The conflict between Pakistan and Afghanistan appears to be reaching a critical juncture, with the Taliban holding significant influence over the direction it may take. Amidst escalating tensions, characterized by military clashes and accusations of terrorism, the situation resembles a tumultuous breakup between former allies. Here's a breakdown of recent events:
Air Strikes in Afghanistan:
Recent clashes between Pakistan and the Taliban have intensified, with the Taliban alleging Pakistani air strikes in areas like Barmal and Separa in Afghanistan. According to the Taliban, these strikes resulted in civilian casualties, including women and children.
Pakistan has acknowledged conducting air strikes but maintains that they targeted terrorists within its own territory, not in Afghanistan. Islamabad claims the operation was in response to a terror attack on a military post in Waziristan, attributed to a new group called Jaish-e-Fursan-e-Muhammad, reportedly sheltered by the Taliban.
The Taliban's response has been defiant, accusing Pakistan of incompetence and pledging to defend their territory. Reports suggest retaliatory actions, including clashes near the border targeting Pakistani military installations, signaling a cycle of retaliation.
The conflict's origins trace back to Pakistan's initial support for the Taliban's takeover of Kabul in 2021. However, relations soured as Pakistan sought the Taliban's help in combating the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), leading to accusations of Taliban support for the TTP and subsequent terrorist attacks within Pakistan.
Pakistan's Struggle:
Despite efforts through military actions, deportations, and appeals to the international community, Pakistan finds itself increasingly isolated. The weakening civilian government and eroding military influence add to Pakistan's vulnerability.
Pakistan's Assertiveness:
The recent airstrikes serve as a symbolic display of Pakistan's determination to defend itself, although Islamabad may seek to avoid further escalation by denying involvement in Afghan territory. However, the Taliban's response will shape the trajectory of the conflict, with possibilities of proxy attacks through groups like the TTP.
Ironies and Consequences:
The conflict underscores the irony of Pakistan's support for the Afghan Taliban against "bad" terrorists while combating their own "good" terrorists, leading to conflict.
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