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Saturday, 1 November 2025

the launch of India's 'Trishul 2025' tri-service exercise following 'Operation Sindoor'—is a significant display of military posturing,

 

—the launch of India's 'Trishul 2025' tri-service exercise following 'Operation Sindoor'—is a significant display of military posturing, viewed distinctly by both India and Pakistan.1

Here is an analysis from both perspectives:

Indian Perspective: Assertive Deterrence and Joint Readiness

The Indian view positions 'Trishul 2025' as a strategic and logical continuation of a more proactive and integrated defense posture, especially following the successful precision strikes of 'Operation Sindoor.'2

  • Strategic Objectives and Deterrence:
    • Proactive Deterrence: The exercise, especially its scale and focus on the sensitive Sir Creek region (a long-standing border dispute with maritime and resource implications), is a clear signal of deterrence to Pakistan.3 It says that India is not only ready to defend its borders but also capable of mounting a swift, integrated, and overwhelming counter-response to any provocation or attempt to change the status quo.4
    • Post-Sindoor Doctrine: Following 'Operation Sindoor' (which reportedly involved deep precision strikes against terror infrastructure in Pakistan), 'Trishul 2025' operationalizes a "post-Sindoor doctrine"—a shift towards integrated, preemptive deterrence and multi-domain synergy (land, sea, and air).5
    • Testing Jointness: As a tri-service (Army, Navy, Air Force) exercise, its primary goal is to enhance jointness and operational synergy, a key objective for India's future theater command structure.6 It is a real-world test of rapid mobilization and coordinated action across challenging terrains like the desert and the creek area.7
  • Geopolitical Messaging:
    • The drill validates India's capacity to deploy and integrate its most advanced assets (like Rafales, BrahMos missiles, and naval fleets) near the western border.8
    • High-level warnings from Indian officials, like the one stating any aggression in Sir Creek would be met with a response that "would change both history and geography," reinforce the seriousness of the exercise's message.9
  • The 'Sir Creek' Flashpoint:
    • The exercise centers on the Sir Creek region, an area of growing strategic focus for India due to its potential as a maritime infiltration route and Pakistan's recent military infrastructure build-up in the area.10 India sees 'Trishul' as essential to protecting its coastal and maritime interests.
    • Pakistani Perspective: Escalation, Anxiety, and Vigilance

From Pakistan's point of view, 'Trishul 2025,' especially its timing and proximity to the border, is viewed as an unnecessary, coercive, and potentially escalatory action that increases regional instability.12

  • Heightened Anxiety and Fear of Precision Strikes:
    • The primary reaction is anxiety and vigilance, underscored by the second NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) in five days, which restricts a large portion of its airspace.13
    • The restrictions, especially over the southern and coastal belts, suggest a genuine fear that Indian forces might use the exercise as a cover or a pretext to launch new precision strikes, potentially targeting Pakistani airbases and naval fleets near the Sir Creek and adjacent zones—a direct reflection of the success and impact of 'Operation Sindoor.'14
    • The NOTAM is a defensive measure, highlighting the military's perceived threat and forcing civil aviation to reroute, which carries economic and logistical costs.15
  • Perception of Indian Posturing:
    • Pakistan views the massive scale of the exercise, coming soon after 'Operation Sindoor,' not merely as a routine drill but as a calculated act of military triumphalism and aggressive posturing.16
    • Some analyses in Pakistan may portray 'Trishul' as an attempt by India to consolidate an assertive stance and undermine recent, fragile calls for dialogue.17
  • Defensive Measures and Response:
    • The military response likely includes placing strike corps (like the Bahawalpur and Karachi Corps) and naval patrols on high alert and potentially conducting their own unannounced drills or missile tests.18
    • The goal is to signal to India that its forces are ready to respond to any incursion or unprovoked attack, maintaining a posture of credible minimum deterrence in the face of what is seen as Indian military pressure.19

🤝 Summary of the Dynamic

Feature

Indian Perspective

Pakistani Perspective

View of 'Trishul 2025'

Strategic demonstration of joint readiness and capacity for pre-emptive, integrated, and high-intensity action.

Escalatory, coercive signaling that heightens regional tension and risks miscalculation.

The 'Sindoor' Link

The foundation for a new, assertive doctrine focusing on integrated deterrence and rapid cross-domain response.

Proof of India's willingness to use precision strikes deep inside Pakistani territory, creating genuine fear of a repeat attack.

Response (NOTAM)

Justified restriction to accommodate a large, critical national exercise focused on defense and operational refinement.

An anxious, defensive measure to protect key military assets and airspace from a perceived, imminent threat of a surprise attack.

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