Total Pageviews

Friday, 3 January 2025

चीनचा भारतावर ती मानसिक दबाव AKSAI चीनला दिली चिनी नावे

 https://youtube.com/shorts/2D47VqcAsQA?si=W1iyqftTrZk0j4_Y

https://youtube.com/shorts/2D47VqcAsQA?si=W1iyqftTrZk0j4_Y

चीनची कुरापत, लडाखचा भाग गिळण्याचा प्रयत्न, चीनकडून त्यांच्या होटन प्रांतात दोन 'काऊंटीची' घोषणा, तुमच्या चुकीच्या दाव्यांना कोणीही मान्यता देणार नाही, भारतानं सुनावलं


नवी दिल्ली : चीनमध्ये असलेल्या होटन प्रीफेक्चर प्रदेशात त्या देशाने दोन नव्या काऊंटींची घोषणा केली असून, त्यातील काही भाग हा लडाख या केंद्रशासित प्रदेशातील आहे. त्यामुळे चीनच्या या कृतीचा भारताने कठोर शब्दांत विरोध केला आहे. चीनने केलेल्या चुकीच्या दाव्यांना कोणीही मान्यता देणार नाही, असे भारतीय परराष्ट्र खात्याचे प्रवक्ते रणधीर जैस्वाल यांनी म्हटले आहे. होटन प्रीफेक्चर भागामध्ये हियान आणि हेकांग या दोन नव्या काऊंटीत भारताचा अविभाज्य भाग असलेल्या लडाखच्या काही प्रदेशाचा समावेश करण्याच्या चीनच्या कृतीचा आम्ही तीव्र निषेध करतो, असे भारताने म्हटले आहे.


पूर्व लडाखमधील सीमातंट्यावर दोन्ही देशांनी एका कराराद्वारे तोडगा काढला असताना आता पुन्हा लडाखमधील भूभागावर डोळा ठेवून चीनने नव्याने कुरापत काढली आहे. त्यामुळे भारत व चीनमधील संबंध सुरळीत होण्याच्या दृष्टीने वाटचाल सुरू झाली असे वाटत असतानाच हे नवे प्रकरण उद्भवले आहे.


चीन बांधणार ब्रह्मपुत्रा नदीवर महाकाय धरण आणि भारताच्या विरोधात सुरू करणार पाणी युद्ध

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/hVe9g8SlEIw 

चीनशी संबंध म्हणजे एक शून्याचा पाढा आहे. भारत चीन सीमेबाबत चीन घुसखोरी केलेल्या भागातून परत गेल्यानंतर भारत चीन संबंध सुधारतील अशी आशा निर्माण झाली होती. मात्र चीन सतत भारतावरती मानसिक दबाव टाकत राहील .सीमा विवाद करार झाल्यानंतर चीनने पुन्हा एकदा भारताला आठवण करून दिली की चीन भारताविरुद्ध पाणी युद्ध(Water War) सुरूच ठेवेल. त्याची आठवण म्हणून एक घोषणा करण्यात आली की एक महाकाय धरण चीन ब्रह्मपुत्रेवर भारत चीन सीमेवर बांधत आहे.चीन भारताकडे केवळ एक आर्थिक बाजारपेठ म्हणून बघतो, एक बरोबरीचा देश म्हणून नाही.

हे जगातील सर्वात मोठे जलविद्युत धरण असेल.चीनचे धरण तिबेट स्वायत्त प्रदेशातील यारलुंग त्सांगपो नदीवर बांधण्यात येईल . यारलुंग त्सांगपो तिबेटच्या पठारावरून वाहते आणि नंतर अरुणाचल प्रदेशातून ती आसामात  प्रवेश करते, जिथे तिला ब्रह्मपुत्रा नदी म्हणतात. धरण थ्री गॉर्जेस धरणापेक्षा तिप्पट ऊर्जा निर्माण करेल. थ्री गॉर्जेस धरण दरवर्षी ८८.२ अब्ज किलोवॅट वीज निर्माण करते. प्रस्तावित धरण दरवर्षी ३०० अब्ज किलोवॅट वीज निर्मिती करू शकेल. जलविद्युत प्रकल्पाची किंमत एक ट्रिलियन युआनपेक्षा (१३७ बिलियन डॉलर्स) जास्त असू शकते. ही किंमत जगभरातील कोणत्याही पायाभूत सुविधा प्रकल्पापेक्षा जास्त आहे. त्या तुलनेत, थ्री गॉर्जेस धरणातील गुंतवणूक २५४.२ अब्ज युआन (३४.८३ अब्ज डॉलर्स) होती. बांधकाम कधी सुरू होणार आणि धरणाचे नेमके ठिकाण काय, हे अद्याप स्पष्ट नाही.

