’s electorate is larger than Germany’s and that its polls resemble a national contest rather than a routine state election. It conceded that a BJP victory in Bengal ranks among the most significant breakthroughs of Modi’s 12-year reign, describing it as the culmination of a decade-long political project rather than a sudden upheaval. The Guardian, meanwhile, admitted that the result carries far-reaching implications for India’s political landscape and inflicts another demoralising blow on an already weakened opposition. It quoted Modi as saying that the West Bengal assembly elections “will be remembered forever,” insisting that people’s power had prevailed and that the BJP’s politics of good governance had triumphed. Yet not all commentary accepted the verdict with equanimity; some voices worried that the BJP’s rise in Bengal could fundamentally alter India’s relationship with its volatile neighbour Bangladesh, potentially shifting it from chronic hostility towards a more structured cooperation. Writing in Eurasia Review, Dr Habib Siddiqui lamented that what he had long feared had now occurred, warning that a BJP government led by Suvendu Adhikari – known for incendiary anti-Muslim rhetoric – marked a profound rupture for a state once celebrated for pluralism and resistance to communal politics.

Legacy Media’s Waning Influence in India

Memories are still fresh of how Western media parroted Pakistan’s narrative after Operation Sindoor a year ago, with CNN’s Nic Robertson in Islamabad amplifying ISI talking points without evident scepticism. Against that backdrop, the West Bengal verdict has deeply offended the itinerant band of Indian and foreign journalists who had confidently forecast a sweeping Mamata win. Many of them now blame the SIR process for the BJP’s victory, arguing that it stripped the TMC of its core base – illegal migrants who had sustained its dominance. The numbers are telling: in 2021, the TMC secured 48 per cent of the vote against the BJP’s 38 per cent; by 2026, the TMC had fallen to 40 per cent while the BJP had risen to 45 per cent. SIR removed roughly 10 per cent of unregistered voters from the rolls, and the eight-point drop in TMC’s vote share between 2021 and 2026 reinforces the belief that illegal voters had long helped it remain in power.

What explains the BJP’s rise from 38 per cent to 45 per cent? A key factor is the consolidation of the Hindu vote behind the party, combined with the erosion of fear once SIR reduced the clout of illegal voters and criminal elements within the TMC’s cadre. Yet even as the BJP’s reach expands, Western media’s influence in India continues to decline: few Indians now turn to CNN or the BBC for coverage of their own country. Their shrinking relevance has not yet translated into better journalism on India, in part because many correspondents still depend on an ageing, embittered ecosystem that filters and distorts the information they receive. Until that dependence ends, Western coverage of India will remain out of step with Indian realities, lurching from complacent predictions to hurried narrative reversals whenever the electorate delivers an unexpected verdict

ब्रिगेडियर हेमंत महाजन ,युद्ध सेवा मेडल, लिखित “पाचवे भारत–पाकिस्तान युद्ध – ऑपरेशन सिंदूर” हे पुस्तकॲमेझॉन वरती उपलब्ध आहे. https://www.amazon.in/dp/B0G8JYW8CG

 

ब्रिगेडियर हेमंत महाजन ,युद्ध सेवा मेडल, लिखित “पाचवे भारत–पाकिस्तान युद्ध – ऑपरेशन सिंदूर” हे पुस्तक भारतीय राष्ट्रीय सुरक्षेच्या आणि धोरणात्मक अभ्यासाच्या दृष्टीने एक अत्यंत महत्त्वपूर्ण योगदान आहे. हे पुस्तक फक्त एका लष्करी कारवाईचे वर्णन नाही; तर ते भारताच्या बदलत्या धोरणात्मक विचारसरणीचे, सडेतोड परराष्ट्र धोरणाचे आणि ‘आत्मनिर्भर भारत’च्या लष्करी क्षमतेचे प्रभावी चित्रण करते.

हे पुस्तक आजच्या भारताच्या सुरक्षा आणि संरक्षण धोरणांवरील एक अत्यंत महत्त्वाचा आणि अभ्यासपूर्ण ग्रंथ आहे. 'पाचवे भारत पाकिस्तान युद्ध-ऑपरेशन सिंदूर, बदलता भारत - संयमातून सडेतोड उत्तराकडे' अशी या पुस्तकाची उपशीर्षक आहे, जी भारताच्या बदलत्या आणि अधिक आक्रमक (Aggressive) भूमिकेचे स्पष्ट संकेत देते.

लेखक स्वतः एक अनुभवी सैनिक आणि धोरण विश्लेषक असल्यामुळे, त्यांच्या लेखणीतून आलेले प्रत्येक निरीक्षण वस्तुनिष्ठ, व्यावसायिक आणि राष्ट्रीय सुरक्षेच्या दृष्टिकोनातून अत्यंत प्रगल्भ आहे.

