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Wednesday, 24 September 2014

अतिरेक्यांच्या धमक्या व ‘बे्रकिंग इंडिया’चे भाकीत

अतिरेक्यांच्या धमक्या व ‘बे्रकिंग इंडिया’चे भाकीत अल् कायदा भारतात दहशतवादी कारवायांच्या मदतीने इस्लामिक राज्य उभे करण्याच्या तयारीत आहे, याची कल्पना ‘ब्रेकिंग इंडिया’ या पुस्तकाचे लेखक राजीव मल्होत्रा यांनी शेकडो पुराव्यानिशी ४ वर्षांपूर्वीच दिली होती. देशात जेहादी दहशतवादी, माओवादी यांनी परस्परांना मदत करून आपल्याला योग्य अशी भूमी वाटून घेतली आहे,असे त्यांनी पुस्तकात नमूद केले होते. सर्वांत चिंतनीय बाब म्हणजे या देशातील अनेक राज्यकिय पक्ष जेहादी, माओवादी ,संघटनांनाच आपले समर्थक मानतात. भारतात २१/०९/२०१४ पर्यंत २५३ सामान्य नागरिक,११० सैनिक,३०३ दहशतवादी/ माओवादी,मारले गेले. काश्मीरमधिल वाढती घुसखोरी सीमेपलीकडून काश्मीर खोर्या त अतिरेक्यांच्या घुसखोरीचा आणखी एक प्रयत्न उधळून लावताना भारतीय लष्करी जवानांनी १८/०९/२०१४ला जम्मू-काश्मीरच्या तंगधार सेक्टरमधील नियंत्रण रेषेवर लष्कर-ए-तोयबाच्या चार अतिरेक्यांना कंठस्नान घातले. जम्मू-काश्मीरमध्ये आलेल्या पुरात लष्कराच्या अनेक छावण्यांचे प्रचंड नुकसान झाले. लष्कराचा मोठा शस्त्रसाठा पुरात वाहून गेला. पुराचे पाणी आणि चिखल यात अडकून पडल्यामुळे लष्कराच्या अनेक रायफली बिघडल्या.घरात पाणी शिरल्यामुळे शेकडोजणांना लष्कराने पूर आल्यानंतर उभारलेल्या छावण्यांमध्ये आश्रय घेण्याची वेळ आली आहे. असंख्य सैनिक मदतकार्यात गुंतले आहेत. या सगळ्याचा सीमावर्ती भागातील बंदोबस्तावर परिणाम होईल असा विचार करुनच दहशतवाद्यांनी घुसखोरीची तयारी सुरू केली आहे.एकाचवेळी संरक्षण यंत्रणा सीमावर्ती भागातील आपल्या चौक्या, बंकर, छावण्यांची डागडुजी करणे आणि नागरी वस्तीत मदतकार्य सुरू ठेवणे अशी कसरत करत आहे.पाकिस्तान दहशतवाद्यांमार्फत भारतात मोठ्या प्रमाणावर हिंसा करण्यासाठी नव्याने प्रयत्न करत आहे. नियंत्रण रेषेच्या वेगवेगळ्या भागातून दोनशे दहशतवादी भारतात घुसखोरी करण्यासाठी सज्ज आहेत. जिहादी संघटनांच्या रडारवर भारत अल् कायदाद्वारा इतक्यात जारी करण्यात आलेल्या व्हिडीओत ‘कायदात अल् जिहाद’ला भारत, बांगलादेश आणि म्यानमारमध्ये रक्तपात घडविण्याची जबाबदारी सोपविण्यात आली आहे. जवाहिरीने भारताच्या जम्मू-काश्मीर, गुजरात आणि आसाममध्ये जिहाद प्रारंभ करण्याची धमकी दिली आहे. भारताच्या आसाम, गुजरात आणि काश्मीरची निवड आपल्या जिहादी अजेंड्यात करण्यामागे अल् कायदाची विचारपूर्वक आखलेली व्यूहरचना आहे. येथील युवकांना धर्माच्या नावाखाली भडकविणे सोपे आहे. याशिवाय अल् कायदाने केरळ, कर्नाटक आणि तामिळनाडूतील युवकांना संघटनेत सहभागी करण्याची मोहीम सुरू केली आहे. त्यांना रोजगार देण्याचे आमिष दाखवून कुवैतला पाठविण्यात येत आहे. भारतात काश्मीरमध्ये अल कायदाचे नेटवर्क पूर्वीपासून आहेच. सिमी, इंडियन मुजाहिद्दीन या संघटनांच्या माध्यमातून त्यांनी कारवाया सुरूच ठेवलेल्या आहेत. बांगलादेशातून आपल्याकडे विविध कुरापती सुरू आहेतच. भारतातील युवकांच्या मनात विष कालवण्याचे काम मुजाहिदीन करते . त्यांना पाकव्याप्त काश्मीरमधील शिबिरात दहशतवादाचे धडे अल् कायदा देते. पाकिस्तानात बसून भारतात दहशतवादी कारवायांचे कटकारस्थान रचणार्याच हाफीज सईदसारख्यानेही भारतातील मुस्लिमांवर होणार्याक अन्यायाचा बदला घेण्यात येईल, अशी धमकी दिली आहे. शिवाय भारतात आपली पाळेमुळे पसरलेल्या सिमी या संघटनेकडून सतत धोका होत आला आहे. इराकमध्ये आयएसआयएस या संघटनेचा स्वयंभू खलिफा अबु बकर अल् बगदादी याने इराकमध्ये नरसंहार केल्यानंतर यापुढे आपले लक्ष्य भारत असल्याचे म्हटले आहे. आयएसआयएसजवळ सध्या ३०,००० लढवय्यांची फौज आहे.या सगळ्या संघटना अचानक भारताला धमक्या का देत सुटल्या आहेत, यामागे एखादे संघटित कटकारस्थान तर नाही ना? बगदादचे मुख्य शियापंथी अल मलिकी बगदाद यांनी जगातील सर्व शियाना शिया पंथाच्या रक्षणासाठी आमंत्रित केले आहे. त्यांनी म्हटले आहे की, आयएसआयएस/अल कायदापासून आमचे रक्षण करा. त्यांला मान देऊन अलिगड येथून सहा हजार शिया पंथी युवकांनी बगदादला जाण्याची तयारी केली आहे. सर्व देशातून एकूण २५००० शिया नौजवान इराकला जाण्यासाठी तयार आहेत.या सर्व प्रकारात शिया व सुन्नी कोण कोणाला भारी पडेल हे काळ ठरवेल. यांच्या फंदात भारतियांनी न पडलेलेच बरे. असुरक्षित ईशान्य भारत आसाममधील उल्फाशी अल कायदाने संधान साधले असल्याची भीती त्या राज्याचे मुख्यमंत्री तरुण गोगोई यांनी व्यक्त केली आहे. गेल्या काही वर्षांपासून पाकिस्तानमधील भारतविरोधी दहशतवादी शक्ती नक्षलवाद्यांशी आणि ईशान्येकडील फुटीर गटांशी हातमिळवणी करण्यासाठी धडपडत असल्याच्या वार्ता गुप्तचर यंत्रणांना मिळत आल्या आहेत. त्यामुळे उल्फाशी खरोखरच अल कायदाने संपर्क प्रस्थापित केलेला असेल, तर ती चिंतेची बाब म्हणायला हवी.आसाममध्ये बांगलादेशी घुसखोर आणि स्थानिक नागरिकांमध्ये संघर्ष सारखा चालु आहे. आसाममध्ये स्थानिक बोडो आदिवासींना हिंसेच्या बळावर हाकलून देणारे अवैध बांगलादेशी घुसखोर आहेत, ज्यांच्यामुळे केवळ असामच्याच लोकसंख्येचा समतोल बिघडला असे नसून, देशातील अन्य भागात ठाण मांडून बसलेल्या बांगलादेशी घुसखोरांमुळे कायदा व सुव्यवस्थेचा गंभीर प्रश्न निर्माण झाला आहे. हुजीसारख्या दहशतवादी संघटनांच्या कारवाया बांगलादेशी घुसखोरांच्या मदतीने सुरू आहेत माओवाद्यांचा सह्याद्री डोंगररांगांत प्रवेश मध्य भारतात आपले जाळे पसरवणाऱ्या माओवाद्यांनी आता पश्चिम घाटाच्या परिसराला आपले कार्यक्षेत्र बनवण्याचा निर्णय घेतला आहे. भाकप माओवादी या पक्षाच्या दशकपूर्तीच्या निमित्ताने माओवाद्यांच्या केंद्रीय समितीने सहकाऱ्यांना पाठवलेल्या पत्रात कोकण, कर्नाटक, तामिळनाडू आणि केरळ या भागांतील पश्चिम घाटांतून सरकारविरोधी कारवाई करण्याचे आवाहन केले आहे. माओवाद्यानी पुण्या-मुंबईपर्यंत जाळे विणल्याचे अलीकडे दिसून आले आहे.विभिन्न अतिरेकी संघटनांकडून गेल्या महिनाभरात आलेल्या धमक्या, आमच्या सरहद्दींसह अंतर्गत सुरक्षा सांभाळणार्याग सबंध यंत्रणांसाठी सतर्कतेचा इशारा देणार्याह आहेत. पाकिस्तानच्या नापाक कारवाया आणि माओवाद्यांच्या हिंसाचाराचा मुकाबला आमचे जवान करीत असतानाच, या धमक्या एकामागून एक आल्या आहेत. दहशतवादी कारवायांसाठी संयुक्त प्रयत्न प्रत्येकाच्या लपून बसण्याच्या जागा आहेत. काही संघटना लपून बसण्याच्या जागांमुळे प्रभावी झाल्या आहेत. प्रत्येकाजवळ दहशतवादी कारवायांसाठी लागणारी शस्त्रास्त्रे आहेत. खेळता पैसा , दळणवळण साधनेही आहेत.ती साधने एकमेकांसाठी उपलब्ध करून, भूमिगत स्वरूपाची अनेक प्रशिक्षणे एकत्र चालवणे फ़ायद्याचे असते.आजारी दहशतवाद्यांची काळजी एकत्र घेता येते. या प्रकारांची सुरुवात प्रथम ईशान्येकडील राज्यात झाली व नंतर आसाम, बिहार, बंगाल, झारखंड ओरिसामध्ये सुरू झाली. गेल्या दहा वर्षांत देशभर अनेक ठिकाणी जे स्फोट झाले त्याला यांचा संयुक्त प्रयत्न कारणीभूत होता. या संघटनानी आपापसात या देशाची वाटणी करून टाकली आहे. उत्तरेतील अनेक प्रदेश जिहादासाठी आहेत. रेड कॉरिडार हे क्षेत्र माओवाद्यांसाठी आहे.येणार्या काळात भारतीय उपखंडांमध्ये दहशतवादी कारवाया वाढवणार आहे. सामना हवा दहशतवादी मानसिकतेशी ठाणे, हैदराबाद, केरळ, तमिळनाडू या भागांतील तरुणांना जिहादच्या नावाखाली दहशतवादासाठी बळी पाडले जात आहे. दहशतवादी संघटना आहेतच. पण, त्यांना मदत करणार्याख यंत्रणा आहेत तरी कुठल्या?, या भारतीय तरुणांना व्हीसा देतो तरी कोण?, त्यांना इराकमध्ये न्यायला कोण गेले होते? या प्रश्नांची उत्तरे आपल्याकडे नाहीत.दहशतवादी कारवायांचे काम अतिशय गुप्तपणे सुरू आहे .ते आपल्या जवळ येऊन ठेपले आहे.दिल्ली, बिहार, उत्तरप्रदेश, महाराष्ट्र येथील जवळजवळ ३०० भारतीय इराक आणि सीरियात आयएसआयएसबरोबर खांद्याला खांदा लावून रक्तपात घडविण्याला गेले आहेत. या गेलेल्या तरुणांमधील काही दहशतवादी बनले, तरी तो देशासाठी मोठा धोका ठरेल. यासाठीच भारताने तरुण पिढीकडे फार बारकाईने लक्ष देणे गरजेचे आहे. दहशतवादी संघटनांना कधीही कमी लेखण्याची चूक करू नये. काही दहशतवादी संपले म्हणून दहशतवाद संपत नसतो. दहशतवादी मानसिकतेवर प्रहार गरजेचा असतो. तो आपण करायला हवा. दहशतवादाकडे वळलेल्या तरुणाचे सरासरी आयुष्य ५-७ वर्षांचे असते. तेव्हा या मार्गाकडे वळणार्या. तरुणांचे प्रबोधन गरजेचे आहे. दहशतवादाचा सामना हवा, तो दहशतवादी मानसिकतेशी. समाज एकसंध व्हायला हवा भारतावर काही महिन्यापासुन दहशतवादी हल्ला झाला नाही, याचा अर्थ दहशतवाद संपला असा नाही. समाजात एकी असेल, तर अल कायदासारख्या कितीही दहशतवादी संघटना उभ्या राहिल्या, तरी काहीही वाईट करू शकत नाहीत; पण अल कायदाचे हे भूत उतरवायचे असेल, तर डोळे उघडून सगळीकडे सजगतेने पाहायला हवे आणि समाज म्हणून एकसंध व्हायला हवे.दहशतवादाला पाकिस्तानचे प्रोत्साहन लाभत आले आहे.आगामी नरेन्द्र मोदी यांच्या अमेरिका दौर्यात पाकिस्तानी दहशतवादाचा मुद्दा ऊठवुन पाकिस्तानवर पुर्ण जगाकडुन दड्पण आणले पाहीजे .

