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Friday 10 November 2023

-Book review By Brig Hemant Mahajan,YSM- Book- “Chinese Influence Operations: A Machiavellian Moment, Institute for Strategic Research (IRSEM), Paris, Ministry for the Armed Forces, France. Authors- P. Charon and J.-B. Jeangène Vilmer.Pages-664.PART 2

 The report doesn't merely analyze the mechanics of Chinese influence; it also delves into the broader implications and responses from the international community. From concerns over information warfare to diplomatic countermeasures, the authors provide a balanced examination of how other nations are grappling with China's Machiavellian approach.

The authors explore the responses and countermeasures that nations can employ to mitigate the impact of Chinese influence operations. They highlight the importance of bolstering media literacy, enhancing transparency, and fostering international cooperation to safeguard democratic values and national sovereignty.

The focus js to the responses of Western democracies to China's influence operations. The report evaluates the efficacy of different countermeasures, ranging from increased transparency to targeted policy adjustments. By highlighting both the strengths and weaknesses of these responses, the authors provide valuable insights for policymakers and strategists.

Analysis and Critique: 

"Chinese Influence Operations: A Machiavellian Moment" is an exceptional piece of scholarship that combines historical analysis, meticulous research, and strategic insight. The authors' comprehensive approach, from tracing the historical trajectory to dissecting contemporary case studies, offers readers a holistic understanding of China's influence operations. The report's rigorous research and well-structured presentation make it an indispensable resource for policymakers, scholars, and anyone interested in understanding the intricacies of modern geopolitics.

Chinese Influence Operations-Some Tactical Successes but a Strategic Failure

Machiavelli affirmed that “it is much safer to be feared than to be loved.” Yet, having read Cicero,107 he immediately added that “a prince must nevertheless make himself feared in such a way that he will avoid hatred, even if he does not acquire love; since one can very easily be feared and yet not hated.”108 This is precisely what Beijing has failed to do. Chinese influence operations have been met with tactical successes. China is able to constrain private companies, such as airlines or hotel chains, to name their destinations differently (“Taipei, China”), or the NBA to apologize for the tweet of a club official. It also demonstrated an ability to inflict high financial damages (when it blocked the website of The New York Times in 2012, as a retaliation for an article Chinese authorities did not like, the group’s stock market value fell by 20% in twenty-four hours). Additionally, from fear of retributions, many companies refrain from publishing ads in media outlets critical of China, which impoverishes these outlets. Yet, despite these little victories, the offensive has been a strategic failure. China’s influence in the world has led to a backlash against it that is both widespread and growing. This is not a new trend: China remains its own best enemy in terms of influence. It can be seen in Africa.

The BRI also faced numerous setbacks in the past couple of years, with the same complaints (“Chinese try to take everything they can, without paying attention to the employees or the local companies. They act as if we were a colony.

Now, with its “wolf warrior” diplomacy, its information manipulations and brutal methods, Beijing has definitely altered its image. 

Xi Jinping, affirmed that the pandemic could provoke the strongest wave of anti-Chinese feelings in the world since Tian’anmen in 1989, and that it could also feed into the resistance against BRI projects and invite Washington to increase its financial and military support to Asian allies – increasing the risk of confrontation.

Several affairs, including the case of espionage against the African Union headquarters, the “hostage diplomacy” used to coerce Canada and a growing number of other countries, the revelations about the concentration camps for Uyghurs (“China Cables”)114 and the management of the Hong Kong crisis have all contributed to the deterioration of Beijing’s image after Xi Jinping came to power. However, this evolution is relative: it is among the developed economies, especially Western states (Europe and North America) and their allies (Japan, South Korea), that China’s image has deteriorated significantly. It remains correct, and is even improving in developing countries. This polarization reflects Beijing’s double discourse, which “plays on confrontation with the West and seduction of the South.

Conclusion:

"Chinese Influence Operations: A Machiavellian Moment" is a meticulously researched and well-structured report that offers a comprehensive overview of China's influence operations in the modern world. By framing these operations within the context of Machiavellian principles, the authors provide a thought-provoking perspective that enriches the reader's understanding of the subject. The inclusion of case studies and countermeasure assessments enhances the report's practical relevance, making it an indispensable resource for policymakers, researchers, and anyone interested in the evolving dynamics of global politics. The authors' balanced approach, critical analysis, and comprehensive coverage ensure that this report will remain a significant contribution to the field of international relations and security studies.

The authors conclude the report by summarizing their findings and reiterating the concept of the "Machiavellian Moment." They emphasize the need for comprehensive strategies to counter Chinese influence operations, acknowledging the complexity and persistence of this challenge.

"Chinese Influence Operations: A Machiavellian Moment" stands as a seminal contribution to the understanding of China's influence strategies on the global stage. The report combines historical context, strategic analysis, and real-world examples to paint a comprehensive picture of China's multifaceted efforts. The authors' expertise in the fields of international relations and security studies is evident in the depth of analysis and clarity of presentation.

This report is indispensable for policymakers, researchers, and analysts seeking a nuanced understanding of China's influence operations. Its exploration of tactics, motives, and potential countermeasures equips readers with the knowledge needed to navigate the complex realm of contemporary international relations in the face of growing influence efforts by China. The report's scholarly rigor, combined with its accessible language, makes it an invaluable resource for anyone interested in the evolving dynamics of global power struggles and is an important report which all Indians must study.

In an era where influence operations have become a critical aspect of global affairs, "Chinese Influence Operations: A Machiavellian Moment" provides an authoritative exploration of China's tactics, motivations, and implications. P. Charon and J.-B. Jeangène Vilmer have produced a report that not only sheds light on China's strategies but also equips readers with the knowledge needed to navigate the evolving landscape of international influence.

This report is a must-read for those seeking a deep and nuanced understanding of China's influence operations and their impact on the world stage. Its thorough analysis, historical context, and insightful conclusions make it a valuable contribution to the field of strategic studies.

BIO DATA : BRIG HEMANT MAHAJAN, YSM 

Brig Hemant Mahajan  is M Sc, M Phil in Defence Studies. He commanded his battalion 7 MARATHA LIGHT INFANTRY in Operation Rakshak in the most difficult areas of Poonch and Rajouri during the times of highest militancy. His unit was awarded Unit Citation, 18 gallantry awards including YSM(gallantry) for the officer. 

During Operation  Parakram’In recognition of his hard work he was rewarded with the     Army Commanders Commendation award. He commanded a Brigade in Operation Rakshak again in very intense insurgency areas of Poonch, Krishna Ghati, Surankot and Rajouri of Jammu and Kashmir. One unit was awarded Unit Citation,BSF Bn was declared the best bn in the country & highests award for the year 2006 was awarded to one of the offrs in the bde,  

He joined  as a DS the faculty of Higher Command Wing in Army War College in February 2006, where he served for three years with distinction. He has written 14 books up till now on various aspects of national security. He heads the Strategic Study Centre at Rashtriya Swatantra Veer Savarkar Smarak at Mumbai.He was the chair professor Swatantra Veer Savarkar chair for National Security at Pune university from 2018 – 2021.


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