 

लेखनशैली आणि रचना

हे पुस्तक अत्यंत सुबोध आणि स्पष्ट शैलीत लिहिलेले आहे. प्रत्येक प्रकरण भारताच्या एका विशिष्ट धोरणात्मक पैलूवर सखोल विश्लेषण करते. पुस्तकाची रचना लष्करी ऑपरेशनच्या कालक्रमानुसार असून, सुरुवातीला जम्मू–काश्मीरमधील आव्हाने आणि पार्श्वभूमी मांडली जाते, तर शेवटच्या प्रकरणांत ‘ऑपरेशन सिंदूर’नंतरचे आंतरराष्ट्रीय परिणाम आणि भविष्यातील आव्हाने यांचे विवेचन आहे.

ब्रिगेडियर महाजन यांनी शुद्ध सैनिकी तपशीलांसोबतच राजनैतिक, आर्थिक, माहिती आणि सायबर आयामांचाही प्रभावी समावेश केला आहे, ज्यामुळे पुस्तक एक “मल्टी–डोमेन वॉर डॉसियर” बनते.

 

मुख्य मुद्द्यांचे विश्लेषण

प्रकरण 1 – जम्मू-काश्मीर : पार्श्वभूमी आणि आव्हाने

या प्रकरणात लेखकाने दहशतवाद, धार्मिक कट्टरता, आणि सीमापार घुसखोरी या समस्या ज्या प्रकारे जम्मू–काश्मीरमध्ये मूळ धरतात, त्याचे स्पष्ट विश्लेषण केले आहे. ‘ऑपरेशन सिंदूर’पूर्वीच्या वातावरणाचे वास्तवदर्शी चित्रण वाचकाला संघर्षाच्या मुळाशी घेऊन जाते.

प्रकरण 2 – पहलगाम हत्याकांड : भारतीय प्रतिसादाची गरज

हिंदू यात्रेकरूंवर झालेल्या क्रूर हल्ल्याने संपूर्ण देश हादरला. या घटनेला भावनिक व राष्ट्रीय सन्मानाचा विषय बनवून भारताने निर्णायक प्रत्युत्तर देण्याची गरज निर्माण झाली — हाच ‘ऑपरेशन सिंदूर’चा आरंभबिंदू ठरला.

प्रकरण 3 आणि 4 – बहुआयामी युद्धनीती आणि निर्णायक टप्पा

लेखकाने भारताने पाकिस्तानविरुद्ध स्वीकारलेली मल्टी-डोमेन स्ट्रॅटेजी सविस्तरपणे उलगडली आहे — सायबर, माहिती, स्पेस, आणि लष्करी क्षेत्रांचा एकत्रित वापर करून केलेले हे अभियान अत्यंत संगठित आणि रणनीतिक आहे.
पाकिस्तानच्या प्रतिहल्ल्यांना निष्फळ ठरवून भारताने युद्धभूमीवर पुन्हा आक्रमक पवित्रा घेतल्याचे वर्णन या प्रकरणांत प्रभावीपणे मांडले आहे.

प्रकरण 5 – पंतप्रधान मोदींचे नेतृत्व

हे प्रकरण पुस्तकाचे आत्मा म्हणावे लागेल. लेखकाने पंतप्रधान नरेंद्र मोदी यांच्या ठाम नेतृत्वाचे आणि निर्णयक्षमतेचे वस्तुनिष्ठ मूल्यमापन केले आहे. त्यांनी दिलेली ऑपरेशनल फ्रीडम आणि राजकीय पाठबळ हे विजयाचे प्रमुख घटक असल्याचे अधोरेखित केले आहे.

प्रकरण 6 आणि 7 – भारतीय सैन्याचे शौर्य आणि तिन्ही दलांची समन्वय भूमिका

‘4 पॅरा स्पेशल फोर्सेस’च्या साहसी कारवायांचे वर्णन रोमांचकारी आहे. हवाई दल आणि नौदलाने पाकिस्तानची कोंडी करून शत्रूला संरक्षणात्मक पवित्र्यात ढकलले — हा भारताच्या तिन्ही दलांतील समन्वयाचा अत्यंत प्रेरणादायी नमुना आहे.

प्रकरण 8 – सायबर, माहिती आणि अंतराळ युद्ध

लेखकाने या भागात युद्धाच्या नव्या सीमांचा उत्कृष्ट विश्लेषण केले आहे. सायबर हल्ले, माहितीप्रवाहाचे नियंत्रण आणि सॅटेलाइट इंटेलिजन्स या सर्व क्षेत्रांत भारताने साधलेले तांत्रिक प्रभुत्व पुस्तकात सविस्तर मांडले आहे.