CHINESE RESEARCH VS INDIAN RESEARCH

http://www.indiandefencereview.com/news/research-in-china/ Claude Arpi IssueCourtesy: Uday India| Date : 24 Sep , 2014 It was recently reported that Prime Minister Narendra Modi was extremely unhappy about the state of affairs at the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO). According to the Times of India, when he visited the DRDO headquarters on August 20, Modi “has asked the tardy organisation to shape-up in the face of competition from the private sector”. Modi asked the defence minister to conduct a detailed review of the DRDO, and eventually come out with a white paper. Modi also asked the officers to give up their ‘chalta hai’ (lackadaisical) attitude. It appears that 15 top DRDO scientists, including Director General, Avinash Chander, are on extension; Chander holds three posts—Secretary (Defence) R&D, DG (DRDO) and Scientific Advisor to the defence minister. A senior defence ministry official told the Times of India: “The PM was not happy about [this]. As per a Department of Personnel and Training (DoPT) ruling, only the best scientists of international stature should be considered for extensions. He asked for all the details. He was told about the high attrition rate among the younger scientists.” The daily remarked: “DRDO spokesperson Ravi Gupta could not be contacted for a comment”; ‘Missing in Action’ in Army terms. In the meantime, China takes giant strides to catch up with the US in the field of military innovations. Xinhua reported that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) would soon take delivery of a new generation’s aerial drone. China Central Television (CCTV) showed a test flight of the Rainbow 4 (CH-4), a hunter-killer drone, which successfully hit a target with a missile. The new CH-4 has been developed for reconnaissance and military strikes by the China Aerospace Science and Technology. Li Pingkun, the head of the CH-4 project, told CCTV that the new drone could fly long-distance and hit a target with a error margin of less than 1.5 metres. Li explained that the precision was due to several new original ways to guide the missiles (or smart bombs) to their target. The South China Morning Post, quoting some reports in the mainland, said: “The Rainbow 4 was developed as the PLA’s answer to the MQ-9 Reaper, a hunter-killer drone mainly used by the US military for reconnaissance and high-precision air strikes.” The nine-metres-long CH-4 has an 18-metre wingspan. With its 40-hour autonomy, it can carry four missiles, while its ground control centre can be fitted on two trucks. Can the CH-4 catch up with the US Reaper in terms of targeting precision, flight length and payloads? Certainly not as yet, though intense efforts are being put in the project by the Chinese scientists. If today, the Reaper can fly at 740km/h, the Chinese drone’s maximum speed is 235km/h, but the Chinese project is progressing fast. But that is not all. Have you heard of ‘supercavitation’ technology? During the cold war, Soviet scientists had developed a technology called ‘supercavitation’, by which a submerged vessel would proceed inside an air bubble to avoid water drag. Theoretically, a supercavitating vessel could reach the speed of sound, and this underwater; it would reduce the time for a transatlantic underwater cruise to less than an hour and for a transpacific journey to about 100 minutes. Today, it may be science-fiction, but the Chinese scientists are working hard to solve the many technical hurdles. The South China Morning Post explains: “China has moved a step closer to creating a supersonic submarine that could travel from Shanghai to San Francisco in less than two hours.” It is hard to believe, but a team of scientists at Harbin Institute of Technology’s Complex Flow and Heat Transfer Lab has made some breakthrough which should help a submarine, or a torpedo, to travel at extremely high speeds underwater. Li Fengchen, professor of fluid machinery and engineering, announced that the new technology “could create the complicated air ‘bubble’ required for rapid underwater travel.” Well, it is not done, but China is working on it. Li affirmed that his team has found innovative means of addressing some of the unresolved problems: “Our method is different from any other approach, such as vector propulsion, or thrust created by an engine. By combining liquid-membrane technology with supercavitation, we can significantly reduce the launch challenges and make cruising control easier.” In future, the supercavitation technology will not be limited to military use only; it could also be utilised for civilian projects. Professor Wang Guoyu, of the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory at Beijing Institute of Technology admits huge scientific and engineering challenges: “The size of the bubble is difficult to control, and the vessel is almost impossible to steer. While cruising at high speed during supercavitation, a fin could be snapped off if it touched the water because of the liquid’s far greater density.” There is more. The Chinese press recently conducted the second flight test of a new, ultra-high-speed missile. Analysts believe that it is part of a global system of attack weapons capable of striking the United States with nuclear warheads. The flight of the new hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) or Wu-14 took place August 7 at a missile facility in western China. The Pentagon spokesman Lt. Col. Jeffrey Pool stated: “We routinely monitor foreign defense activities, however we don’t comment on our intelligence or assessments of foreign weapons systems.” He, however, confirmed a first test of the Wu-14 in January, though declined to provide a similar confirmation on the second test. According to The South China Morning Post: “The first flight test of the Wu-14 took place January 9 and flew at speeds of around Mach 10, or 10 times the speed of sound—around 7,680 miles per hour. Hypersonic speed pose severe guidance and control challenges for weapons engineers and produce extreme stress to metal and components.” The US intelligence circles see this as an emerging hypersonic arms race. The Chinese press did not mention the August 7 test, but reports about the presumed Wu-14 launch appeared on internet which mentioned a missile launched from the Jiuquan satellite launch facility located in the Gobi Desert. Further, reports and photos posted online indicated that the booster rocket used in the test crash landed in China’s Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. The booster crash is consistent with a hypersonic test. Hypersonic glide vehicles travel in near space and thus the rocket that launched it may not have left the atmosphere. The Pentagon has tested several hypersonic weapons platforms such as the X-37B Space Plane, the Lockheed Hypersonic Technology Vehicle-2 or the Boeing’s hypersonic craft known as the X-51 WaveRider. What worries the US defence establishment are the sharp Pentagon budget cuts which may strike the funding for U.S. hypersonic craft. In the meantime, President Xi Jinping (who is also Chairman of the Central Military Commission) spoke a ‘new military revolution’: “The new military revolution has provided China with opportunities and challenges at the same time and we must have foresight to adapt to changes in warfare.” He was addressing his 24 colleagues of the Political Bureau Xi asked Communist Party members to devote more attention to military issues, national defense and military development and military preparedness, and to support national defense and military reforms. The message is clear. Further, according to Xinhua, Xi said: “The changes will include developing new military strategies, technologies, doctrines, combat forces and management models with military informatisation being central to modern combat”. Xi also mentioned four principles of comprehensive planning for military ‘renovation’. The Party should formulate an overall strategy to enhance its military strength: · by developing a new mindset for the different military departments · by uniting under a coherent strategy, · by adopting a coordinated approach to innovation, and · by fostering independent innovation. The CMC Chairman added: “The new military revolution is developing at a pace so fast and with its impact so broad and profound that has rarely been seen since the end of WWII. The Chinese military must make great leaps in development and innovation so as to close the gap with its better-developed peers in the world. He further urged the integration of military and civilian innovation “so that the two can accommodate each other and develop together”. It is time for DRDO to wake up from their slumber. The world is moving; China is progressing fast, India will be left behind. A solution might be to split DRDO into several autonomous projects with orders to deliver the goods. Claude Arpi Writes regularly on Tibet, China, India and Indo-French relations.

