The launch of the CSIS Australia and Japan Chairs Report on U.S.-Australia-Japan Trilateral Cooperation highlights the growing importance of strategic stability in the Taiwan Strait. China's escalating military activities, economic pressure, and increasingly belligerent rhetoric regarding reunification have significantly heightened tensions, both regionally and globally. The risk of conflict in the Taiwan Strait has become a pressing concern, with potential scenarios ranging from a full-scale invasion to more ambiguous forms of aggression that fall below the threshold of conventional warfare.
The Role of the U.S., Japan, and Australia
The United States, Japan, and Australia serve as the primary anchors of regional stability in the Indo-Pacific. Despite the formidable power and shared interests of these three nations in maintaining cross-strait stability, discussions between Washington, Tokyo, and Canberra on preventing and responding to a crisis remain underdeveloped. There is a critical need for enhanced dialogue and coordination among these allies to effectively address the challenges posed by China's assertive actions.
Track 2 Discussions for Strategic Stability
In an effort to foster a more focused dialogue on preserving cross-strait stability, the CSIS Australia Chair and Japan Chair convened a group of 22 leading strategic thinkers from the United States, Japan, and Australia for two days of Track 2 discussions in Canberra. These discussions were marked by vigorous debate on the best strategies to counter China's gray zone coercion and to strengthen deterrence against any potential use of force by China to compel unification. The outcomes of these discussions are expected to play a crucial role in shaping future trilateral cooperation on strategic stability in the region
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