प्रकरण 9 – सिंधू पाणी कराराचा फेरविचार

हे प्रकरण विशेष लक्षवेधी आहे. पाकिस्तानविरुद्धच्या संघर्षात आर्थिक आणि जलनीतीचा कसा वापर करता येतो, यावर लेखकाने अत्यंत धाडसी व व्यावहारिक विचार मांडले आहेत.

प्रकरण 10 – आत्मनिर्भर भारताचे शस्त्रसामर्थ्य

स्वदेशी तंत्रज्ञान, ड्रोन, ब्रह्मोस, आकाश-तीर आणि ‘त्रिनेत्र’ सारख्या सिस्टीम्समुळे भारताने साधलेली आत्मनिर्भरता हे राष्ट्राच्या नव्या आत्मविश्वासाचे द्योतक आहे.

प्रकरण 11 ते 13 – भविष्यातील धोके आणि प्रादेशिक असंतोष

लेखकाने पाकिस्तानमधील बलुचिस्तान–सिंधमधील अस्थिरता, अफगाण सीमा प्रश्न आणि देशातील हेरगिरीच्या आव्हानांवर सखोल भाष्य केले आहे. ‘ज्योती मल्होत्रा प्रकरण’ या माध्यमातून अंतर्गत सुरक्षा आणि माहिती युद्धाचे नवे पैलू उजागर केले आहेत.

प्रकरण 14 ते 16 – चीन–पाक अक्ष आणि आंतरराष्ट्रीय समीकरणे

चीनच्या अप्रत्यक्ष युद्धनीती, अमेरिका–भारत संबंधांचे नवीन समीकरण, आणि जागतिक प्रतिक्रिया यांचे बारकाईने विश्लेषण या भागात आहे. भारताचे खरे मित्र कोण आणि विरोधक कोण — याचे वास्तवदर्शी चित्रण पुस्तकाचे वैशिष्ट्य आहे.

प्रकरण 17 – बांगलादेश अस्थिरता आणि भारताची धोरणात्मक संधी

बांगलादेशातील बदलत्या राजकीय समीकरणांचा भारतावर होणारा परिणाम आणि घुसखोरी कमी करण्याची संधी या दृष्टिकोनातून लेखकाने धोरणात्मक सूचना दिल्या आहेत.

 

लेखकाची दृष्टी आणि विचारांची खोली

ब्रिगेडियर महाजन यांचे लेखन फक्त लष्करी विश्लेषण नाही; ते एक राष्ट्रीय दृष्टिकोन आहे. त्यांच्या लेखणीतून दिसते की भारत आता संयमातून बाहेर पडून निर्णायक उत्तर देणारे राष्ट्र बनले आहे. पुस्तकातील प्रत्येक प्रकरणात “बदलता भारत” या संकल्पनेचा ठसा जाणवतो.

 

पुस्तकाचे विशेष गुण

• युद्ध, कूटनीती आणि माहिती युद्ध या तिन्ही क्षेत्रांचा एकत्रित अभ्यास.
• अतिशय प्रामाणिक आणि वस्तुनिष्ठ मांडणी.
• राष्ट्रीय सुरक्षेबद्दल जनजागृती निर्माण करणारी भाषा.
• पंतप्रधान नरेंद्र मोदी यांच्या नेतृत्वाखालील नव्या भारताचे स्पष्ट प्रतिबिंब.
• भावनिक आणि रणनीतिक दृष्टिकोनाचा संतुलित संगम.

 

निष्कर्ष

“पाचवे भारत–पाकिस्तान युद्ध – ऑपरेशन सिंदूर” हे पुस्तक केवळ लष्करी साहित्य नाही, तर भारताच्या आत्मविश्वास, स्वाभिमान आणि नव्या धोरणात्मक शक्तीचे दस्तावेज आहे. प्रत्येक प्रकरण वाचताना वाचकाला जाणवते की भारत आता भीक मागणारा नव्हे, तर प्रत्युत्तर देणारा राष्ट्र म्हणून उभा आहे.

ब्रिगेडियर हेमंत महाजन यांनी अत्यंत सोप्या आणि परिणामकारक मराठी भाषेत हे पुस्तक लिहिले आहे. या पुस्तकात विषयाची सखोल माहिती, स्पष्टीकरण आणि भारताच्या संरक्षण धोरणांमधील महत्त्वाचे बदल अतिशय प्रभावीपणे मांडले आहेत. 'ऑपरेशन सिंदूर' हे केवळ पुस्तक नसून, भारताच्या राष्ट्रीय सुरक्षा धोरणांवर चर्चा करणारा एक महत्त्वाचा दस्तावेज आहे. हे पुस्तक खूप चांगले आहे आणि राष्ट्रीय सुरक्षा, सैन्य, आंतरराष्ट्रीय संबंध आणि धोरण (Strategy) या विषयांमध्ये रुची असणाऱ्या प्रत्येक वाचकासाठी अत्यंत महत्त्वाचे आणि संग्राह्य आहे.