चीनच्या दृष्टीने हा अत्यंत महत्त्वाचा प्रकल्प आहे, पण तो भारताच्या दृष्टीने धोकादायक आहे. एकदा हे धरण बांधून पूर्ण झाले की ब्रह्मपुत्रचे पाणी चीन हवे तेव्हा रोखू शकेल, हवे तिकडे वळवू शकेल . या पाण्यावरील नियंत्रणातून चीनच्या हाती अरुणाचल आणि आसामच्या अर्थव्यवस्थेवर थेट परिणाम करण्याची शक्ती प्राप्त झाली आहे. पर्यावरणावर होणारे प्रतिकूल परिणाम हा तर वेगळाच भाग आहे, ज्यामुळे भारत आणि बांगलादेशातील लाखो लोक प्रभावित होऊ शकतात. याबद्दल भारताने वेळोवेळी चीनशी चर्चा केली आहे. चीनने तसे काही होणार नाही असे वेळोवेळी आश्वस्तही केले आहे. पण चीनची वीज आणि पाण्याची प्रचंड तहान पाहता त्या आश्वासनांवर किती विसंबायचे हा प्रश्नच आहे.


आर्टिफिशिअल इंटेलिजन्स एआय आणि मानवी बुद्धी दोघांचेही मिश्रण करून युद्ध लढा सैन्याला चीनचे आदेश

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/2-7la5tMGJo 

युद्धभूमीवर एआयचा करा मर्यादित वापर : चीन लष्करी सुधारणांवर भर देणाऱ्या चीनने युद्धभूमीवर कृत्रिम बुद्धिमत्तेचा (एआय) मर्यादित वापर करण्याचा आदेश चीनच्या लष्कराने आपल्या अधिकाऱ्यांना दिला आहे. कोणताही निर्णय घेताना एआय हे पूरक साधन म्हणून वापरावे. मात्र, त्याच्यावर पूर्णपणे विसंबून राहू नये, असे लष्कराने म्हटले आहे.


डेटा विश्लेषण, नियोजनासाठी एआयचा उपयोग होऊ शकतो, परंतु माणसाच्या कल्पकतेला हे तंत्रज्ञान पर्याय ठरू शकत नाही. युद्धात मानवी निर्णयक्षमता आणि सर्जनशीलता या गोष्टी अपरिहार्य आहेत, असे चीनने म्हटले आहे. पूर्व लडाखमध्ये डेमचोक, डेपसांग येथे सीमेवरून दोन्ही देशांनी आपापले सैन्य २१ ऑक्टोबर रोजी मागे घेतले. २३ ऑक्टोबरला सीमातंट्यावरील तोडग्याच्या मुद्द्यावरून पंतप्रधान नरेंद्र मोदी व चीनचे राष्ट्राध्यक्ष शी जिनपिंग यांच्यात ब्रिक्स परिषदेदरम्यान चर्चा झाली. कैलास मानससरोवर यात्रा पुन्हा सुरू करणे, नद्यांसंदर्भातील माहितीची देवाणघेवाण तसेच दोन्ही देशांतील व्यापार वाढविणे या विषयांवर दोन्ही नेत्यांनी बोलणी केली हाेती.


The Economist's Recognition of Bangladesh as 'Country of the Year 2024': A Dangerous Move

 


The recent designation of Bangladesh as the ‘Country of the Year 2024’ by The Economist is a highly questionable decision. Given Bangladesh’s crumbling economy, fractured social fabric, and deeply unstable political landscape, this recognition seems less about celebrating genuine progress and more about endorsing a narrative that aligns with Western geopolitical interests.


Misguided Recognition with Hidden Agendas

The UK-based magazine’s accolade, ostensibly meant to highlight development and inspire optimism, instead perpetuates a dangerously misleading narrative. The Economist justified its choice by citing a regime change and the emergence of a "more liberal government." However, this explanation ignores the troubling realities on the ground. The ousting of Sheikh Hasina’s democratically elected government, replaced by Muhammad Yunus's leadership, has plunged the nation into chaos. This superficial celebration of change overlooks the risks posed by a flawed and destabilizing political transition.


Economic Turmoil and Social Instability

Far from representing liberal development, Bangladesh’s current state paints a grim picture of economic collapse and social unrest. Forex reserves have dwindled, exports have plummeted, and inflation has surged. Alarmingly, over a quarter of the population now faces extreme hunger. These indicators point to a deteriorating economy that contradicts the rosy narrative promoted by The Economist.


Escalating Violence Against Minorities

One of the most disturbing outcomes of the regime change has been the spike in violence against minorities, particularly Hindus. Temples have been attacked, incidents of forced conversions have increased, and the persecution of minorities has reached alarming levels. Despite international condemnation, including from Western blocs, these atrocities are downplayed in The Economist’s assessment, revealing a troubling double standard in the magazine’s narrative.