FEW FACTS ABOUT INDIAN ARMY

Facts About The Indian Armed Forces That’ll Make You Respect Them Even More The Indian Armed Forces, consisting of the Indian Army, the Indian Air Force, the Indian Navy and the Indian Coast Guard are India’s shield and sword, which keep our interests safe, our enemies at bay and the people of our country secure and free. They are respected and adored for their valour and sense of duty by the entire country. Many of us would know about their triumphs and stellar contributions to civilian life. Here are a few facts which will increase your respect for the Indian military ten-fold. 1. India controls the highest battlefield in the world, the Siachen glacier, at 5000 metres above Mean Sea Level (MSL). Source 2. India has the biggest "voluntary" army in the world.All serving and reserve personnel have actually “opted” for service. There is a provision for conscription (forced recruitment) in the constitution, but it has never been used. Source 3. Indian soldiers are considered among the very best in high altitude and mountain warfare.The Indian army’s High Altitude Warfare School (HAWS) is one of the most elite military training centers in the world and is frequented by Special Ops teams from the U.S, U.K & Russia. U.S Special Forces trained at HAWS before their deployment during the invasion of Afghanistan. Source 4. India covertly tested its nuclear arsenal in the early 1970s and late 1990s without the CIA even knowing what was happening.Till date, it is considered to be one of the CIA’s biggest failures in espionage and detection. Source 5. Unlike other government organisations and institutions in India, there are no provisions for reservations based on caste or religion.Soldiers are recruited based on their overall merit and fitness based on stringent tests and trials. And once a citizen of India joins the forces, he/she becomes a soldier. Nothing else. Nothing more. Source 6. In the Battle of Longewala, on which the famous Bollywood movie “Border” is based, there were only two casualties on the Indian side.The Battle of Longewala was fought in December 1971 between India and Pakistan, in which just 120 Indian Soldiers with 1 jeep mounted M40 recoilless rifle held the fort against 2000 Pakistani soldiers backed by 45 tanks and 1 mobile infantry brigade. Despite being heavily out-numbered, the Indian soldiers held their ground throughout the night and with the help of the Air Force, were able to completely rout the aggressors. Source 7. Operation Rahat (2013) was one of the biggest civilian rescue operations ever carried out in the world.It was carried out by the Indian Air Force to evacuate civilians affected by the floods in Uttarakhand in 2013. It was the biggest civilian rescue operations in the world carried out by any Air Force using helicopters. During the first phase of the operation from 17 June 2013, the IAF airlifted a total of about 20,000 people; flying a total of 2,140 sorties and dropping a total of 3,82,400 kg of relief material and equipment. Source 8. The Ezhimala Naval Academy in Kerala is the largest of its kind in Asia. Source 9. The Indian army has a horsed cavalry regiment. It is among one of the last 3 such regiments in the world. Source 10. The Indian Air Force has an out-station base in Tajikistan and is seeking another in Afghanistan. Source 11. The Indian Army built the highest bridge in the world.The Bailey Bridge is the highest bridge in the world. It is located in the Ladakh valley between Dras and Suru rivers in the Himalayan mountains. It was built by the Indian Army in August 1982. Source 12. The Military Engineering Services (MES) is one of the biggest construction agencies in India.The MES and Border Roads Organisation (BRO) are together responsible for the construction and maintenance of some of the most awesome roads and bridges ever to have been built. To name a few, the Khardungla Pass (the highest motorable road in the world), the Magnetic Hill in Leh, etc. Source 13. The Indo Pakistan War of 1971 came to end with the surrender of about 93,000 combatants and officials of the Pakistani Army.This is the largest number of POWs taken into custody since World War II. The war resulted in the creation of the independent state of Bangladesh. When the Going gets Tough, the Tough get going !!

NO WAR NO PEACE WITH CHINA-GEN HASNAIN INDIAN ARMY

http://indianexpress.com/article/world/neighbours/no-war-no-peace/99/ No war, no peace Syed Ata Hasnain • Ads by Google In the euphoria over the potential economic and diplomatic gains from the visit of the Chinese president, the nagging problem at Demchok and Chumar remained inexplicable to most casual observers. The games being played from Depsang (2013) to Demchok and Chumar have long gone on and “tolerance for ambiguity” has its limits. Military professionalism usually does not demand this kind of tolerance at tactical levels. I would be at a loss to give any orders to my subordinates in such a situation, and in the army we are used to giving crisp and clear orders; to introduce diplomacy at the tactical level is a folly because it complicates the situation. One needs to climb down from the lofty pedestal of strategy to the sub-tactical level to get a measure of how things play out on the frontlines and why diplomacy cannot be conducted from the end point of bayonets. Everyone knows there is a non-existent border between Ladakh and Tibet. India has claim lines that extend into China’s perceptions of its territory and vice-versa. The two armies and border forces stay away from these but proceed to patrol areas to the limit of their perceived claim lines, thus leading to transgressions and “intrusions”. The problem — unlike the LoC with Pakistan, which is a temporary line where ground positions rest — is that there is no line temporarily accepted by India and China along their border. Progressive border protocols have recognised this, but no agreed procedure to first settle such a temporary line without prejudice to subsequent agreements has ever been arrived at. The protocols, however, have recognised the need for immediate disengagement should there be an impending clash based on individual perceptions. In recent years, this too has been largely ineffective in the face of the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) attempts to heckle, extract advantage or send messages to not only India but the world that China will not accept any compromise on its territorial claims. China seems to believe it can follow a dual-track policy of benefiting from economic and diplomatic engagement while continuing to remind the other nation that it has territorial issues to settle. With Vietnam, the policy led to a dangerous standoff involving the PLA’s navy. China’s approach to Vietnam has been tentative due to the psychological effects of the setback it suffered on the battlefield during the 1979 Sino-Vietnamese war; with India, the clear victory in the border war of 1962 emboldens Beijing. That is why the media, if no one else, needs to remind China about the 1967 standoff at Nathu La and how it was triggered by such similar intransigence to China’s disadvantage. At Nathu La, the PLA attempted to intimidate the Indian army unit with continuous propaganda aired through loudspeakers; in Chumar and Demchok, as also in other places, it is banner warfare. Infantry units of the Indian army that face such situations, thrive on their honor and achievements — the standoffs mentioned above can sometimes lead to situations where that honor is perceived to be compromised. In the heat of such repeated events, a larger conflagration could likely be triggered, with resultant strategic effects at the political level. If there is nothing as clear as war, there is nothing as hazy and difficult to comprehend as “no war no peace”. That is why the army has included “tolerance for ambiguity” as one of the important qualities to be assessed in its officer cadre. Not many understand the finer nuances of this quality but no better situation exemplifies it than that which exists along the LAC. Clearly, the predicament at the tactical and sub-tactical levels needs to be kept in mind while the entire gamut of relations with China is played out; there is much to be gained from being within the loop of detail in such situations and it is good to see the army chief having a direct line to the prime minister. There is no shortage of explanations for Chinese actions, ranging from the PLA’s rogue attitude towards the political leadership in Beijing to the reminders to India and other nations about its policy of securing its economic interests without compromising on its territorial disputes. From a study of the Chinese media as well as interactions with officials during a recent visit to China, I could sense that Beijing will continue to woo potential partners for economic cooperation. However, it is apprehensive about Japan and Vietnam, with whom it has similar festering disputes in the maritime arena. Talks on economic cooperation with India without effective reminders about outstanding boundary disputes may have sent contrary signals to these two countries. It was important, therefore, to adopt a similar posture for all its potential economic partners. The possibility of an emerging US-India-Japan axis — the portents of which appeared after Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Japan and may materialise after his imminent visit to the US — is definitely a factor unnerving China. Military posturing in such a situation sends a signal of being in control. That such military posturing can go awry in the face of a trigger does not appear to have been taken into account by China. In fact, Beijing would do well to realistically analyse India’s military potential, which may appear weak but, in effect, is sufficient to dent China’s image should there be a localised showdown. Keeping India away from US-Japan linkages is a legitimate strategy for China, but not at the cost of risking a military conflagration. PM Modi’s plainspeaking may have sent an appropriate message that India will not cow down before military posturing. But President Xi Jinping’s strange strategy of seeking enhanced friendship in the backdrop of a border standoff is unlikely to be drawn back. As for handling the sub-tactical to the strategic, India’s various agencies must adopt a holistic consultative approach with loads of “tolerance for ambiguity”.

