To conduct a
comprehensive discussion on preparing a plan for the Government of India to
counter Donald Trump's tariff war against India, the following key aspects
should be covered:
## Background and Context
- Overview of the tariff war: Trump initially imposed a 25% tariff on many
Indian products and recently doubled it to 50% as a punitive measure for
India's continued purchase of Russian oil amid the global Ukraine conflict
[1][2].
- Impact on India-US relations: The tariffs are a significant setback in the
strategic partnership between the two countries, risking diplomatic and
economic ties [1][3].
## Economic Impact on India
- Affected sectors: Garments, gems and jewelry, footwear, sports goods,
furniture, chemicals, textiles, leather products, food, and automotive sectors
are among the most hit [2][4][5].
- Export threat: Around 70% of India's exports to the US are seriously
threatened, putting $48.2 billion worth of exports at risk and potentially
leading to job losses [6][7].
- Competitiveness loss: The high tariffs reduce the competitiveness of Indian
goods in the US market compared to peers like China and Vietnam [4][5].
## Government of India's Response
- Resilience strategy: Prime Minister Modi has emphasized self-reliance, tax
relief measures, and boosting domestic consumption ahead of key festivals
[8][7][9].
- Trade talks: India-US bilateral trade agreement negotiations are ongoing but
have stalled; no immediate sign of rollback from the US side [3][10].
- Economic support plans: Considerations include a ₹25,000-crore Export
Promotion Mission, trade finance support, regulatory clarity, e-commerce hubs,
warehousing, and branding [10].
## Strategic and Tactical Measures
- Diversification of markets: Target new export destinations in Latin America,
the Middle East, the UK, and Japan to reduce dependence on the US market
[1][11].
- Supply chain resilience: Explore relocating production or sourcing to
tariff-favored countries or creating multi-source supply chains [12].
- Setting up a "war room": For real-time monitoring and rapid
response on trade developments and alternative options [12].
- Sector-specific reforms: GST revamp and support to labor-intensive industries
to stimulate domestic demand and cushion export losses [10].
## Challenges and Negotiation Strategy
- Managing diplomatic fallout while protecting national interests.
- Addressing US demands around market access, particularly in agriculture and
dairy [7].
- Balancing retaliation risks with global trade rules and long-term
relationships.
These points provide a comprehensive framework for discussion, covering the
tariff escalation, economic challenges, government countermeasures, strategic
adjustments, and diplomatic dimensions of the tariff war between India and the
US under Trump's administration
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