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Thursday, 5 June 2025

How China’s Baloch Outreach Signals a Loss of Trust in Pakistan

 

Beijing's Direct Engagement with Balochistan

Over the years, Beijing has come to realize that the Pakistani army is struggling to control the rising freedom movement in Balochistan. In a notable shift, China has decided to break protocol and engage directly with the Baloch Raji Ajoi Sangar (BRAS), an alliance of Baloch freedom groups.

During a recent visit to Beijing by Ishaq Dar, Pakistan’s foreign minister and deputy prime minister, discussions centered around the future of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Despite substantial Chinese investments, the CPEC is faltering, compounded by a lack of progress at the Reko Diq mines. This stagnation is largely due to Pakistan's inability to create a conducive environment for these projects.

Chinese Frustration with Pakistan's Security Measures

A report in the Global Times highlighted the urgent need for Pakistan to address various risks, including terrorism, that threaten the CPEC. China has expressed dissatisfaction with Pakistan's handling of the Balochistan uprising, which has stalled critical initiatives. In an attempt to placate Islamabad, China organized a trilateral meeting involving Afghanistan's acting foreign minister, signaling potential revenue opportunities for Pakistan through an extended CPEC.

Nevertheless, this gesture is more symbolic than substantive. Ishaq Dar’s announcement in Hong Kong to elevate Pakistan’s diplomatic presence in Kabul holds little weight, especially given Afghanistan’s claims of having no terrorists on its soil.

China's Shift in Strategy

China's decision to engage directly with BRAS, bypassing Islamabad and Rawalpindi, reflects its growing belief that the Pakistani army cannot contain these groups or protect Chinese investments. Despite deploying two divisions of troops specifically for the safety of Chinese workers, attacks persist. Since 2021, over 20 Chinese nationals have been killed, while Gwadar port remains non-operational, further complicating the situation.

In a bid to deflect Chinese anger, Pakistan has resorted to blaming India for supporting Baloch groups. Following Dar’s visit, Pakistani media have labeled BRAS as “Fitna al Hindustan,” or “Indian-sponsored proxies.” However, this narrative is unlikely to resonate with Beijing.

The Limitations of Pakistani Military Power

China has even deployed private security companies to protect its interests in Pakistan, but attacks and protests continue unabated. Reports indicate that Baloch rebels have seized the strategic city of Surab, disrupting critical supply routes.

Beijing is also concerned that Pakistan, under U.S. influence, is slow to enhance security for the CPEC, allowing BRAS to threaten projects at multiple locations. Islamabad is negotiating mining concessions with the U.S., actions that irk China. Furthermore, the new field marshal, Asim Munir, has sought a ceasefire from Washington rather than from Beijing, which was declined.

Economic Dependence on China

China understands that Pakistan's survival hinges on the continuation of Chinese financial support. The country relies heavily on $22 billion in loans, and any threat to this financial lifeline could lead to economic collapse. The Pakistani military requires Chinese military equipment to maintain a semblance of parity with India, further underscoring its dependence.

Trust Issues and Military Ineffectiveness

Beijing is aware that Rawalpindi has little leverage with BRAS. The confidence and speed with which Baloch rebels are attacking indicate a lack of trust between the two sides. While Pakistan downplays its casualties, the BRAS releases videos showcasing its operations against the Pakistani army, highlighting a significant disparity.

China’s actions imply that it views BRAS as the true power in Balochistan, indirectly recognizing the region's aspirations for autonomy. Should BRAS leaders be invited to Beijing, it may complicate relations further, as Baloch demands for autonomy and revenue-sharing bypassing Islamabad could create tensions.

The Implications of Chinese Engagement

China’s outreach to BRAS signals its disregard for Pakistani sovereignty in Balochistan. The prospect of third-party engagement with groups labeled as terrorists poses a challenge for Islamabad, as it undermines its authority and territorial claims.

Conclusion

As China navigates its relationship with Balochistan, the implications for Pakistan are profound. The engagement with BRAS not only illustrates Beijing's diminishing trust in Islamabad but also sets the stage for potential geopolitical shifts in the region. For Pakistan, these developments underscore the urgent need to address its internal challenges and restore stability to maintain its standing in the eyes of its most critical ally.