Tuesday, 23 September 2014

NARENDRA MODI & KARGIL WAR

US diggers find a Kargil resolution - ‘HR 227’ and the Modi connection K.P. NAYAR Modi New Delhi, Sept. 21: With exactly a week to go before Barack Obama and Narendra Modi meet for the first time, Americans are discovering that the new Prime Minister is no pushover. As inter-agency meetings to give concrete shape to an imponderable Indo-US summit began within the Obama administration last fortnight, documents surfaced in Washington which pointed to a hitherto unknown role played by Modi in securing the withdrawal of Pakistani forces from Kargil at the heavy prodding of then US President Bill Clinton. These documents, which were shared by well-connected sources in Washington and are now in the possession of The Telegraph, have convinced those working on the September 29-30 summit that Modi was not a stranger to foreign affairs even in 1999 when he visited the US as a pracharak of the RSS. Modi’s visit took place five days before Nawaz Sharif flew into Washington and agreed after a day-long meeting with Clinton to pull out of Kargil, enabling a ceasefire in the conflict that worried the world because it began soon after India and Pakistan became declared nuclear powers. Modi’s role in the turn of events, it is now revealed, was critical. The discovery of these Kargil documents and revelations that are not on paper have alerted the Obama administration that they will have their hands full when the US President and other top American leaders meet the Prime Minister in a week. The documents, which were recovered from the mists of time 15 years ago, are the result of painstaking research and a tribute to America’s institutionalised memory of dealings with events around the world as a superpower. The story they have to tell is as follows and points to how history can look very different with the passage of time and how contemporary events are not what they are as they happen. They also offer a window into the BJP-RSS ways of doing things, often very different from other political organisations. After the Pakistanis sought strategic advantage over India in the spring of 1999, a full military conflict erupted along approximately 150km around Kargil by June. As Indian casualties mounted, the Americans assessed that then Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee was considering opening another front “to force Pakistanis to fight on territory favourable to India”, according to Bruce Reidel, who was Clinton’s special assistant and senior director for near east and south Asia in the White House national security council from 1997 to 2001. Vajpayee concluded that although India could fight a long war and win conventionally, international pressure on Islamabad, particularly from Washington, could force a Pakistani withdrawal from Kargil and end the loss of lives and other destruction. But the Clinton administration, in particular the state department, was ambivalent: Foggy Bottom, the seat of the state department, like the Pentagon had a history of supporting Pakistan. So, all of India’s efforts were concentrated on getting the US Congress to mount pressure on the American executive on behalf of New Delhi. On the other side, Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif feared a coup and his overthrow if the conflict continued. He wanted to pursue the path of Lahore, where Vajpayee had gone and extended the hand of friendship. But Pervez Musharraf, his army chief, wanted to press for strategic advantage with India and he saw Kargil as the route to achieve that goal which had eluded Pakistan throughout its history. By the last week of June, before the US House of Representatives was a two-and-a-half-page resolution, at the core of which was a declaration that “it should be the policy of the US to oppose the government of Pakistan’s support for armed incursion into Jammu and Kashmir, India.” It will never be acknowledged, of course, but the text of that House resolution, “HR 227,” was virtually written by Indian lobbyists on Capitol Hill on behalf of the Indian embassy in Washington. Going through transcripts of meetings of the House of Representatives Committee on International Relations for that week, it is clear the draft had the support of all members but one. The resolution was to leave the committee in that form and would have been passed by the House, but Narendra Modi arrived in Washington and with support from Overseas Friends of the BJP, launched into a whirlwind of meetings with key Congressmen. Earlier, he had spent a few days in New Jersey brainstorming with Indian Americans, especially of BJP and RSS persuasion, and assessed the situation. At meetings on Capitol Hill, Modi asked for reopening of the text of HR 227 arguing that it was toothless and would not do anything to persuade Musharraf to call off his dangerous Kargil adventure. Modi said the only thing that would hurt Islamabad was a financial crunch and he called on the US to work towards cutting off funds for Pakistan from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Shekhar Tiwari, who co-founded the Overseas Friends of the BJP along with the late Mukund Mody, told The Telegraph last week that Benjamin Gilman, chairman of the House committee, agreed with Modi. But Gilman feared that there would not be enough support either within his panel or on the House floor to get such an amendment passed. Besides, Gilman and the committee’s most prominent friend of India, Gary Ackerman of New York, pointed out that the Indian embassy had not asked for any cut-off in funds. They only wanted condemnation of Pakistan. It was then that Modi took matters into his hands. With support from Hindu Net and other American organisations linked to the RSS, Congressmen were bombarded with phone calls and fax messages demanding, as American citizens, that the US should call for cutting off international loans and aid to Pakistan. “I am running out of fax paper,” Tiwari recalled Gilman as complaining to him about this campaign that Modi mobilised in two days. Having sowed this wind, Modi left for Europe because of prior commitments, leaving those on Capitol Hill to reap its whirlwind. By July 1, two days after Modi had his meetings with Congressmen, at a “mark-up” session of the committee, Ackerman moved an amendment to HR 227 which substituted portions of the original resolution. In part, Ackerman’s amendment read: the US “President should consider all alternatives, including instructing the US representatives to various international financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank to oppose any loan applications from Pakistan, except for food or humanitarian assistance, until it withdraws its forces from the Indian side of the Line of Control.” The amendment passed with 22 votes. It was opposed by only four members, prominent among whom where well-known India-baiter Dan Burton of Indiana and a champion of the Afghan royal family, Dana Rohrabacher of California. As the Modi-inspired amendment made its way through stages on Capitol Hill, the BJP and the RSS left nothing to chance. Sushma Swaraj arrived in Washington and was personally on the Hill as the Ackerman amendment passed. From Washington, she reported regularly on the amendment’s progress both to L.K. Advani and to the RSS headquarters in Nagpur, sources in both organisations confirmed. Once the Ackerman amendment passed overwhelmingly, the administration read it as a signal that America’s elected representatives had chosen to unambiguously back India in the conflict. Reidel has put down on paper for the University of Pennsylvania’s Center for the Advanced Study of India what is the most authoritative account of the US role in ending the Kargil war, but solely from the administration’s view point. According to him, “on the 3rd (of July, two days after the Ackerman amendment) Sharif was more desperate and told the president he was ready to come immediately to Washington to seek our help. The president repeated his caution — come only if you are ready to withdraw, I can’t help you if you are not ready to pull back…. Sharif said he was coming and would be there on the 4th”. The Pakistani Prime Minister went to Washington and the rest is history. July 4 was America’s independence day, a national holiday, but Clinton spent the day ending the Kargil war

