—the launch
of India's 'Trishul 2025' tri-service exercise following 'Operation
Sindoor'—is a significant display of military posturing, viewed distinctly
by both India and Pakistan.1
Here is an
analysis from both perspectives:
Indian Perspective: Assertive Deterrence and Joint Readiness
The Indian
view positions 'Trishul 2025' as a strategic and logical continuation of a more
proactive and integrated defense posture, especially following the successful
precision strikes of 'Operation Sindoor.'2
- Strategic Objectives
and Deterrence:
- Proactive Deterrence: The
exercise, especially its scale and focus on the sensitive Sir Creek
region (a long-standing border dispute with maritime and resource
implications), is a clear signal of deterrence to Pakistan.3
It says that India is not only ready to defend its borders but also
capable of mounting a swift, integrated, and overwhelming
counter-response to any provocation or attempt to change the status quo.4
- Post-Sindoor Doctrine:
Following 'Operation Sindoor' (which reportedly involved deep precision
strikes against terror infrastructure in Pakistan), 'Trishul 2025'
operationalizes a "post-Sindoor doctrine"—a shift
towards integrated, preemptive deterrence and multi-domain synergy
(land, sea, and air).5
- Testing Jointness: As a
tri-service (Army, Navy, Air Force) exercise, its primary goal is
to enhance jointness and operational synergy, a key objective for
India's future theater command structure.6 It is a real-world
test of rapid mobilization and coordinated action across challenging
terrains like the desert and the creek area.7
- Geopolitical Messaging:
- The drill validates
India's capacity to deploy and integrate its most advanced assets (like
Rafales, BrahMos missiles, and naval fleets) near the western border.8
- High-level warnings
from Indian officials, like the one stating any aggression in Sir Creek
would be met with a response that "would change both history and
geography," reinforce the seriousness of the exercise's message.9
- The 'Sir Creek'
Flashpoint:
- The exercise centers on the Sir Creek region, an area of growing strategic focus for India due to its potential as a maritime infiltration route and Pakistan's recent military infrastructure build-up in the area.10 India sees 'Trishul' as essential to protecting its coastal and maritime interests.
- Pakistani Perspective: Escalation, Anxiety, and Vigilance
From
Pakistan's point of view, 'Trishul 2025,' especially its timing and proximity
to the border, is viewed as an unnecessary, coercive, and potentially
escalatory action that increases regional instability.12
- Heightened Anxiety and
Fear of Precision Strikes:
- The primary reaction
is anxiety and vigilance, underscored by the second NOTAM
(Notice to Airmen) in five days, which restricts a large portion of its
airspace.13
- The restrictions,
especially over the southern and coastal belts, suggest a genuine fear
that Indian forces might use the exercise as a cover or a pretext to
launch new precision strikes, potentially targeting Pakistani
airbases and naval fleets near the Sir Creek and adjacent zones—a direct
reflection of the success and impact of 'Operation Sindoor.'14
- The NOTAM is a
defensive measure, highlighting the military's perceived threat and
forcing civil aviation to reroute, which carries economic and logistical
costs.15
- Perception of Indian
Posturing:
- Pakistan views the
massive scale of the exercise, coming soon after 'Operation Sindoor,' not
merely as a routine drill but as a calculated act of military
triumphalism and aggressive posturing.16
- Some analyses in
Pakistan may portray 'Trishul' as an attempt by India to consolidate an
assertive stance and undermine recent, fragile calls for dialogue.17
- Defensive Measures and
Response:
- The military response
likely includes placing strike corps (like the Bahawalpur and Karachi
Corps) and naval patrols on high alert and potentially conducting
their own unannounced drills or missile tests.18
- The goal is to signal
to India that its forces are ready to respond to any incursion or
unprovoked attack, maintaining a posture of credible minimum
deterrence in the face of what is seen as Indian military pressure.19
🤝 Summary of the Dynamic
|
Feature |
Indian
Perspective |
Pakistani
Perspective |
|
View of
'Trishul 2025' |
Strategic
demonstration of joint readiness and capacity for pre-emptive,
integrated, and high-intensity action. |
Escalatory,
coercive signaling that heightens regional tension and risks
miscalculation. |
|
The
'Sindoor' Link |
The
foundation for a new, assertive doctrine focusing on integrated
deterrence and rapid cross-domain response. |
Proof of
India's willingness to use precision strikes deep inside Pakistani
territory, creating genuine fear of a repeat attack. |
|
Response
(NOTAM) |
Justified
restriction to accommodate a large, critical national exercise focused on
defense and operational refinement. |
An
anxious, defensive measure to protect key military assets and airspace from a
perceived, imminent threat of a surprise attack. |
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