A Pattern of Misjudged Recognitions

This is not the first time The Economist has made a controversial selection. In 2015, Myanmar was honored for its transition to democracy, only for the world to later witness the Rohingya genocide. Similarly, Ukraine was awarded in 2022 amid its conflict with Russia, raising questions about the magazine’s selective focus. By naming Bangladesh Country of the Year 2024, The Economist appears to prioritize geopolitical narratives over authentic progress, reinforcing concerns about the magazine’s credibility.


Implications for India

As Bangladesh’s closest neighbor, India bears the brunt of its instability. A vulnerable Bangladesh could become a breeding ground for extremism, cross-border terrorism, and illegal immigration, directly threatening India’s security. Additionally, the rising persecution of Bangladeshi Hindus exacerbates communal tensions within India, challenging its internal harmony.

India’s proactive support during Bangladesh’s crises, such as food security initiatives, underscores the interdependence of the two nations. However, these efforts are often undermined by forces that thrive on destabilization. The Economist’s recognition risks emboldening such elements, jeopardizing regional stability.


Western Media's Double Standards

The hypocrisy of Western media outlets is evident in their selective outrage. Issues such as sectarian violence, human rights violations, and economic mismanagement in Bangladesh are downplayed, whereas similar occurrences in Western countries would dominate headlines. For instance, the plight of Bangladeshi Hindus is dismissed as an internal matter, while similar issues elsewhere are treated as international crises. This bias devalues the suffering of those affected and exposes ulterior motives behind such narratives.


Lessons for South Asia

The unfolding events in Bangladesh serve as a cautionary tale for the entire South Asian region. The West’s track record in destabilizing nations—from Afghanistan to Iraq to Myanmar—should be a stark warning. For India, the message is clear: a stable neighborhood is essential for its security and development. India must continue supporting Bangladesh’s people, advocating for inclusive development and the protection of minorities.


A Dangerous Precedent

By celebrating a regime change that has led to instability, The Economist’s recognition diverts attention from Bangladesh’s real challenges and legitimizes external interference. This sets a dangerous precedent for other nations in the region, threatening their sovereignty and stability.


Conclusion: Prioritizing Narratives Over Realities

The timing of this recognition is particularly suspect, given Bangladesh’s dire economic, social, and political conditions. Far from celebrating genuine progress, this accolade appears to endorse a West-suited narrative that undermines Bangladesh’s sovereignty and threatens regional stability.

The Economist’s decision to name Bangladesh the ‘Country of the Year’ is not just misguided; it is a reckless move that risks exacerbating tensions in South Asia. The grim lessons from Bangladesh’s current predicament must serve as a stark warning against prioritizing narratives over realities

Thursday, 2 January 2025

Mamata Banerjee Blames BSF for Infiltration from Bangladesh

 Accusations Against BSF and Central Forces

West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee accused the Border Security Force (BSF), which guards the India-Bangladesh border, of enabling infiltration and torturing women. Speaking at an administrative meeting, Banerjee claimed that the BSF's alleged actions were destabilizing Bengal. This controversy arises ahead of the 2026 Assembly elections, intensifying the political rivalry between the Trinamool Congress (TMC) and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).

Banerjee’s comments came weeks after Union Home Minister Amit Shah highlighted infiltration from Bangladesh as a key factor disrupting peace in West Bengal.

Banerjee’s Response to Infiltration Allegations

Banerjee refuted allegations that her party, the TMC, was complicit in allowing infiltration. She stated:

"The BSF is allowing infiltration from different areas into Bengal and torturing women. The TMC is not guarding the borders. The border is not in our hands, so if someone accuses the TMC of permitting infiltration, I will point out that it is the BSF's responsibility."

She also instructed the Director General of Police (DGP) to investigate the alleged infiltration points and pledged to write a strong letter to the central government regarding the matter.

Calls for Peace and Warnings to the Centre

Stressing her commitment to maintaining peace in Bengal and neighboring Bangladesh, Banerjee criticized the alleged criminal activities enabled by the BSF.

"We have no enmity, but goons are being allowed here. They commit crimes and return across the border. BSF is enabling this, and the Centre has a role in it."

She warned the central government of potential protests if attempts were made to fuel terror activities in Bengal.

Porous Borders and Smuggling Concerns

India and Bangladesh share a 4,096-kilometer border, much of which remains unfenced, leaving it vulnerable to infiltration and smuggling. Investigations by India Today have highlighted how these porous stretches facilitate such activities.

BJP’s Counterattack: "Bengal a Nursery for Infiltration"

Union Minister Giriraj Singh strongly countered Banerjee’s claims, accusing her of enabling Bangladeshi infiltration for political gains.