Monday, 22 September 2014

SOLDIERS OF MISFORTUNE

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/defence-ministry-indian-armed-forces-soldiers-bjp/1/382283.html Soldiers of misfortune Manu Pubby September 11, 2014 At a national security meeting in Delhi on April 16, 2010, then-defence minister A.K. Antony assured top military commanders that budget constraints were a thing of the past. "There will never be a paucity of funds," the minister said confidently, "as far as it concerns the modernisation of the armed forces." It was music to the ears of the officers. The economy was on an upswing and military purchases were on track. Barely a month before the meeting, India had signed a $760 million deal for 12 VVIP helicopters for the Indian Air Force (IAF). Other big-ticket acquisitions were being processed. Among them was a $4.1 billion contract for 10 strategic lift aircraft from the US-unheard of for the IAF, which had till then bought entire fleets of Russian fighter aircraft for lower. Military planners of all three services in the room, therefore, had no reason to disbelieve their minister. A few days later, a serving armed forces chief would remark that money was no longer a concern: "It's a blank cheque. Funds are not an issue any longer, what matters is what we need and when we need it." But the heady days the four-star officer was looking forward to-the creation of a modern force with enough firepower to blunt any conventional misadventure in the region-would never come. Defence scandals surfaced in the following months, starting with the Sukna land case, and combined with a sliding economy, paralysed policy and decision-making. With Antony willing to err on the side of caution and stall rather than risk a scandal, his ministry all but shut down for business. The result: India's defence modernisation plans have crumbled into a mess. The lost years The policy paralysis has hit the armed forces the hardest, with little progress made in most of their ambitious projects and plans to modernise. The irony is that the Indian military is the only one of its kind that is swimming against the global trend of being "lean and mean" by raising the number of troops. Key suppliers such as Rheinmetall, Rolls-Royce and Finmeccanica were blocked from dealing with India under the 'put on hold' principle for firms suspected of corruption. The only major defence deals sealed by the UPA government in its last years in power was a contract to equip the IAF with basic trainers and another to upgrade the Mirage 2000 fighter fleet. As decision-making came to a standstill, thorny issues were kept pending for months before being quietly taken off the agenda, say members of the Defence Acquisition Council (DAC), the apex body of the ministry on purchases. Though in some cases, the laborious process of floating tenders, and evaluating and shortlisting suppliers is on, the process seems tailored to delay or stall final agreements. The lack of drive in the defence ministry has led international companies to scale down operations in India. Major firms such as BAE Systems are cautious about expanding in India while the likes of Textron (Bell) and Sikorsky have shifted focus to the civilian market. Even European giant EADS, now being renamed Airbus, has downsized. Rheinmetall has shut shop. Months after the new Government came to power, many modernisation plans remain in disarray and funds for emergency purchases are hard to find. The chronic 'Antony delay' in decision-making, as some in the forces call it, together with a falling rupee and rising inflation has meant that India's pending military modernisation projects are today worth more than $35 billion. Many of these projects are stuck in their final stages, and several are not expected to make it due to the severe funds crunch the NDA Government cannot overcome in a hurry. These range from critical artillery for the mountain strike corps coming up on the China border to aerial equipment crucial to maintain a conventional edge and undersea capabilities. At the heart of the problem, officers and analysts say, has been the UPA government's tendency to not only stall modernisation attempts but also shrink the slice of national resources allotted to the forces. Indian defence spending has come down to an all-time low over the past four years. In terms of the most acknowledged global measure of spending, the amount of money India allots to defence as a percentage of GDP is at its lowest in more than four decades at 1.74 per cent. This has steadily declined from an average 3 per cent in the 1980s. The global average is 2.5 per cent even though there are wide variations. NATO guidelines for its members stipulate 2 per cent of GDP for defence while China has never spent below 2 per cent of its vastly higher GDP on security. "It is clear that current allocation is insufficient to undertake military modernisation which is necessary to meet emerging threats and challenges. Defence spending has been stagnating over the years," says defence analyst Brigadier Gurmeet Kanwal (retd). Arming without aiming Not only has India's defence spending fallen but another unhealthy trend that is crippling modernisation of the forces has emerged-the steady jump in revenue expenses such as paying salaries, maintaining infrastructure and filling of diesel tanks. This head will account for more than 60 per cent of the defence budget for 2014-15. Although the defence budget has grown by an average 12 per cent annually in the last few years, much of the increase has been gobbled by the increasing salary bill, rising fuel costs and exchange rate spikes. Last year, the government had to transfer Rs.7,800 crore earmarked for modernisation to meet rising fuel costs. "There is a crunch that no one can deny," laments a three-star IAF officer. "The money we have this year for new contracts is just around Rs.2,500 crore. The rest of the capital budget is committed to tranches of payments for previous long-term acquisitions." Those past deals include the Sukhoi Su-30MKI fighters, Boeing C-17 planes and C-130 transporters. A brigadier told INDIA TODAY that the Army's budget for signing new deals is limited to just around Rs.500 crore this year, a pittance for the million-plus force. In February this year, at a gathering of the world's top defence suppliers who had come to Delhi to showcase their products at the Defence Expo, Antony dropped a bombshell many expected. Commenting on what has been called the biggest ever global tender- the acquisition of 126 fighter aircraft for the air force-Antony said "there is no money left for this now". By confessing that "almost all money has been spent", he dealt a mortal blow to the Defence Expo on its first day, leaving top global defence executives wondering about the point of participating in the event. How did India, in a short span of four years, slip from "no paucity of funds" to "all the money has been spent" without giving an exponential edge to the combat abilities of its armed forces? Some part of the answer lies in the argument central to the book, 'Arming Without Aiming: India's Military Modernisation', by defence experts of the Brookings Institution, Stephen P. Cohen and Sunil Dasgupta. The book argues that India lacks a security strategy and hence also a rudder for military modernisation. [ COMMENT : read Book Review at :http://ajaishukla.blogspot.in/2010/12/book-review-arming-without-aiming.html ] But beyond that simple formulation, defence modernisation programmes ended up getting muddled under the UPA even when there were clear, present and immediate needs. Indecision within the ministry, open squabbling with the finance ministry and political considerations have resulted in a 'procurement of convenience' where projects deemed to be easy to process have gone through while other, more critical requirements have been ignored. For instance, IAF's $4.1 billion deal to buy 10 transport aircraft from the US was an easy-to-process government-togovernment deal. The US pushed it strongly and India was willing as it was seen as uncontroversial and clean. The only problem was that the IAF's hard-bargained funds were spent on a logistic capability instead of on acquiring firepower and bolstering the fighter squadron strength. No quick fix In one of his few media interactions after taking charge as finance and defence minister in May, a visibly exasperated Arun Jaitley remarked that it remained to be seen "how many bills are pending and how much we can do" before any action could be taken. He, however, ruled out a quick-fix solution in the form of a jump in budgetary support. "As the base of the economy expands, even a lesser percentage (of GDP) may increase the amount. Whatever amounts are necessary, our endeavour in due course is to make them available," Jaitley said. The new Government is obviously being cautious as it tries to figure out the mess and move forward. Over the last three months, new policy decisions on manufacturing, export and procurement have been notified with a view to give some direction to defence modernisation. The central theme, officials say, is to encourage private sector participation in defence production, promote joint ventures in India with foreign collaboration, give incentives to Indian firms to lead all major procurements and reduce foreign exchange outflow. And this is already beginning to translate into action on the ground. At a meeting in late August, a three star air force officer met senior representatives of four top Indian defence manufacturers in his office in Vayu Bhawan. The agenda was to push three cutting edge projects the air force has identified for private sector participation : - the LCA MK II project to create a new version of the fighter with more thrust; - the planned Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) project to develop a new indigenous fighter aircraft; - and the futuristic unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV). The message was clear: identify foreign technology partners, form collaborations and come back with a viable plan and these projects could be yours, ending the tradition of involving PSU Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) in every military aviation programme. The Army is preparing to go the Navy way-fully indigenous manufacturing with foreign assistance if needed-when it comes to purchasing new guns. About 4,000 artillery guns are expected to be bought in the next decade. The plan now is to ensure that all future procurements will be made only from Indian companies, many of whom have acquired technology from across the world by buying out patents and even entire production plants. Besides policy decisions, the new regime is taking tough calls on projects stuck in the pipeline. Last month, it cancelled the deal for 197 light choppers for the Army. The deal was hanging for almost four years as the UPA had put it on hold following allegations of irregularities. The cancellation has delayed the modernisation of the Army Aviation Corps, but some in the army are relieved that a decision has been taken and a new process to buy the choppers can be initiated. The defence ministry has also approved the contract for 15 Chinook heavy lift choppers and the deal for 22 Apache attack helicopters. As part of its focus on promoting modernisation projects that entail production and development in India, the Government has approved procurement of 118 Indian-built Arjun tanks at a cost of Rs.6,700 crore. The Army is also set to get its first artillery systems in three decades with Jaitley clearing a Rs.900 crore project to purchase 40 Arjun 130-mm Catapult systems, mobile artillery that the Army needs badly. Besides, the ministry has agreed to upgrade and refit six submarines at a cost of nearly Rs.5,000 crore, a move that will partly address concerns over the health of the underwater fleet. Another major decision has been to eliminate HAL from an air force project to replace its Avro transport aircraft fleet. The contract, likely to cost close to Rs.30,000 crore, will be handled by Indian private companies in collaboration with a foreign partner. Although some defence analysts feel the policy of the new Government is driven largely by a consortium of Indian private sector players, the forces won't complain as long as these moves fulfil their demands. The private sector, for one, is excited and this can create thousands of high technology jobs even though the process of shifting manufacturing to India is expected to be slow. Fixing the Indian defence mess is not expected to be easy and the new Government will be faced with several tough calls in the months and years to come. And until a full-time defence minister is named, the task will sit heavy on the shoulders of Jaitley, who is already burdened with the enormous responsibility of fixing the Indian economy.

