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Friday, 18 April 2025

US CHINA TARRIF WAR-COUNTERING CHINESE DOMINATION OF GLOBAL SHIPPING?APRIL 18, 2025

 

The Donald Trump administration has announced a significant hike in US port fees for Chinese-built and Chinese-owned vessels starting October 14. These vessels will be charged $50 (approximately ₹4,200) per ton, with the fee increasing by $30 (around ₹2,500) annually for the next three years. But why this move? Why is global shipping suddenly under such scrutiny?


The Rise of China in Global Shipping

China now accounts for over 50% of the global merchant vessel cargo capacity and holds an overwhelming monopoly on container production. The dominance is not accidental—it is the result of long-term state planning, aggressive subsidies, and strategic investments in shipbuilding, port infrastructure, and maritime logistics.

The U.S. aims to challenge this supremacy by targeting what it considers unfair Chinese trade practices and policies, a concern that has grown over years and culminated in a formal investigation by the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) agency in 2024.


Details of the US Tariff Action

According to the USTR, the new port fees will be implemented 180 days from the announcement:

  • Chinese-built and owned ships: $50 per ton initially, increasing by $30 annually over three years.
  • Alternative fee structure: $120 per discharged container, rising to $250 after three years.
  • Non-Chinese firms operating Chinese-built ships: $18 per net ton, with $5 annual increases.
  • Non-US built ships carrying vehicles: $150 per vehicle.
  • Exemptions: Empty ships arriving to carry bulk commodities like grain or coal are excluded.
  • Fee cap: Charges will apply a maximum of six times per year for each vessel.

Earlier proposals to levy as much as $1 million per port call on Chinese vessels or $1.5 million for fleets with high percentages of Chinese-built ships were dropped.


How China Achieved Dominance

Once a laggard in global shipping, China now dominates the industry. Key milestones:

  • In 1999, China had less than 5% of the shipbuilding market. By 2023, it controlled over 50%.
  • In 2024 alone, Chinese shipyards accounted for 74% of all new-build orders.
  • China produces 1,700+ ships per year, dwarfing the U.S., which produces only around five.
  • Chinese firms control 95% of global container production and 86% of intermodal chassis.
  • Its commercial fleet grew to 430 million deadweight tonnes in 2024, about 18.7% of global capacity.

According to CNBC, Chinese-made ships are expected to comprise 98% of the world’s trade fleet in the near future.


Why It Matters

China’s shipping dominance directly correlates with its position as the world’s largest exporter. In 2023, China exported $3.42 trillion worth of goods, with its major markets being the US ($436 billion), Hong Kong, Japan, Germany, and South Korea.

China’s export-led economy relies heavily on maritime transport:

  • Over 80% of global trade by volume moves by sea (UNCTAD).
  • From electronics to raw materials, China is the backbone of global supply chains.

The U.S. sees this dependence as a strategic vulnerability—one that could compromise economic and national security in times of conflict or crisis.


US Perspective and Strategic Goals

Jamieson Greer, U.S. Trade Representative, stated:

"Ships and shipping are vital to American economic security and the free flow of commerce. The Trump administration’s actions aim to reverse Chinese dominance, secure supply chains, and incentivize the building of U.S.-made vessels."

The administration’s broader strategy includes possible 100% tariffs on Chinese-made port cranes, a crucial piece of infrastructure that China currently dominates.


Global Concerns and Supply Chain Disruptions

The proposed U.S. port fees and tariffs are already causing ripples in global logistics:

  • Diversion of Ships: Ships originally bound for the U.S. are being rerouted to UK and EU ports, causing congestion.
  • Marco Forgione from the Chartered Institute of Export notes severe build-ups at Felixstowe (UK) and Rotterdam and Barcelona.
  • Sanne Manders from logistics firm Flexport warns that European ports may soon reach capacity due to the diverted traffic.

These changes could increase shipping costs and delay deliveries worldwide, affecting everything from industrial inputs to consumer goods.


China’s Response

China has condemned the U.S. measures as protectionist and destabilizing.

“These actions disrupt global production and supply chains. They will not succeed in revitalizing U.S. shipbuilding,” said Lin Jian, spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry.

China has warned that it will take necessary countermeasures to protect its interests.


Domestic Reactions in the US

The decision has drawn mixed reactions within the U.S.:

  • Support: Labor unions like the United Steelworkers and the International Association of Machinists support the move, seeing it as a way to revive U.S. shipbuilding and create jobs.
  • Opposition: Trade groups such as the American Apparel & Footwear Association argue the tariffs will reduce trade volumes and increase costs for American consumers.

A May 19 hearing will further explore proposed tariffs on ship-to-shore cranes, chassis, and related equipment.


The Road Ahead

While the U.S. intends to use the fees and tariffs to rejuvenate its maritime industry, it's unclear whether the funds raised will be reinvested into shipbuilding. The stakes are high: global trade flows, strategic independence, and industrial competitiveness all hang in the balance

 

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