"Whoever is being caught is a Bangladeshi, and most of their addresses are from Bengal. Mamata didi is doing all this out of greed for votes, turning Bengal into a gateway for Bangladeshi Muslims and Rohingyas. Meanwhile, atrocities against Hindus in Bangladesh are happening, and the whole world is witnessing this," Singh said.

The political tug-of-war over infiltration continues to dominate the discourse, adding another layer of complexity to the already charged political landscape in West Bengal.

AYODHYA ONE YEAR AFTER RAM MANDIR-SWARAJYA REPORT

 One year after the epochal Pran Prathishtha of the Ram Mandir, has life in Ayodhya truly changed for its residents?

Is the town living up to the dreams of millions who see it as a global spiritual center?

Our latest ground report by Ankit delves into these questions, offering an intimate look at Ayodhya's transformation.

From the heartwarming tale of devotees like Deepa ji who traveled all the way from New Zealand to fulfill her lifelong wish to visit the temple the year it opened, the stories are both inspiring and complex.

Upon landing at Ayodhya's airport, Deepa ji rose from her wheelchair and, in reverence to the Ram Janmabhoomi, bowed to touch the sacred soil as she deboarded the aircraft.

Over the past year, many such stories have emerged — the culmination of life-long dream of seeing Ram lalla in his abode.

In Ayodhya, Uttar Pradesh’s most visited city in 2024, businesses are thriving, infrastructure is expanding, and the influx of pilgrims is reshaping the town. Ayodhya has welcomed 135 million tourists this year.

But challenges loom — uneven growth, congested streets, and soaring hotel prices test the patience of locals and visitors alike.

Why did Ayodhya’s development not prevent a political upset for the BJP in Faizabad? Is there a gap between expectations and reality? And what lies ahead for this ancient city as it balances faith and modernity?

As Ayodhya prepares to celebrate the Mandir's first anniversary, this ground report dives deep into the town’s transformation under the divine auspices of Ram Mandir — One Year After The Ram Mandir: Has Life In Ayodhya Improved?

Wednesday, 1 January 2025

COAS Gen Upendra Dwivedi, PVSM, AVSM PROFESSIONAL READING LIST-

 This reading list is curated to inspire growth, enhance leadership skills, and foster critical thinking. Each book has been selected for its unique insights and relevance. The list is divided into five categories: Strat Environment, Leadership, Military Studies, Technology and General Reading with an aim to steer the reader on the genres they are interested in. I encourage you not to limit yourself to this list but expand your perspectives through continuous reading. Please do note that the appearance of a book on this reading list does not imply that COAS endorses the authors views. - Gen Upendra Dwivedi, PVSM, AVSM

world Order Henry Kissinger// Penguin Books, 2014; Cumulative Rating: 4.4 Henry Kissinger offers in World Order a deep meditation on the roots of international harmony and global disorder. Drawing on his experience as one of the foremost Statesmen of the modern era byadvising Presidents, traveling the world, observing and shaping the central foreign policy events of recent decades. Kissinger reveals his analysis of the ultimate challenge for the TwentyFirst Century. Brings out his perspective of a shared international order in a world of divergent historical perspectives, violent conflict, proliferating technology, and ideological extremism. 

How India Sees the World Shyam Saran // Juggurnaut, 2017; Cumulative Rating : 4.07 In his book, part memoir and part thesis on India’s international relations since Independence, Shyam Saran discerns the threads that tie together his experiences as a diplomat. Using the prism of Kautilya’s Arthashastra and other ancient treatises on statecraft, Saran shows the historical sources of India’s worldview. He looks at India’s neighborhood and the changing wider world through this lens and arrives at fascinating conclusions. 

Perception and Misperception in International Politics R Jervis // Princeton University Press, 1976; Cumulative Rating : 4.38 The perspective established by Jervis remains an important counterpoint to structural explanations of international politics. From it, he has developed a large literature on the psychology of leaders and the problems of decision making under conditions of incomplete information, stress, and cognitive bias. Finally, the author tests his ideas through a number of important events in international relations from Nineteenth- and Twentieth-century European history. War & Change in World Politics R Gilpin // Cambridge University Press, 1981; Cumulative Rating : 4.28 

War & Change in World Politics introduces the reader to an important new theory of international political change. Arguing that the fundamental nature of international relations has not changed over the millennia, Professor Gilpin uses history, sociology, and economic theory to identify the forces causing change in the world order. The discussion focuses on the differential growth of power in the international system and the result of this unevenness. 

Arms and Influence Thomas C. Schelling // Yale University Press, 2020; Cumulative Rating : 4.19 Originally published in 1966, in this landmark book, Nobel laureate Thomas C. Schelling considers the ways in which military capabilities (real or imagined) are used as bargaining power. It emphasizes how the possession of military capabilities can shape international negotiations & decision making. The book highlights the importance of signaling and communication in the realm of military strategy. S