When a Jihadi State Becomes a Terror Gatekeeper

The Irony of Pakistan's Role in Global Security

On June 4, 2025, a bitter farce unfolded in New York as Pakistan—known for harboring global jihadist networks—led the UN Security Council’s Taliban Sanctions Committee and served as vice-chair of the Counter-Terrorism Committee. This situation is not merely ironic; it represents a moral failure of the global system.

State-Sponsored Terrorism in Pakistan

India has consistently warned that no other nation harbors more UN-designated terrorists than Pakistan. Groups such as Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed are not rogue actors; they are state-sponsored proxies of Pakistan’s military establishment. Even Osama bin Laden was discovered hiding in a military town, yet the world remained indifferent.

Systemic Terrorism as a Strategic Tool

Terrorism in Pakistan is not an aberration; it is a strategic tool wielded by the military and intelligence elite to exert influence both domestically and internationally. The Pakistan Army has evolved into a transnational criminal syndicate disguised in military uniform.

The UN's Complicity

The real disgrace lies with the UN, as institutions meant to uphold peace are now empowering its destroyers. When Pakistan chairs counter-terrorism panels, it sends a clear message: global justice is compromised, and hypocrisy reigns.


Pakistan’s Sinister Money Laundering

A Pattern of Exploitation

A disturbing trend has emerged in South Asia. Whenever international aid flows into Pakistan, there is a predictable rise in terror activity orchestrated by military-protected proxy groups. This is no coincidence; it results from systemic financial laundering by Pakistan’s military establishment.

From Khaki to Kalashnikovs

The international community views Pakistan as a fragile state, but this narrative is outdated. India must recalibrate perceptions: Pakistan is not merely struggling; it is a militarized syndicate that transforms global aid into weapons and terror.

The Money Trail of Death

Three major financial arteries are routinely exploited:

  1. Development Loans & Humanitarian Aid: Funds are channeled to military subsidiaries under the guise of private contractors, misusing resources for classified operations.
  2. Real Estate and Shell Companies: High-ranking military officials invest in lucrative projects, often funded by terror-linked revenues.
  3. Hawala and Dual-Use Logistics: Informal money transfer systems are exploited to move terror funds, intertwining with military procurement routes.

Credible estimates suggest that over $600 million in international assistance was misappropriated by military-led networks between 2008 and 2024.

Global Blindfold

The most alarming aspect of this situation is the complicity of the international community. Despite warnings from the FATF, Pakistan continues to receive aid without stringent oversight. The Belt and Road Initiative has further entrenched military control over Pakistan’s economy.

India's New Doctrine: From Dossiers to Disruption

India must adopt a robust doctrine to dismantle the financial lifelines of Pakistan’s military-terror nexus, focusing on seven strategic pillars:

  1. Legal Warfare: Treat financial subversion as a form of warfare and advocate for international resolutions criminalizing the diversion of aid to armed groups.
  2. Financial Warfare: Ensure that all aid comes with strict conditions and audits, barring military-linked entities from receiving contracts.
  3. Expose and Name: Organize a Global Terror Finance Dossier Summit to expose military-linked financial activities.
  4. Narrative Dominance: Launch a global communication campaign to reshape perceptions and highlight Pakistan’s role in terrorism.
  5. Indian Diaspora: Mobilize Indian-origin legislators to advocate for military audits and sanctions against Pakistani generals.
  6. Civil Society Mobilization: Collaborate with NGOs to document how Pakistan’s military undermines civilian rights through aid misuse.
  7. Military Readiness: Enhance hybrid warfare capabilities to counter small-scale attacks and psychological operations by Pakistan.

The Real Threat: Global Complicity

The true danger lies not only in Pakistan's duplicity but in the hypocrisy of the international system. In pursuit of stability, donors and banks turn a blind eye to a militarized regime laundering blood money.

Conclusion

The world must recognize the Pakistan Army not as a national institution but as a transnational criminal syndicate. India has a generational opportunity to shift global discourse, expose the financial foundations of terrorism, and dismantle the architecture of state-enabled jihad.

This is no longer just about India versus Pakistan; it is about the future of a rules-based global order. The time to act is now.

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