Global maritime operations conducted by Beijing serve a dual purpose as intelligence-gathering outposts. Approximately 90% of the world's trade relies on sea routes to transport finished goods, components, and commodities to international markets. However, this critical maritime trade is vulnerable to disruptions caused by various factors such as pandemics, port congestion, or ship blockages in canals. While historical wartime embargoes involved fleets of ships, contemporary warfare can incapacitate shipping through the manipulation of information.
Over
the past three decades, the Chinese government has been actively seeking access
and influence in open seas, strategic shipping lanes, and foreign ports
worldwide. China's ownership, co-ownership, or operation of around 96 foreign
ports globally reflects its expanding portfolio, including recent acquisitions
in Hamburg, Germany, and the Solomon Islands. It's worth noting that foreign
ownership or control of ports and logistics operations is not inherently problematic,
as companies from the Netherlands, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates
similarly own and manage numerous overseas ports.
However,
China's maritime operations raise two significant concerns. First, China has
introduced extensive and relatively opaque information-gathering infrastructure
at critical ports across the world. Second, Chinese laws mandate that all
Chinese companies, whether private or state-owned, operating abroad must gather
and report intelligence on foreign entities to the Chinese government.
Given
Beijing's increasingly adversarial stance towards the West in economic and
geopolitical matters, it is imperative to thoroughly comprehend and mitigate
the risks associated with Chinese infrastructure ownership. This understanding
must encompass identifying precisely what information Beijing has access to,
what data it collects, and how intelligence-gathering activities are linked to
Chinese port operations.
Out of
the world's 75 leading container ports located outside the Chinese mainland,
almost half have some degree of Chinese ownership or operational involvement,
with the latter being more substantial, enabling China to control access to
terminals, supplies, dry docks, and storage facilities. Moreover, over half of
China's overseas maritime assets are strategically positioned along major
shipping routes traversing the Indian Ocean, the Red Sea, the Suez Canal, the
Mediterranean Sea, and other vital waterways.
China's
maritime presence, varying from smaller facilities to larger operations with
considerable operational control, creates opportunities for extensive
information-gathering and strategic activities. Additionally, China holds the
world's leading shipping capacity, encompassing a vast commercial fleet,
including container ships, oil tankers, liquid natural gas transporters, and
bulk carriers for commodities like coal and grain. China manufactures over 90%
of all shipping containers and 80% of the world's ship-to-shore cranes.
Chinese
shipping activities abroad are known to serve as data collection outposts,
engaged in intelligence-gathering and surveillance on a massive scale. Numerous
ports globally utilize China's logistical software system, LOGINK, to monitor a
wide range of trade-related information, including vessel and cargo status,
customs data, billing and payment records, geolocation data, pricing
information, regulatory filings, permits, passenger manifests, and booking
details. Chinese-owned ports also host 5G telecommunications towers, while
China provides the operating systems for port facility computers. There are
even ongoing investigations into whether China's shipping cranes could be
utilized as espionage tools. Beijing's systematic information-gathering
endeavors potentially enable the pinpointing of critical Western trade and
supply chain vulnerabilities, as well as the monitoring of military shipments,
equipment, and components.
China,
already possessing the world's largest navy, benefits from access to a global
network of state-owned ports. While Beijing operates only one foreign naval
base in Djibouti, Chinese military vessels routinely visit Chinese commercial
ports, which could serve as crucial resupply points or repair facilities during
conflicts. Consequently, China is increasingly emphasizing civilian-military
interoperability in maritime infrastructure and other domains.
At the
heart of the issue lies Chinese leader Xi Jinping's increasingly stringent
policies, which compel all commercial activities to align with the state's
interests. Chinese port, shipping, and logistics companies are legally
obligated to gather information for the Chinese Communist Party, and Chinese
law obstructs the flow of shipping data, such as vessel location signals, to
other nations.
Furthermore,
Beijing has blurred the line between commercial and military activities. In
fact, all nominally civilian ports constructed with Chinese assistance abroad
are designed with potential military use in mind. Additionally, Chinese law
mandates that all civilian-owned assets and operations must provide support to
the Chinese military in the event of a conflict. Presently, approximately
one-third of ports with Chinese company investments have hosted Chinese naval
vessels.
In
February, the shipping giant Maersk took delivery of a new cargo vessel that
meets the International Maritime Organization's zero-emission shipping
requirements. While this is a positive development, the vessel, named the
Maersk Biscayne, was constructed at the Jiangsu New Yangzi shipyard in China.
Maersk has several more ships awaiting construction at Chinese shipyards,
highlighting the shipping industry's growing dependence on Chinese facilities.
This dependency becomes a concern at a time when tensions between China and the
West are escalating. Unfortunately, restoring Western shipyards to the
necessary capacity will require a significant investment of both time and
resources.
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