ENEMIES KASHMIRI PEOPLE HURIYAT CONFENCERENCE

काश्मिरी जनतेचे शत्रू महापुराच्या भीषण विळख्यात सापडल्याने, काश्मीर खोऱ्यातली वीस लाखांच्यावर लोक गेले दहा दिवस कणभर अन्न आणि घोटभर पाण्यासाठी तळमळत आहेत. राजधानी श्रीनगरसह काश्मीर खोऱ्यातल्या पूर्णपणे जलमय झालेल्या शेकडो खेड्यातल्या भुकेल्यांना अन्न आणि पाणी पोहोचवायसाठी लष्कर, हवाईदल, नौदलाचे लाखो जवान रात्रीचा दिवस करून, प्रसंगी आपले प्राण धोक्यात घालून मदत कार्यात मग्न आहेत.संकटात सापडलेल्या दीड लाखाच्यावर लोकांना लष्कराने सुरक्षित स्थळी हलवले आहे. ज्या भागापर्यंत कुणीही पोहोचलेले नाही आणि पोहोचायची शक्यता नाही, अशा दुर्गम भागातही हेलिकॉप्टर्स आणि नावांद्वारे अन्न, पाण्याचा पुरवठा लष्कराने सुरू केला आहे. सध्याच्या महाभीषण स्थितीत काश्मीरचे सरकार आणि प्रशासन बेपत्ताच असल्याने, या लाखो निराधारांना लष्करा शिवाय अन्य कुणाचाही आधार नाही. अशा स्थितीत भुकेने व्याकूळ झालेल्या बालकांना, महिलांना, वृद्धांना आणि लोकांना अन्न धान्याचा, भोजनाच्या पाकिटांचा, पिण्याच्या पाण्याचा पुरवठा करायसाठी बोटीने जाणाऱ्या लष्करी जवानांवर काही नादान फुटिरतावाद्यांच्या टोळक्यांनी दगडफेक केल्याच्या, जवानांवर हल्ले चढवल्याच्या अत्यंत निंद्य घटना श्रीनगर परिसरात घडल्या आहेत. उठसूट बंदचा आदेश देणारे अली शाह गिलानी, यासीम मलिक, शब्बीर शेख याच्यासह बहुतांश फुटिरतावादी नेते घुबडासारखे तोंड लपवून सुरक्षित ठिकाणी पळून गेले आहेत. काश्मिरी जनतेच्या जीवन मरणाशी त्यांचे काहीही देणे-घेणे नाही. काश्मीरचे मंत्रीही बेपत्ता झालेत. अशा स्थितीत महाभीषण पुराच्या संकटात सापडलेल्या वीस लाखांच्यावर लोकांना लष्कर हेच देवदूतासारखे वाटते आहे. लष्कर नसते तर काश्मीर खोऱ्यात हजारोंचे बळी आणि त्यानंतर भूकबळीही गेले असते. काश्मिरी जनतेने लष्कराने केलेल्या या सहाय्याबद्दल जाहीरपणे कृतज्ञताही व्यक्त केल्यानेच, फुटिरतावाद्यांचा पोटशूळ उठला आहे. भुकेल्यांना मदत करायची नाही, त्यांना सहाय्य करायचे नाही, त्यांच्या मदतीसाठी पुढे यायचे नाही. पण पुरात अडकलेले लोक उपाशीपोटी टाचा घासून मरावेत, त्यांना अन्नपाणी मिळू नये, यासाठीच लष्कराच्या हेलिकॉप्टर्सवर आणि नावांवर दहशतवाद्यांच्या पिलावळीने दगडफेकीचे हे सत्र सुरू केले आहे. घरांच्या छतावर आश्रय घेतलेल्या हजारो काश्मिरींना हेलिकॉप्टर्सद्वारे अन्न आणि पाण्याची पाकिटे कमी उंचीवरून टाकावे लागतात. नेमक्या त्याच संधीचा फायदा घेत, फुटिरतावाद्यांनी हेलिकॉप्टर्सवर दगडफेक सुरू केली आहे. अशा घटना घडल्या, तरीही लष्कर आपले मदतकार्य बंद करणार नाही. शेटवच्या माणसापर्यंत मदत पोहोचवली जाईल, अशी ग्वाही हवाईदल प्रमुखांनी दिली आहेच! मानवतेच्या या शत्रूंना काश्मिरी जनताच आता धडा शिकवेल. फुटिरतावाद्यांचे राक्षसी स्वरूप काश्मिरी जनतेसमोर या निमित्ताने आले, ते बरे झाले! टीरतावादी कश्मिरी नेते काय किंवा हाफिज सईदसारखे पाकडे दहशतवादी काय, त्यांचे जिहादी फणे आमच्या राज्यकर्त्यांनी वेळीच ठेचले नाहीत, म्हणूनच त्यांचे हिंदुस्थानविरोधी फूत्कार सुरूच आहेत. जिहादी फणे! जम्मू-कश्मीरमधील पूरस्थिती आता पूर्वपदावर येत आहे. जम्मू-श्रीनगर महामार्गदेखील तब्बल तेरा दिवसांनी वाहतुकीसाठी खुला झाला आहे. या संपूर्ण आणीबाणीच्या काळात हिंदुस्थानी लष्कराने केलेल्या अभूतपूर्व बचावकार्याचे कश्मिरी जनताच नव्हे, तर देश-विदेशातूनही कौतुक होत आहे. अर्थात कश्मीरमध्ये फुटीरतावादी आणि पाकिस्तानात हाफिज सईद यांच्या मात्र हे पचनी पडलेले नाही. त्यामुळे त्यांचे हिंदुस्थानविरोधी गरळ ओकणे सुरूच आहे. जम्मू-कश्मीरमध्ये महाप्रलय झाला त्याच वेळी पाकिस्तानातही महापूर आला होता. त्याचे खापर हिंदुस्थानवर फोडण्याचे उद्योग हाफिजमियां गेल्या काही दिवसांपासून सातत्याने करीत आहे. हिंदुस्थानने पूर्वसूचना न देता अचानक पाणी सोडल्याने पाकिस्तानातील स्वात खोरे आणि अन्य भागांत महापूरसदृश स्थिती उद्भवली. हिंदुस्थानचा हा ‘जलदहशतवाद’ आहे, असे गरळ हाफिज याने पुन्हा ओकले आहे. एवढ्यावरच हा ‘२६/११’च्या मुंबईहल्ल्याचा म्होरक्या थांबलेला नाही. हिंदुस्थानचा ‘जलदहशतवाद’ थांबला नाही तर हिंदुस्थानविरुद्ध पुन्हा जिहाद पुकारला जाईल असे फूत्कार त्याने सोडले आहेत. गेल्याच आठवड्यात ‘अल कायदा’ने हिंदुस्थानविरोधात जिहाद पुकारल्याच्या बातम्या आल्या होत्या. आता हाफिज सईदने जिहादची वल्गना केली आहे. इकडे कश्मीरमधील फुटीरतावाद्यांचे हिंदुस्थानी लष्कराच्या बचावकार्यात खोडा घालण्याचे उपद्व्याप सुरूच आहेत. जम्मू-कश्मीरमधील मुस्लिम बांधवांमध्ये हिंदुस्थानी लष्कराबद्दल जे चांगले वातावरण बचावकार्यामुळे निर्माण झाले आहे ते दूषित व्हावे आणि पाकिस्तानी जनतेच्या मनातही हिंदुस्थानविरोधात चीड उत्पन्न व्हावी याच हेतूने फुटीरतावादी आणि हाफिज सईदसारखी मंडळी जिहादची बांग देत आहेत. फुटीरतावादी कश्मिरी नेते काय किंवा हाफिज सईदसारखे पाकडे दहशतवादी काय, त्यांचे जिहादी फणे आमच्या राज्यकर्त्यांनी वेळीच ठेचले नाहीत, म्हणूनच त्यांचे हिंदुस्थानविरोधी फूत्कार सुरूच आहेत जम्मू-काश्मीरमधील पूरग्रस्तांना मदत करणाऱ्या भारतीय लष्कराच्या व स्वयंसेवी संस्थांच्या कामात खोडा घालण्याचे काम फुटिरतावाद्यांकडून सुरू आहे. जम्मू-काश्मीर लिबरेशन फ्रंटचा (जेकेएलएफ) म्होरक्या यासिन मलिकने मंगळवारी कहरच केला. पूरग्रस्तांना मदत करणाऱ्या महाराष्ट्रातील एका पथकाची बोट हिसकावून घेऊन मलिक व त्याच्या साथीदारांनी त्यातील खाद्यपदार्थ लोकांना वाटले. हे दृश्य टीव्ही कॅमेऱ्यांत बंदिस्त झाल्याने त्याची नौटंकी उघड झाली. भारतीय लष्कर जिवाची पर्वा न करता काश्मिरातील पूरग्रस्तांना मदत करत आहे. लष्कराने आतापर्यंत अडीच लाखांहून अधिक लोकांना पुराच्या पाण्यातून सुरक्षित बाहेर काढले आहे. त्यामुळे भारतीय लष्कराबाबत काश्मिरी जनतेमध्ये आपलेपणा वाढत आहे. काश्मिरी जनतेच्या या मतपरिवर्तनामुळे फुटिरतावाद्यांचे धाबे दणाणले आहे. त्यामुळेच मदतकार्यात अडथळे आणून व उलटा प्रचार करून लष्कराबद्दल काश्मिरींचे मन कलुषित करण्याचे उद्योग फुटिरांनी सुरू केले आहेत. पाकिस्तानी दहशतवादी हाफिज सईद यांच्या व्यासपीठावर जाणारा यासिन मलिक आणि त्याची टोळी यात आघाडीवर आहे. महाराष्ट्र काँग्रेसचे एक पथक मंगळवारी काश्मीरमधील बचाव कार्यात सहभागी झाले होते. हे पथक श्रीनगरमधील लाल चौक व बडशाह चौक येथे पूरग्रस्तांच्या मदतीसाठी गेले होते. त्याचवेळी मलिक आणि त्याच्या टोळक्याने त्यांना गाठले आणि त्यांची बोट हिसकावून घेतली. इतकेच नव्हे तर, या महाशयांनी या बोटीवर बसून एका हॉटेलातील पूरग्रस्तांना त्या बोटीवरील वस्तू वाटण्याची नौटंकी केली. याच मलिकने आणि इतर फुटिर संघटनांनी भारतीय जवानांकडून मिळणारी मदत नाकारण्याचे आवाहन करणारी पोस्टर्स काश्मिरात ठिकठिकाणी लावली आहेत.

Sunday, 21 September 2014

Taiwan Major Naval Acquisition Plan TO CHECKMATE CHINESE NAVY

Taiwan Major Naval Acquisition Plan TO CHECKMATE CHINESE NAVY http://www.defensenews.com/article/20140920/DEFREG03/309200024 Sep. 20, 2014 TAIPEI — Taiwan’s Navy plans to build new destroyers, frigates, corvettes and submarines in a 20-year force modernization program that will replace all the US and French-built warships in the fleet. Details of the program will be released in November, but Navy officials provided some information about the scope of the massive build plan during the live-fire field training event during the annual Han Kuang exercises off the east coast of Taiwan on Sept. 17. None of the new ships and submarines will be built by the US. Instead, Taiwan will rely on the combined efforts of its Ocean Industries Research and Development Center for design, the Taiwanese military-run Chungshan Institute of Science and Technology (CSIST) for systems and integration, and the Taiwan-based China Shipbuilding Industry Corp. for construction. The Navy hopes to finish the design and development stage in five to 10 years, depending on the budget and complexity of each vessel, a Navy official said. Taiwan will seek Western assistance on various components and systems, but their determination to build the ships in Taiwan remains firm. Producing them in Taiwan creates jobs and skills, reduces reliance on restrictive US government export policies, and reduces corruption, the Navy official said. US and European defense companies have a history of hiring local agents with ties to organized crime and Beijing’s intelligence apparatus. This year’s Han Kuang exercise demonstrated a confidence in Taiwan’s Navy to counter China’s growing naval prowess. The exercise, part of the Han Kuang’s joint interdiction phase, included ships and aircraft organized into task groups. Every class of warship participated, from the stealthy Kuang Hua 6 fast-attack missile boat to the Kidd-class destroyers. Aircraft included S-70C helicopters, P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft and F-16 fighter aircraft. Various drills and operations were carried out based on the exercise scenario, including live firing of an anti-ship rocket, depth charges, ship guns and Phalanx close-in weapon systems. “The [field training exercise] reveals not only the superior combat capability of the new-generation naval and Air Force platforms, but also the great training achievements of men and women involved in the exercise,” a Navy spokesperson said. The exercise tests combat effectiveness in force preservation, high sea maneuver and joint interdiction, he said. Over the next 20 years, the Navy must replace these systems as they age, and there are no guarantees Taiwan’s reliance on US-made weapon systems will continue as Beijing’s influence on Washington grows. Taiwan’s three classes of frigates — Perry, Knox and La Fayette — and the Kidd-class destroyers, will need to be replaced, Navy officials said during the exercise. The Navy will introduce the plan to the public in November for local build programs for four 10,000-ton destroyers, 10 to 15 3,000-ton catamaran frigates, amphibious transport docks to replace 11 dock landing ships and tank landing ships, and four-to-eight diesel 1,200-3,000-ton submarines to replace two Dutch-built submarines. US companies will still be allowed to participate in the supply of many systems, Navy officials said, but reliance on local companies will be the focus. The Indigenous Defense Submarine program is the only possible exception. US and European companies can partner with Taiwan on the program, “if they come in early enough,” a Navy official said. “There will be four subs initially, perhaps eight if the budget is there.” The local build catamarans will be outfitted with 3D phased-array radar and vertical launch missiles. If the US cannot supply the RIM-161 Standard Missile 3 air defense missile system, the Navy will commission CSIST to build a missile system based on the Tien Kung (Sky Bow) air defense missile system. CSIST also builds the Hsiung Feng (Brave Wind) anti-ship missile family, Tien Chien (Sky Sword) air defense missile family, and the new land-attack cruise missile. Taiwan’s local build experience already includes eight Perry-class frigates (Cheng Kung-class), 31 170-ton Kuang Hua 6 fast-attack missile boats armed with Hsiung Feng 2 missiles, 11 500-ton Ching Chiang-class missile patrol boats armed with ramjet-powered supersonic Hsiung Feng 3 missiles, and is building 12 600-ton Hsun Hai-class (Sea Swift-class) corvettes also armed with the Hsiung Feng 3. The Navy’s build program will face hurdles from budget declines in coming years. The military’s finances will be put to the test as it reduces personnel and implements an all-volunteer force. ■