हे पुस्तक प्रत्येक देशभक्त भारतीयाने, विशेषतः विद्यार्थ्यांनी, संशोधकांनी आणि सुरक्षा अभ्यासकांनी वाचलेच पाहिजे.

ब्रिगेडियर हेमंत महाजन यांनी अत्यंत जबाबदारीने, राष्ट्राभिमानाने आणि व्यावसायिक परिपक्वतेने हे लेखन केल्यामुळे हे पुस्तक भारतीय धोरणात्मक साहित्याचे एक मोलाचे शिल्प ठरते.

 

सारांश:
 विषय महत्त्वाचा — भारताचे बदलते युद्धनीती व धोरणात्मक भविष्य
 लेखनशैली — स्पष्ट, प्रवाही आणि माहितीपूर्ण
अभ्यासकांसाठी — अनिवार्य वाचन

1.इराणनं संयुक्त अरब अमिरातीच्या फुजायरा बंदरावर दुसऱ्यांदा हल्ला केला. याचं कारण आणि परिणाम काय ? 2, इराणचा यूएईवर क्षेपणास्त्र, ड्रोन हल्ला; फुजैरामध्ये ३ भारतीय नागरिक जखमी

 

1.

पश्चिम आशियातील युद्ध गेल्या काही दिवसांपासून शांत होते. मात्र आखाती प्रदेशात पुन्हा एकदा युद्धज्वर चढला असून ४ मे च्या सायंकाळी इराणने संयुक्त अरब अमिरातीला लक्ष्य केले. इराणकडून क्षेपणास्त्र आणि ड्रोन हल्ला चढविण्यात आल्याचे यूएईच्या यंत्रणेने सांगितले आहे. इराणच्या ड्रोन हल्ल्यात तीन भारतीय नागरिक जखमी झाल्याची माहिती मिळत आहे. तसेच ड्रोन हल्ल्यामुळे फुजैरा तेल प्रकल्पाच्या क्षेत्रात आग लागल्याची माहिती मिळत आहे.

याचे  विश्लेषण करा

१. हल्ल्याचे स्वरूप आणि तात्काळ पार्श्वभूमी

Fujairah हे संयुक्त अरब अमिरातीचे (UAE) अत्यंत महत्त्वाचे तेल-निर्यात आणि लॉजिस्टिक केंद्र आहे. हे Strait of Hormuz जवळ असल्याने जागतिक ऊर्जा सुरक्षेसाठी निर्णायक आहे.

इराणने येथे क्षेपणास्त्र आणि ड्रोन हल्ला करणे हे साधे “प्रतिकारात्मक” पाऊल नसून एक स्ट्रॅटेजिक सिग्नलिंग ऑपरेशन आहे.

संभाव्य कारणे:

(A) दबाव-तंत्र (Pressure Strategy)

• इराणवर अमेरिकन/पाश्चिमात्य निर्बंध वाढले आहेत.
• UAE हे अप्रत्यक्षपणे अमेरिकेच्या सुरक्षा आर्किटेक्चरचा भाग मानले जाते.
• त्यामुळे इराण UAE वर हल्ला करून “तुम्ही सुरक्षित नाही” हा संदेश देतो.

(B) ऊर्जा मार्गांवर नियंत्रणाचा संदेश

• Fujairah हे Hormuz चा bypass म्हणून वापरले जाते.
• इराणचा उद्देश:
  → “Hormuz टाळूनही तुम्ही सुरक्षित राहू शकत नाही.”

(C) प्रॉक्सी युद्धाचा विस्तार

• इराण थेट युद्ध टाळतो पण ड्रोन/मिसाईल वापरून low-cost, high-impact strikes करतो.
• यामुळे युद्धाची मर्यादा नियंत्रित ठेवता येते.

(D) मानसशास्त्रीय युद्ध (Psychological Warfare)

• UAE हे स्थिर, सुरक्षित गुंतवणूक केंद्र आहे.
• अशा हल्ल्यांमुळे गुंतवणूकदारांचा विश्वास डळमळतो.

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२. लष्करी विश्लेषण

(1) ड्रोन + मिसाईल कॉम्बिनेशन

• हे इराणच्या युद्धतंत्राचे वैशिष्ट्य आहे (Swarm tactics).
• एअर डिफेन्स सिस्टीम saturate करण्याचा प्रयत्न.

(2) लक्ष्य निवड

• तेल सुविधा → आर्थिक नसांवर थेट हल्ला
• नागरी भागाजवळ → collateral damage चा धोका

(3) संदेश कोणाला?

• UAE
• Saudi Arabia
• USA
• अप्रत्यक्षपणे भारत, चीन, युरोप (ऊर्जा आयातदार)

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३. भारतीय नागरिक जखमी – भारतासाठी परिणाम