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Thursday 17 August 2023

How should PLA fight, if both fronts, India and Taiwan, open confrontation with China?*CHINESE BLOGGER

Highlights of the article:


- At present, *war may break out on two fronts*.  One is the *Taiwan* front and the other is the *Sino-Indian border front* .

- A number of our netizens have asked, *if India and Taiwan, both launch an attack on us, with whom will the PLA deal first? *
- Germany too had the same dilemma during World War. Despite an *obvious industrial advantage, it was comparatively lower in manpower. *
- We don’t have such dilemma. We’re *superior in both technology and manpower*
- As for the Indian front, *Pakistan is available to keep it occupied* and continue to ensure an unstable and unresolved border issue with India
- For Taiwan front, *our Rocket Force, Naval assets, Air and Army Combined* are adequate 
- While India has a larger population than ours but, *more than half of this population cannot be transformed into an industrial population*. In fact, India still can’t say that it has completed its industrialization

Therefore:
If a war breaks out in both fronts, we have the capability to respective *Theatre wise handle our challenges. *

However:
*Presence of the US* is detrimental to our interests. In case of Taiwan, it’ll *become an extended conflict if US gets more involved*. 
For the Indian front, the *Pakistani role will be significant*. 
Bilaterally, while dealing with  India, we face *two kinds of people*: 

- *Level 1:* Those among large starta whose *opinions and actions are based on populism* . This population is *extremely polarized *

- *Level 2:* Those at higher level who *understand the capacity gap and pragmatically deal with the bilateral affairs and military* engagements

For now, *India doesn’t have appetite for a full blown war* with us. It’s for this reason that,  despite many conflicts on the border between us, both *haven’t had full scale war. *
- In the eventuality of the Taiwan front opening, the *Indian Army is expected to first build up closer to the borders , thereafter, make small incursions and land grabbing actions.*
If such thing happens, the *WTC needs to be operationally ready to counter attack.*

In case of a Two front war scenario building up for us , *we must ensure that India too is faced with a Two front war situation.

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