Saturday, 20 September 2014

MOUNTAIN STRIKE CORPS AGAINST CHINA

http://www.vifindia.org/article/2014/september/19/mountain-strike-corps-along-indo-tibet-border-and-strategic-advantage Lt Gen (Retd) Gautam Banerjee, Executive Council, “Begin, be bold and venture to be wise” – Horace Cause for a Mountain Strike Corps Right from the days when the People’s Republic of China (PRC) decided to use military power to address its border issues with India, the Indian Army suffers from a serious operational debility. This debility arises from an absence of counter-offensive capability across the watershed of the Indo-Tibet Border or the Line of Actual Control (LAC). Indeed, India’s defence oriented military strategy remains inconclusive unless it has within its ambit a viable component of autonomous counter-offensive or riposte capability to confront the aggressor with counter-threat(s) that forces him to divert or recoil from his venture. The decade past has found that Beijing, perhaps buoyed by fruition of her military modernisation, is no more able to restrain from exercising her tactic of forcing gradual migration into claimed territories. Having already firmed up her possession of the Aksai Chin and Shaksgam Valley, she is engaged in preparing grounds for her next phase of expansionism through outlandish claims over the Arunachal Pradesh and many other bits. Accordingly, the LAC is subject to increasing intrusions at Hayuliang-Fish Tail, Asaphila-Longju and Lungma-Kerang areas in the Eastern Sector, Thag La – Barahoti areas in the Central Sector and Chumar, Demchok, Pangong Tso, Depsang Plains and Daulat Beg Oldi areas in the Western Sector of the Indo-Tibet Border. In the process, the PRC has advanced its notional claim-lines well into the Indian territory. Offensive-in-Defence Captain B H Liddell-Hart had argued, with substance of historical proof, that though neither flamboyant nor spectacular as the offensive, it was the defensive strategy in most cases that brought assured victory in the end. However, there is a caveat. According to the universal ‘Principles of War’, for a defensive strategy to come successful, an effective offensive content must be intrinsic to each level of its prosecution. It is so that the various stages of defensive operations to harass, delay, resist, limit and cause attrition to the enemy’s attacking forces have to be infused with offensive characteristics. At the tactical level, this principle manifests in the form of the defender’s raids, spoiling attacks, reinforcing manoeuvres and local as well as deliberately planned counter-attacks, the last named being an exclusive operation for which contingency plans are made and forces earmarked. Further, as the history of warfare teaches, to trigger final collapse of the enemy’s aggression, a capability to undertake autonomous counter-offensive – as distinct from the aforementioned ‘counter-attack’ phase of a defensive battle – at a place and time of the defender’s choosing must be but imperative to what may essentially be an ambit of defensive strategy. Beyond the Line of Defence Navies perform their mandate of defending national waters and coastlines by engaging in operations beyond the nation’s maritime boundaries. The Air Forces too target the enemy beyond the national air space; only in case of hostile ingress would they direct their attack into own territory. In similar vein, in order just to maintain the sanctity of a given line of defence but no more, ground forces have to resort to offensive action across that line. To be really effective, these offensive operations – call it counter-offensive or riposte – have to be launched from distinct firm base(s) and at timing(s) that are well clear from the tumult of defensive engagements; needless to state, in the contemporary context, all of these would be joint serviceoperations. The purpose here is to exploit those sectors where the aggressor prefers to remain in relative dormancy, and so upset his strategic designs by disrupting his force-matrix, terrain-orientation and ‘task-to-time’ equation. The United Nations Forces’ offensive on Inchon in the Korea War of 1951-53, India’s counter-offensive in the Lahore Sector during the 1965 Indo-Pakistan War and Israel’s encirclement of the 3rd Egyptian Army in the 1973 Yom Kippur War are apt demonstrations of this principle. The Idea of 17 Corps By the Year 2007 or so, the extent of build up of the PRC’s military infrastructure along the Indo-Tibet Border had at last stirred the Indian Government’s conscience. Thus, it raised two army divisions and beefed up air power to round off India’s defence capability in the Eastern Sector. However, the void of that element of autonomous offensive action which must be intrinsic to any defensive strategy, remained unaddressed. That is the deficiency which is sought to be filled by the raising of a ‘Mountain Strike Corps’, the proposal for which had been pending with the Government since some years past; the Depsang La incident in April 2013 may have been the last straw. That was when the Chinese troops set up camp well behind India’s LAC and refused to budge, just as it had done earlier in the Zimithang, Asaphila and Hayuliang areas in Arunachal Pradesh and Demchok area in Ladakh, thus highlighting – for the nth time - the helpless situation that could confront India should Beijing decides to spurn India’s entreaties to vacate intrusion. According to the official version and its implications, the 17 Corps is under raising at Ranchi, where during the Second World War, General William Slim’s 14th Army had geared up to win back Burma from the Japanese, and where the Eastern Command Headquarters was located till 1953. Once fully raised, the Corps Headquarters would move to establish itself at Panagarh in West Bengal, another World War II logistic base from where the wars in Burma and China were sustained. The Corps would have two specially structured mountain divisions - 59 & 72 Divisions - headquartered at Panagarh and Pathankot respectively. Besides, there would be two each of independent armoured and infantry brigades, one of each being located in Ladakh in the West and the other two stationed in Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh in the East. A Corps being a very large formation of nearly 70,000 troops and vast paraphernalia of weapons, equipment, transport etc., the brigades and units, numbering above 200 odd, would be located variously from Ladakh to Arunachal Pradesh. Another division is reportedly being considered to be orbatted to this Corps in which case the strength would be around 90,000 troops. Of course, there would be many changes affected in the force-structure and their locations as the Corps shapes up in step with its evolving concepts of operations. The idea of 17 Corps is unique in military history. No field formation has ever been assigned to operational contingencies so fluid, across so distinctly separated frontages and axes spread over 4000 odd kilometres, over freezing deserts of 4300 to 5300 metres altitude where living itself is no less a battle, to prosecute offensive operations as a corollary to strategic defence. These challenges are sought to be tackled over the next seven odd years, to which end elaborate surface and air transportation, communications and base infrastructure are to be created along the border belt. Formations and units are to be located close to air bases and surface communication hubs, expansion of the Air Force transportation, railways and border roads being a step complementary. Even then, it would have to be a formation that is structured to operate at the far ends of tenuous lines of communications, build up and deploy astride rudimentary axes after acclimatising the troops over one to two weeks, and prosecute offensive operations in confrontation with a great military power. The charter is mind boggling. It is doable of course, but there are complexities and concerns to be dissected in all seriousness and addressed with strategic sagacity. Therefore, a discussion on the core considerations would be in order. Role and Objectives The likely role of 17 Corps, within the overall ambit of the nation’s defensive strategy, may be envisaged in light of the preceding discussion. Foremost, it would be to launch in counter-offensive - autonomous or conjoined with other formations - to unhinge any military aggression. Next, it would be to balance out territorial loss in one sector by sallying out in sector(s) of choice, to secure, in part or whole, the Indian version of the boundary alignment. Other roles could be to deploy to limit and destroy the attacking forces, or to invest the adversary’s ingress and to evict it if necessary. In other words, besides its classical counter-offensive role in war, even in ‘no-war’ scenarios when the option of forcible eviction of the intrusion may not be exercised in order to avoid escalation, it would be possible to, firstly, contain the intrusion, and secondly, to counter it by advancing the LAC in some other location – a sort of tit-for-tat. Proceeding further, the first question to arise in the context of any worthwhile ‘strike’ relates to the possible objectives of significance. Obviously, the objectives would be such as to unhinge PRC’s military aggression, and that purpose would be indicative of the optimum depth of operations. Starting from the Indo-Tibet-Myanmar Tri-junction and ending at the Aksai Chin, the Western periphery of Gongrigabu Qu (River)-Chayu, the Southern periphery of Yarlung Zangbu (Brahmaputra River)-Langquen Zangbu (Sutluj River) and the Eastern periphery of Lingzi Tang-Kailash Range - inclusive of the Western Tibet Highway or its subsidiaries - could be that reckonable depth. Within the aforementioned belt, one class of objectives could be territorial in nature. Considering the historical legacy, these territorial objectives may be broadly identified as: one, in the North-East, the areas West of Chaya (Rima) and South of Nyngchi, Tsona Dzong, the Chumbi Valley, Khamba Dzong and the Brahmaputra River; two, the Mansarovar (Mapam Yumco)-Sutluj River Belt in the Central Sector; and three, in the Western Sector, the Pangong-Indus (Senge Zangbu) Valleys and the Depsang-Soda Plains. Herein, any of the tactically feasible axes of operations, single or multiple, leading to territories across the LAC or up to and beyond the Indo-Tibet Border may be activated. Indeed, there are many possible areas which may be logistically upgraded within a decade or two to support offensive operations of battle formations ranging in composition from brigade group size to two divisions plus; some of these axes may even be upgraded in just a few year’s time. Notably, while the desolate terrain may not offer classical military objectives, the very act of pulling off territorial riposte would be sufficient to lever India’s cause. Besides, targeting logistic hubs at Nyngchi, Gyangze, Ngari, Rudog and some more, denial of bridges over Yarlung Zangbu and Langquen Zangbu, and breach of the Western Highway or its subsidiaries would definitely tell upon the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) aggression. The other class of objectives could aim at force-destruction, in which the attacker would be contained in hostile terrain, weakened and then destroyed. Notably, the modest scale of India’s retaliatory strike in comparison to China’s doctrine of massive offensive may not be an issue – just penalising and holding up a giant would dampen his blustery, and therefore could be seen as a politico-military redemption. Organisational Structure By far the biggest challenge in raising the 17 Corps would be to structure a potent and cost-efficient force and equipping it for the kind of terrain - and as a corollary the kind of warfare - it would be called upon to master. In that context, recourse to replication of orthodox tactics, structures and equipment profile would offer strong attractions. However, having seen that the force, terrain and mission, all three are unparalleled, adoption of templates would be a grave mistake. For the right organisation to be devised therefore, it would be appropriate to evaluate the functions of the terrain and conceptualise appropriate battle tactics to harness its nuances. From India’s view point, the terrain is like a funnel, its narrow stem widening into an expanse as the watershed is approached and the Tibetan Plateau unfolds. Resultantly, for nearly three-fourth of the 300-450 kilometres to the watershed, deployment of forces would have to be along relatively narrow, steep, winding and rugged valleys, mostly over single axes, with availability of shunts and laterals few and far between. Obviously, forces would have to move and deploy in echelons over restricted axes till they cross over to the plateau-land whence they would have the option of either diverging or converging combat power to reduce selected objective(s). Indeed, in that remote and desolate expanse of cold high altitude desert, the quantum of force-application would be decided by the logistic capability to field and sustain battle formations. As a corollary, the Corps may need to divide itself to operate astride multiple axes, even across multiple sectors – North-East, Central and West – in varying combinations of divisions and independent brigades to sally out into the plateau-land. The severe dictates of the terrain attributes may be turned into tactical advantages provided organisation, tactics, equipment and logistics are customised in exclusivity. For example, induction, establishment of logistic bases and movements through the rugged mountains on Indian side of the watershed may well be rendered much safer from air and missile attacks as compared to the enemy on the plateau-land who would be open to detection and interdiction from air-ground operations. Even from the consideration of time and space, the factors would not be adverse towards India when the traversing distances, communications and altitudes are weighed in comparison. Lastly, when well reconnoitred and adapted to, the plateau-land would offer to the Indian forces good scope for ‘behind the line’ operations. Factoring analogies from past campaigns as well as concurrent tactical concepts, the tactics would hinge upon manoeuvre of multiple combat elements to shape the battle-matrix and followed up with sharp engagements, rather than a replay of mass assaults of the kind propagated before the advent of Revolution in Military Affairs. The objectives could either be communication and logistic hubs, or opponent forces. Indeed, the campaign would follow the eternal practice of what is currently described as ‘Hybrid Warfare’, in which 4th Generation battles would shoot-off from field formations engaged in deliberate offensive campaigns. Of course, dominance in air power would play a singular role in reconnaissance, information war, destruction, interdiction, support to ground operations, troop mobility and logistic sustenance of the war effort. In the overall context therefore, organisation and equipment for the 17 Corps have to be exclusive. For example, the Corps may be composed of integral scout, reconnaissance and special service units and brigade groups integrated into flexible mix of light and heavy combat arms. It may also have to be structured for transportable, manoeuvrable and higher volume of fire-power and enhanced grouping of support arm elements. Similarly, provision of in-built force-multiplication elements of information warfare - like command and control warfare, reconnaissance, intelligence preparation and deception – and geo-spatial survey teams would be mandatory for the Corps to fulfil its role. Above all, the Corps operations must be tuned to true articulation of air power for manoeuvre, air assault and operational logistics. Equipment Needless to emphasise, it would be wise to equip 17 Corps with transportable and manoeuvrable war-like equipment, the loss of mass being compensated by higher scales of holdings and brisk operational momentum. The problem is that the global arms industry has not found it profitable to invest in development of weapons and equipment that answer to the characteristics of high altitude mountain warfare, and therefore most such equipment do not form part of importable inventory. Most of its theatres of war being mountainous, India’s defence planners could have turned this dearth into self-advantageous force-superiority through indigenous research and development. Regrettably, they failed to adapt to that rather obvious need, confined as they were with dated notions about ponderous characteristics of mountain warfare. Equipping the 17 Corps in a manner operationally desired would therefore require specific design modifications, field trials and mix of import and customised production under an overarch of economical viability. Given India’s system of functioning, the officially promulgated time-line of seven to eight years to acquire the right range of weapons and equipment may therefore turn out to be rather tight. But more than that, optimal equipping of the 17 Corps would be an exercise advantageous only if the Indian military fraternity sets out to assimilate what weapons and equipment that may be readily acquired, and subsume the qualitative shortcomings into specifically devised battle-tactics and operational procedures. In other words, to begin with, it would be wise to foster tactical ingenuity to customise orthodox tactical concepts, and accept redundancies in scales to overcome lesser performance from what military hardware is available at hand. Great armies are known to do so; Indian Army has done so before. Logistic Springboard The quantum of force that can be committed to offensive operations through a given sector would be dictated by the extent of sectoral logistic capacity, existence of operational axes therein, and the robustness of these. Besides, final outcome of trans-Himalaya operations would be decided by logistic survivability of that force in a terrain so unliveable. By implication therefore, based on the intended counter-offensive tasks of the 17 Corps, logistic infrastructure would have to be developed, both in terms of sectors and axes of possible operations as well as the quantum of likely force-application along those sectors and axes. This capability would have to be built up in the form of static installations - such as roads, air-heads, administrative bases, dumps, services, survivable-habitat, etc – as well as expendables like ammunition, rations and fuel. Besides, once across the watershed, the burden of logistic sustenance would require to be extended, insulation, portability and mobility being the key determinants in this case. Further, logistic capacity-building would have to be maximised to conform to foreseeable operational contingencies. No doubt, planning and build up of logistic infrastructure calls for intelligent forethought and deliberate time-and-cost intensive undertaking at the national level. Even if well within India’s engineering capabilities, infrastructure development projects would necessitate deployment of additional construction agencies and enormous funding; these two factors would determine whether the projects would take a decade or double that to be in place. As for the turnover or replacement of expendables, the challenge would be even more complex. Life-cycle stocking and turnover of ammunition in itself would be a tedious and costly commitment. Lastly, in environs so excruciatingly hostile, air-power would have to play a lead role in forward provisioning to the forces for them to survive and fight. The period of seven or eight years for the Corps to be fully operational must have been decided based on such considerations. But as to the implementation, there must be alacrity - India’s traditional elephantine pace would not deliver. In adopting the above mentioned measures, logistic services to be integrated at unit, formation and theatre levels would have to be freed from the standard templates and reconstructed according to the unique conditions of Himalayan warfare, grouping of detachments, manpower, load handling equipment, mobility and communications being the thrust areas. The orthodox advocates of the ‘teeth-versus-tail’ issue may have to reconcile to larger complements of logistic services if they set their hearts to winning a war in the High-Himalayas. Notably, not just the raising of a Mountain Strike Corps, it would be the build up of commensurate military infrastructure that would signal to the adversary, the scope and options of India’s military deterrence. To forestall military adventurism from PRC therefore, Indian defence planners would be wise to break-out of the festering stagnation that grips infrastructural development in border areas. A Larger Strategic Dividend If there is one matter to which the Indian psyche would never reconcile, the military debacle and political drubbing India got in 1962 from Mao’s China would be that one. No wonder therefore that even when conscious of the People’s Liberation Army’s overwhelming combat power, making China pay heavily for any future aggression remains a matter of faith for all Indians, indeed the Indian Armed Forces. So far this aspiration had been stifled by the void of autonomous offensive capability that, to reiterate, must form part of any worthwhile defensive strategy. Raising of a Mountain Strike Corps will therefore round-off the Indian strategy for the defence of its territories. No doubt, the cabal of India baiters cannot be enthused by the advent of the 17 Corps. Raising of the 17 Corps is one of the landmark events of India’s military strategy. However, to make the best of this unique military formation, the Indian defence fraternity must prepare to prosecute wars that are exclusively ‘Indian’ in nature – exclusive in terms of tactical concepts, force-composition, and balance in deployment. Finally, as military history tells us, when marshalled with tactical innovation, a strategic force of the nature of the 17 Corps will invariably offer a range of strategic options which may go beyond its role initially mandated. Articulated with free flow of strategic acumen, this military asset therefore may offer exponential peace dividends

