France, which is hosting PM Modi, is perhaps India’s most reliable
strategic partner and certainly the oldest one. The two countries are
celebrating the 25th anniversary of their strategic ties. The bilateral
relationship is, after the one with the US, the second-most consequential for
India. Both New Delhi and Paris set much store in their independent foreign
policy. Recall that France had opposed sanctions against India in the aftermath
of the 1998 nuclear test. Add to this the development of solid defence ties
between the two countries, with France supplying critical platforms like modern
fighter jets and submarines to the Indian military.
Between 2018 and 2022, France emerged as India’s second largest defence
supplier, accounting for 29% of the country’s imports. That defence footprint
is expected to increase further during Modi’s visit with the possible
announcement of New Delhi’s procurement of 26 Rafale jets for the navy and an
additional three Scorpene submarines. Should these materialise, it will help
India further hedge against the disruptions wrought by the Ukraine war that has
made Russian defence supplies and maintenance unreliable.
There is another geopolitical dynamic bringing India and France closer.
Within the Trans-Atlantic alliance system, the Anglo-American partnership
increasingly sees France as having failed to live up to its strategic
potential, especially given Paris’s missteps in Africa. The formation of AUKUS
in 2021 that cut out France exemplified this. But Paris has responded by increasing
engagement with countries like India. This obviously helps New Delhi, which can
now further increase its collaboration with Paris in areas like the
Indo-Pacific. Both India and France are opposed to hegemonic activities – read
China – in the region.
But where the bilateral relationship could do with bolstering is on the
economic front. Two-way trade was just $12. 56 billion in 2022-23. Therefore,
both sides should redouble efforts to actualise an India-EU FTA as soon as
possible. In a global situation characterised by political flux, India and
France can play the role of important balancers
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