CHINESE MOVE IN SOUTH ASIA

http://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/t-n-ninan-moving-into-south-asia-114091901332_1.html T N Ninan | New Delhi September 19, 2014 Last Updated at 22:50 IST In 1991, when India launched its economic reforms, China's economy was about 50 per cent bigger than India's. By 2000, the Chinese economy had grown to two-and-a-half times India's size. Now it is five times as big. That is about the size relationship that India has today with the United Arab Emirates, or Colombia, when it comes to relative gross domestic product. No one in India thinks those countries are India's equal; and no one in China thinks India is its equal. After the talk of Chindia (Jairam Ramesh), of India and China rising together (Confederation of Indian Industry), of there being room for both countries in Asia (Manmohan Singh), and other blather, it is time to get real. Far from the Indian hope that it be treated as the pre-eminent power inSouth Asia and the Indian Ocean region, the emerging reality is that China is steadily pushing into South Asia. Xi Jinping's proposals for this region are aimed primarily at developing the transport links that can help it neutralise India's geographical advantage in the region. Both the Maritime Silk Road and the proposed road link between Kunming in south-west China and Bangladesh, through Myanmar and India's north-east (a back-door entry into South Asia, so to speak), are designed to link the region more closely to the Chinese economy - as has already been done with Southeast Asia and is proposed to be done in Central Asia with a revival of the Silk Road. Such proposals also have obvious strategic implications. India has been wary in its responses, but Sri Lanka is enthusiastic about a scale of Chinese investment proposals that India cannot match, proposals strategically targeting a larger role in Sri Lanka's ports. Meanwhile, if Indians thought that the Maldives were a dependant country (remember, we foiled a coup bid in the 1980s), think again. Tourism accounts for about 30 per cent or more of the country's economy, and Chinese tourists have overtaken the once predominant Westerners in number. They account for 24 per cent of all tourist arrivals; India's share is barely three per cent. What dependence, and on whom? After Sri Lanka and the Maldives, Mauritius? For years, India's attitude to Chinese investment was the same as that of the United States: view with suspicion, block if possible. Chinese telecom equipment was subjected to a special security audit. Then Chinese power equipment companies pretty much took over the business in India, offering a combination of low prices and cheap finance that won over Reliance Power and Lanco, while Indian equipment suppliers remained hungry for orders. India has fretted about the neo-colonial nature of bilateral trade (exporting raw materials while importing manufactured goods), and the massive trade imbalance. The Chinese meanwhile complained that India was being unfriendly when it came to its treatment of Chinese goods, companies and investment. That seems to have changed; many Indians are disappointed that China is offering only $20 billion in investment over five years, not $100 billion! Do we really want to be like some African countries, welcoming Chinese investment to build railways, set up special zones, and the like? Writing on this page earlier this week, Nitin Pai referred to a recent Heritage paper by Michael D Swaine that analyses Xi Jinping's double-pronged diplomatic push: build positive economic relations while maintaining hard-line stances on territorial and resource issues. That approach is very much in evidence when it comes to India: incidents along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) continue alongside the economic initiative of offering investment and transport proposals. The point is simple: if India wants to avoid being cast as a subsidiary power in South Asia, and being put under pressure on strategic issues, it has to stop coming up second-best against the Chinese economy.